Light to moderate snow will continue into Saturday over the Great Lakes, Central Appalachians, and Northeast. This weekend into next week, a series of atmospheric rivers will bring gusty winds, periods of heavy rain, and mountain snow to northern California and the Pacific Northwest. Colder temperatures are in store for the weekend from the Great Lakes to East Coast. Read More >
Overview
The last of a three-day period of severe weather in the National Weather Service Mount Holly county warning area (CWA) occurred on 30 May 2019. A low-amplitude shortwave trough in the Great Lakes region approached the northern Mid-Atlantic during the afternoon and evening hours, with fast midlevel flow downstream aiding in strong deep-layer shear. However, antecedent convection on 28-29 May weakened midlevel lapse rates sufficiently to lower the significant severe threat that existed the prior two days. Nevertheless, sufficient heating downstream of the aforementioned shortwave trough allowed for clusters of storms to develop from Pennsylvania southward to Virginia. A small but potent mesoscale convective system (MCS) developed near the DC area and spread eastward through Delmarva during the late afternoon hours. Widespread damaging winds were observed, with substantial tree damage in Caroline County in Maryland and Sussex County in Delaware reported. Meanwhile, in eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey, instability was meager (limiting the severe-weather threat), but the environment proved favorable for heavy rainfall. Several instances of flooding were reported from Northampton County eastward to Morris and Somerset Counties in New Jersey. Composite radar loop of the Delmarva mesoscale convective system on 30 May 2019. |
Tree and roof damage near Milford, DE. Photo courtesy Lynn Wilkins. |
Synoptic Overview at 12z 30 May 2019 (courtesy of SPC)
Figure 1: 250-mb analysis | Figure 2: 300-mb analysis | Figure 3: 500-mb analysis |
Figure 4: 700-mb analysis | Figure 5: 850-mb analysis | Figure 6: 925-mb analysis |
Synoptic Overview at 00z 31 May 2019 (courtesy of SPC)
Figure 7: 250-mb analysis | Figure 8: 300-mb analysis | Figure 9: 500-mb analysis |
Figure 10: 700-mb analysis | Figure 11: 850-mb analysis | Figure 12: 925-mb analysis |
Surface Maps (courtesy of WPC)
Figure 13: 15z surface map | Figure 14: 18z surface map | Figure 15: 21z surface map |
Figure 16: 00z surface map | Figure 17: 03z surface map | Figure 18: 06z surface map |
Figure 19: 12z Upton, NY sounding | Figure 20: 12z Sterling, VA sounding | Figure 21: 12z Wallops Island, VA sounding |
Figure 22: 00z Upton, NY sounding | Figure 23: 00z Sterling, VA sounding | Figure 24: 00z Wallops Island, VA sounding |
Figure 1: National Preliminary Reports 12z 30 May 2019 to 12z 31 May 2019 | Figure 2: Zoomed Preliminary Reports for the same period. | Figure 3: Prelim Reports vs. 1630z SPC Convective Outlook |
Click here for a county warning area based plot of local storm reports and warnings/advisories issued for the 30 May 2019 event.
