OHD/HL - RFCDEV/HVT: workshop2 agenda

Day 1 - Tuesday, 11/18/2008
Day 2 - Wednesday, 11/19/2008
Day 3 - Thursday, 11/20/2008

Day 1 - Tuesday, 11/18/2008
RFC verification activities and case studies

• 8:00 - 8:20 am: Workshop logistics/ Review agenda and workshop objectives/ Review verification questions (Julie Demargne and Mary Mullusky)
• 8:20 - 9:25 am: Review difficulties on ensemble forecasting and verification concepts and metrics (Julie Demargne - Part 1, James Brown - Part 2 and Holly Hartmann - Part 3)
• 9:25 - 9:40 am: break
• 9:40 - 10:15 am: NWRFC verification activities and national case study (NWRFC - Part 1 & Part 2)
• 10:15 - 10:50 am: SERFC verification activities and case study (SERFC)
• 10:50 am - 11:25 am: APRFC verification activities and case study (APRFC - Part 1 & Part 2)
• 11:25 am - 12:00 pm: NCRFC verification activities and case study (NCRFC)
• 12:00 - 1:00 pm: lunch
• 1:00 - 1:20 pm: CNRFC verification activities (CNRFC)
• 1:20 - 1:40 pm: LMRFC verification activities (LMRFC)
• 1:40 - 2:00 pm: MBRFC verification activities (MBRFC)
• 2:00 - 2:20 pm: break
• 2:20 - 2:40 pm: ABRFC verification activities (ABRFC)
• 2:40 - 3:00 pm: MARFC verification activities (MARFC)
• 3:00 - 3:20 pm: NERFC verification activities (NERFC)
• 3:20 - 3:40 pm: OHRFC verification activities (OHRFC)
• 3:40 - 4:00 pm: break
• 4:00 - 4:20 pm: WGRFC verification activities (WGRFC)
• 4:20 - 4:40 pm: Recommendations of the WR verification team (Kevin Werner)
• 4:40 - 5:00 pm: CBRFC verification activities (CBRFC)

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Day 2 - Wednesday, 11/19/2008
Strategies to communicate verification information

• 8:00 - 8:45 am: Forecast services verification (logistical verification) and WFO river flood warning verification (Mary Mullusky)
• 8:45 - 9:30 am: WR water supply website and discussion (Lisa Holts and Kevin Werner)
• 9:30 - 9:45 am: break
• 9:45 - 10:30 am: Seasonal forecast verification (Holly Hartmann)
• 10:30 - 11:15 am: Hydrologic forecast verification (Kristie Franz)
• 11:15 am - 12:15 pm: IVP demo and Q/A (Hank Herr remotely)
• 12:15 - 1:15 pm: lunch
• 1:15 - 2:00 pm: Hydrologic forecast verification, including AHPS Verification System http://www.iihr.uiowa.edu/ (Allen Bradley)
• 1:15 - 2:00 pm: Hydrologic forecast verification, including AHPS Verification System (Allen Bradley)
• 2:00 - 2:30 pm: EVS demo and presentation of the group exercise on key metrics and graphics for single-valued and ensemble forecast verification (James Brown)
• 2:30 - 2:45 pm: break
• 2:45 - 3:15 pm: Group exercise on key metrics and graphics (Exercise plots, questions and results)
• 3:15 - 4:00 pm: Discuss key miscuss key metrics and graphics (Julie Demargne, James Brown and Yuqiong Liu)
• 4:00 - 4:15 pm: break
• 4:15 - 5:00 pm: Discuss new graphical capabilities (e.g., Google MotionChart), standardized metrics and graphics, and potential performance tracking measures (Julie Demargne, James Brown, Kevin Werner and Tom Adams)

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Day 3 - Thursday, 11/20/2008
Future verification capabilities and training

• 8:00 - 8:30 am: Understanding analysis uncertainty (Dave Myrick)
• 8:30 - 9:00 am: Data representativeness: are you observing what you want to observe or what you need to observe? (John Horel)
• 9:00 - 9:30 am: WR PoP and QPF verification (Ken Pomeroy and Dave Myrick)
• 9:30 - 10:00 am: WFO Salt Lake PoP and QPF verification (Randy Graham)
• 10:00 - 10:15 am: break
• 10:15 - 11:20 am: EVS enhancements (skill scores, confidence intervals, timing error vs. hydrograph shape error, etc.) and discussion (James Brown - Part 1, Yuqiong Liu - Part 2)
• 11:20am - 12:00 pm: CHPS Verification Service within CHPS-FEWS (XEFS and CHPS-FEWS update, Ensemble Product Generator, EVS and IVP integration, hindcasting) and discussion (Chris Dietz - Part 1, Hank Herr - Part 2, Julie Demargne and Yuqiong Liu - Part 3)
• 12:00 - 1:00 pm: lunch
• 1:00 - 1:45 pm: Real-time verification (James Brown)
• 1:45 - 2:00 pm: break
• 2:00 - 2:40 pm: FY09 verification work plan proposed by the Hydrologic Verification System Requirements Team and discussion (Julie Demargne and Mary Mullusky)
• 2:40 - 3:00 pm: RFC Archiving Team (Julie Meyer)
• 3:00 - 3:15 pm: break
• 3:15 - 4:00 pm: Future verification training and COMET plans (Matt Kelsch and Julie Demargne)
• 4:00 - 5:00 pm: General discussion/ Workshop deliverables/ NWS verification team deliverables/ Workshop evaluation (Julie Demargne and Mary Mullusky)

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