National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Aviation Weather Discussion 
National Weather Service NEW YORK NY

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***      NY METRO Terminal Weather Discussion       ***
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 .AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A frontal system impacts the area terminals today. 

Initially, IFR/MVFR conditions along with light rain or 
drizzle at most if not all the terminals. The light rain and 
drizzle should gradually taper off across NYC and points west 
this morning with the IFR/MVFR conditions continuing through at
least 17-19z. For the NYC terminals and points west, an 
improvement back to VFR is expected during the early afternoon 
(17-19z or so), however further east, conditions improve to VFR 
late in the TAF period or remain MVFR through the remainder of 
the TAF period. Showers and/or drizzle may remain over the 
eastern terminals for much of the day. 

A second round of showers will be possible this afternoon, with
a low chance of an isolated thunderstorm. Best chances will be 
at KSWF, with lower confidence of occurrence closer to NYC. 
Because of this, will only mention TSRA at KSWF with a PROB30 
and leave out of the TAF at the NYC terminals.

Another chance of IFR/MVFR cigs will be possible tonight, with
the better chances remaining east of NYC. 

Winds start off from the south but will become light and variable
as low pressure passes nearby. Once the low moves east, winds 
will become more westerly and northerly. Winds become light and 
variable once again tonight. 

     NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Low confidence wind direction forecast today. 

Timing of categorical changes could be a few hours off from TAF.

Timing of showers could be a few hours off from TAF.

.OUTLOOK FOR 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Tuesday: VFR.

Wednesday: Mainly VFR. A slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm 
at night with MVFR possible.

Thursday: MVFR or lower at times. Chances of showers and 
thunderstorms.

Friday: Mainly VFR. A slight chance of showers with MVFR
possible.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, 
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&
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***    LATEST NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER   ***
***         METEOROLOGICAL IMPACT STATEMENT         ***
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...FOR ATC PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY...
ZDC CWSU WILL PROVIDE SVC BACKUP FOR ZNY CWSU BTN 1500-1730Z.
=

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***        NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER      ***
***                DAILY SWAP STATEMENT             ***
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THE ZNY ARTCC SEVERE WEATHER AVOIDANCE PLAN (SWAP) STATEMENT
IS CURRENTLY UNAVAILABLE.

The SWAP Statement is Issue Daily during the late morning during
SWAP Season - 1 Apr through 30 Sep.

During other times of the year, the SWAP Statement is issued on 
an as needed basis. 

 

Web Page Last Modified:  1/12/16