Flash Flood Watch 0005 Severe Thunderstorm Watch 0297 Severe Thunderstorm Warning 0103 Areal Flood Advisory 0064 Areal Flood Advisory 0065 Areal Flood Advisory 0066 Severe Thunderstorm Warning 0104 Severe Thunderstorm Warning 0105 Severe Thunderstorm Warning 0106 Severe Thunderstorm Warning 0107 Flash Flood Warning 0011 Areal Flood Advisory 0067 Special Marine Warning 0053 Areal Flood Advisory 0068 Severe Thunderstorm Warning 0108 Flash Flood Warning 0012 Severe Thunderstorm Warning 0109 Areal Flood Advisory 0069 Severe Thunderstorm Warning 0110 Special Marine Warning 0054 Severe Thunderstorm Warning 0111 Special Marine Warning 0055 Flash Flood Warning 0013 Flash Flood Warning 0014 Areal Flood Warning 0016 Areal Flood Warning 0017 Special Marine Warning 0056 Areal Flood Warning 0018
NWUS51 KPHI 021609 LSRPHI PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1209 PM EDT SUN JUN 2 2019 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0430 PM TSTM WND GST CARVILLE 39.05N 76.01W 05/30/2019 M52 MPH QUEEN ANNES MD MESONET 0430 PM TSTM WND DMG QUEEN ANNE 38.92N 75.96W 05/30/2019 QUEEN ANNES MD 911 CALL CENTER REPORTS OF TREES DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES NEAR THE QUEEN ANNE AREA ALONG THE QUEEN ANNES AND TALBOT COUNTY BORDER. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 0435 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 ESE OAKLAND 38.98N 75.87W 05/30/2019 CAROLINE MD PUBLIC STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS ESTIMATED BETWEEN 60 AND 70 MPH UPROOTED OR SNAPPED LARGE LIMBS FROM 15 TREES. DELAYED REPORT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 0435 PM TSTM WND DMG RIDGELY 38.95N 75.89W 05/30/2019 CAROLINE MD 911 CALL CENTER TREES AND WIRED DOWN IN RIDGELY. TIME BASED ON RADAR. 0440 PM TSTM WND DMG GREENSBORO 38.98N 75.81W 05/30/2019 CAROLINE MD 911 CALL CENTER TREES AND WIRES DOWN IN GREENSBORO. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. 0445 PM TSTM WND DMG GOLDSBORO 39.04N 75.79W 05/30/2019 CAROLINE MD 911 CALL CENTER TREES AND WIRED DOWN IN GOLDSBORO. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. 0450 PM TSTM WND GST 2 N EASTON 38.80N 76.07W 05/30/2019 M47 MPH TALBOT MD ASOS EASTON, MD ASOS GUST. 0454 PM TSTM WND GST OXFORD 38.69N 76.17W 05/30/2019 M58 MPH TALBOT MD MESONET 0455 PM TSTM WND DMG ALBRIGHTSVILLE 41.01N 75.60W 05/30/2019 CARBON PA PUBLIC DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES IN ALBRIGHTSVILLE. 0502 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NE FELTON 39.02N 75.56W 05/30/2019 KENT DE 911 CALL CENTER TREE DOWN INTO WIRES IN FELTON. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 0504 PM FLOOD 1 ENE BRASS CASTLE 40.76N 75.00W 05/30/2019 WARREN NJ DEPT OF HIGHWAYS KINNAMAN AVE FLOODED. 0505 PM TSTM WND DMG PRESTON 38.72N 75.91W 05/30/2019 CAROLINE MD 911 CALL CENTER WIRES DOWN IN PRESTON. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. 0510 PM TSTM WND DMG ALLAMUCHY-PANTHER VALLE 40.91N 74.83W 05/30/2019 WARREN NJ COUNTY OFFICIAL SOME REPORTS OF A FEW TREES DOWN IN ALLAMUCHY TWP. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 0514 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 WSW BIG STONE BEACH 38.97N 75.39W 05/30/2019 KENT DE 911 CALL CENTER MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES ACROSS ROADWAYS AND TREES INTO WIRES IN SOUTH BOWERS. