New York Metro Aviation Discussion


Aviation Weather Discussion 
National Weather Service NEW YORK NY

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***      NY METRO Terminal Weather Discussion       ***
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 .AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A warm front lifts to the north tonight into Thursday morning. A 
cold front moves through Thursday afternoon.

VFR through 06z for all terminals. Then sub VFR possible, more so 
for further east approaching and into the morning push. Western 
terminals may remain mostly VFR with a period of MVFR possible late 
in the overnight into early Thu AM.

Showers become possible Thu AM as the warm front moves through, 
especially to the NW up towards KSWF, and this could lead to 
MVFR/IFR conditions with low cigs, mainly after 9Z. Chance for TSRA 
Increases early Thu PM ahead of the trailing cold front, and 
maintaining PROB30 to highlight this potential thru 20-21Z Thu. 

S-SE flow today 10-15 kt, with a few gusts up to 20 kt, strongest at 
coastal terminals. Winds settle to 10 kt or less tonight. S/SSW then 
increases through Thursday morning, with gusts 25-30 kt developing 
after 12Z. Isolated gusts to 35 kt Thu PM.

 ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Uncertainty with flight categories towards 06z and through Thursday 
morning. Conditions could remain VFR, with higher chance of lower 
flight categories for KJFK and KLGA.

Timing of TSRA Thu PM could be off by +/- 2 hours. If confidence 
increases for TSRA in subsequent TAF updates then PROB30 may get 
upgraded to TEMPO. 

Isolated gusts 35 to 40 kt possible Thu PM.

.OUTLOOK FOR 00Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

Thursday night: WSW winds become W with gusts 15 to 25 kt in the 
evening, gusts end at most terminals overnight.

Friday: VFR. W wind gusts 20 kt. 

Saturday: VFR. WNW-NW wind 10-15 gusts 20-25 kt.

Sunday-Monday: MVFR or lower at times with rain.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, 
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

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***    LATEST NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER   ***
***         METEOROLOGICAL IMPACT STATEMENT         ***
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...FOR ATC PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY...
ZDC WILL PROVIDE SVC BACK UP FOR ZNY FROM 131600Z TIL 131730Z.
=

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***        NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER      ***
***                DAILY SWAP STATEMENT             ***
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APRIL 1, 2016

ZNY SWAP STATEMENTS ARE NO LONGER AVIALABLE FROM THIS SOURCE.

SEE WEATHER.GOV/ZNY OR FAA ADVISORY RESOURCES.

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Web Page Last Modified: 1/12/16