Contents

1. NWS Southern Region
   
   
2. River Forecast Verification
   
   
3. Overview
   
   
4. NWS Focus On
   
   
5. Current Southern Region
   
   
6. SR FY-2000 AOP
   
   
7. River Forecasting &
   
   
8. CHALLENGES...
   
   
9. CHALLENGES - Nature Of Streamflow Data Population
   
   
10. CHALLENGES...
    
    
11. CHALLENGES...
    
    
12. CHALLENGES...
    
    
13. CHALLENGES...
    
    
14. CHALLENGES...
    
    
15. CHALLENGES... QPF
    
    
16. CHALLENGES...QPF
    
    
17. SR River Forecast
    
    
18. National Prototype RVF
    
    
19. National River Forecast
    
    
20. ABRFC Verification Activity
    
    
21. Average Error Meaningless In The Aggregate
    
    
22. Average Error Meaningless
    
    
23. Average Error Meaningless
    
    
24. Avg Error/RMSE Valuable
    
    
25. RMSE Valuable Metric For Comparing Forecast Methods
    
    
26. RMSE Not Useful In Tracking
    
    
27. Strong RMSE Correlation To River
    
    
28. Stronger RMSE Correlation To River
    
    
29. Suggested
    
    
30. Implementation
    
    
31. Southern Region Categorical River Flood Forecast Verification Project
    
    
32. FCSTVER Graphic Interface
    
    
33. XSETS Time Series
    
    
34. Definitions
    
    
35. Example of a Categorical Hit
    
    
36. Example of a Categorical Miss
    
    
37. Example of a False Alarm
    
    
38. Example of a No Forecast Miss
    
    
39. Site Specific Output
    
    
40. Site Specific Output
    
    
41. Site Specific Output
    
    
42. Categorical Verification Example
    
    
43. Program Output Example
    
    
44. Executive Summary Image 1
    
    
45. Executive Summary Image 2
    
    
46. Application of Severe Storm
    
    
47. False Alarm Ratio (FAR)
    
    
48. Probablility of Detection (POD)
    
    
49. Critical Success Index (CSI)
    
    
50. Lead Time
    
    
51. Resultant Verification Metrics
    
    
52. ABRFC Categorical Verification Metrics 1995-2000
    
    
53. Flood / No-Flood Verification
    
    
54. Executive Summary Image 4
    
    
55. NWS Severe Weather
    
    
56. ABRFC Verification Metrics
    
    
57. Temporal Distribution
    
    
58. Categorical Verification
    
    
59. "Time Averaging" Solution
    
    
60. "Time Averaging" Solution
    
    
61. "Time Averaging" Solution
    
    
62. Strengths of
    
    
63. Strengths of
    
    
64. Discussion Items
    
    

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Last updated:
March 07, 2001 (Wednesday)