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 0520 PM FLOOD 1 W ROXBURG 40.78N 75.13W 05/30/2019 WARREN NJ DEPT OF HIGHWAYS FLOODING ON HUTCHINSON RIVER RD. 0520 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SW SEAFORD 38.64N 75.62W 05/30/2019 SUSSEX DE FIRE DEPT/RESCUE DOWNED WIRES AT INTERSECTION OF BRADFORD STREET AND PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 0526 PM TSTM WND DMG GEORGETOWN 38.69N 75.39W 05/30/2019 SUSSEX DE 911 CALL CENTER DOWNED TREES IN GEORGETOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 0530 PM FLASH FLOOD FORKS TWP 40.73N 75.19W 05/30/2019 NORTHAMPTON PA NEWSPAPER DELAYED REPORT. NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE IN FORKS TWP, INCLUDING KESSLERSVILLE ROAD AT HUNTER ROAD, RICHMOND ROAD AT SHORT ROAD, GLOVER ROAD AND PADULA ROAD, WEST NEWLINS ROAD AT SULLIVAN TRAIL, AND KLEIN ROAD. PHOTOS INDICATE INUNDATION OF 2 TO MORE THAN 4 FEET ON SOME ROADS. TIME ESTIMATED FROM NEARBY REPORTS AND RADAR. 0531 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NNE LAKESIDE MANOR 38.59N 75.54W 05/30/2019 SUSSEX DE DEPT OF HIGHWAYS U.S. HIGHWAY 9 CLOSED BETWEEN FIRE TOWER ROAD AND KAYE ROAD OWING TO DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 0538 PM TSTM WND DMG LEWES 38.78N 75.13W 05/30/2019 SUSSEX DE 911 CALL CENTER SEVERAL DOWNED TREES IN LEWES. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 0540 PM FLOOD 1 SE ROXBOROUGH 39.99N 75.21W 05/30/2019 PHILADELPHIA PA TRAINED SPOTTER UP TO FOUR FEET OF WATER UNDER AN OVERPASS ON FAIRMOUNT PARK DR. 0540 PM TSTM WND GST 2 WNW LEWES 38.79N 75.16W 05/30/2019 M53 MPH SUSSEX DE MESONET MEASURED BY WXFLOW GAUGE. 0542 PM MARINE TSTM WIND CAPE HENLOPEN BEACH 38.81N 75.10W 05/30/2019 M46 MPH ANZ431 DE MESONET DELAYED REPORT FROM THURSDAY. 0542 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 ENE LEWES 38.78N 75.11W 05/30/2019 M46 MPH SUSSEX DE MESONET 0545 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 WNW LEWES 38.79N 75.15W 05/30/2019 M43 MPH SUSSEX DE MESONET 0546 PM FLOOD 1 S PORT MURRAY 40.77N 74.92W 05/30/2019 WARREN NJ COUNTY OFFICIAL CHANGEWATER ROAD FLOODED FROM ASBURY ANDERSON ROAD TO THE HUNTERDON COUNTY LINE. 0548 PM MARINE TSTM WIND DEWEY BEACH 38.69N 75.07W 05/30/2019 M51 MPH ANZ455 DE MESONET DELAYED REPORT FROM THURSDAY. 0548 PM TSTM WND GST INDIAN BEACH 38.68N 75.08W 05/30/2019 M52 MPH SUSSEX DE MESONET MEASURED BY WXFLOW GAUGE. 0548 PM FLOOD 1 ESE TACONY 40.02N 75.03W 05/30/2019 PHILADELPHIA PA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS FLOODING ON INTERSTATE 95 AT EXIT 30. RAMP CLOSURE IN PLACE. 0548 PM MARINE TSTM WIND INDIAN BEACH 38.68N 75.08W 05/30/2019 M52 MPH SUSSEX DE MESONET MEASURED BY WXFLOW GAUGE. 0548 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 SSW NORTH CAPE MAY 38.97N 74.96W 05/30/2019 M42 MPH CAPE MAY NJ MESONET CMAN4 NOS GAUGE. 0550 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 2 WNW LEWES 38.79N 75.16W 05/30/2019 M53 MPH SUSSEX DE MESONET MEASURED BY WXFLOW GAUGE. 0552 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 ENE MILLVILLE 38.55N 75.09W 05/30/2019 SUSSEX DE 911 CALL CENTER SEVERAL DOWNED TREES IN THE MILLVILLE AND OCEAN VIEW AREA. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 0558 PM FLOOD 1 NE MANSFIELD TWP 40.81N 74.90W 05/30/2019 WARREN NJ COUNTY OFFICIAL FLOODING REPORTED ON ROCKPORT ROAD IN MANSFIELD TWP. 0603 PM MARINE TSTM WIND INDIAN BEACH 38.68N 75.08W 05/30/2019 M47 MPH SUSSEX DE MESONET MEASURED BY WXFLOW GAUGE. 0611 PM FLOOD 1 NNE LAWRENCE PARK 39.98N 75.34W 05/30/2019 DELAWARE PA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS FLOODING ON INTERSTATE 476 NEAR THE BROOMALL EXIT. LANE RESTRICTIONS IN PLACE. 0629 PM FLOOD 1 NW LOWER FREDERICK TW 40.29N 75.48W 05/30/2019 MONTGOMERY PA PUBLIC SALFORD STATION ROAD CLOSED NEAR STATE HIGHWAY 29 DUE TO FLOODING. 0636 PM FLOOD 1 SE ROXBOROUGH 39.99N 75.21W 05/30/2019 PHILADELPHIA PA PUBLIC MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. DRIVE CLOSED NEAR MONTGOMERY DRIVE FROM FLOODING. 0656 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 ENE SOMERVILLE 40.58N 74.58W 05/30/2019 SOMERSET NJ DEPT OF HIGHWAYS U.S. HIGHWAY 22 CLOSED AT NORTH ADAMSVILLE ROAD FROM FLASH FLOODING. 0657 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 N BOUND BROOK 40.58N 74.53W 05/30/2019 SOMERSET NJ DEPT OF HIGHWAYS U.S. HIGHWAY 22 CLOSED AT MOUNTAIN AVENUE FROM FLASH FLOODING. 0700 PM FLOOD 2 NNE BASKING RIDGE 40.73N 74.54W 05/30/2019 MORRIS NJ DEPT OF HIGHWAYS FLOODING ON INTERSTATE 287 NORTHBOUND NEAR EXIT 30. LANE RESTRICTIONS IN PLACE. 0702 PM FLOOD 2 SSW MARTINSVILLE 40.58N 74.57W 05/30/2019 SOMERSET NJ DEPT OF HIGHWAYS FLOODING ON INTERSTATE 287 NORTHBOUND AT EXIT 14. RAMP CLOSURE IN PLACE. 0712 PM FLOOD 2 NW WHITE HOUSE STATIO 40.64N 74.79W 05/30/2019 HUNTERDON NJ DEPT OF HIGHWAYS FLOODING ON U.S. HIGHWAY 22 NEAR POTTERSTOWN ROAD IN READINGTON TWP. LANE RESTRICTIONS IN PLACE. 0736 PM FLOOD 1 E MADISON 40.76N 74.39W 05/30/2019 MORRIS NJ DEPT OF HIGHWAYS STATE HIGHWAY 24 NEAR EXIT 7 FLOODED WITH LANE RESTRICTIONS IN PLACE. 0738 PM FLOOD 3 WSW PLEASANT VALLEY 40.73N 75.06W 05/30/2019 WARREN NJ DEPT OF HIGHWAYS STATE HIGHWAY 57 FLOODED NEAR ASBURY BROADWAY ROAD IN FRANKLIN TWP. LANE RESTRICTIONS IN PLACE. && $$ CMS
Delmarva MCS (GR2Analyst)
Figure 1: Loop of KDOX radar reflectivity factor (top left), base velocity (top right), correlation coefficient (CC; bottom left), and differential reflectivity (ZDR; bottom right) valid from 2028 UTC to 2047 UTC on 30 May 2019. During this portion of the event in Delmarva, several instances of wind damage occurred in northern Caroline County (MD) between Ridgely and Goldsboro. The loop suggests velocities around 1500 feet above ground level (AGL) were well in excess of 50 kts. The storm was also exhibiting characteristics of bowing (bending downstream, as in the extension of a bow). This is strongly indicative of an intense rear-inflow jet (horizontal stream of air coming into the storms from behind) that is forced downward to the surface as the flow of air reaches the downdraft. The loop indicates these strong winds were fairly widespread across the area where wind damage occurred. Note the base velocities markedly change appearance in the last two frames; this is because of a change in the configuration of the radar that allowed for less velocity folding (increased the scale of the velocities). Base velocities were actually similar in magnitude throughout this loop. | Figure 2: Same as Fig. 1, valid from 2105 to 2117 UTC on 30 May 2019. Several reports of wind damage occurred between Ellendale and Frederica, and radar is strongly suggestive of a bowing segment within the broader line of storms (near and north of Milford, in particular). Note that velocities are not particularly impressive, but this is because the winds are mostly perpendicular to the radar beam at this time (which are not picked up by the radar). In the last frame of the loop, stronger velocities begin to appear near Slaughter Beach, since the beam becomes more parallel to the motion of the winds again (and imply magnitudes 70+ kts around 1500 ft AGL). |