New York Metro Aviation Discussion


Aviation Weather Discussion 
National Weather Service NEW YORK NY

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***      NY METRO Terminal Weather Discussion       ***
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 .AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Low pressure intensifies south of Long Island through this
evening. The low will then shift over the area tonight and 
meander nearby on Friday. 

Mainly MVFR in rain to start the TAF period. Moderate to heavy
rain likely occurs mostly north and east of the NYC metro
through 14z. Conditions should fall to IFR with light rain
continuing mid to late morning into the afternoon. There may 
be another period of moderate rain this evening/tonight, but the
exact location remains uncertain. The rain should begin mixing 
with or change to a period of wet snow well NW of the NYC metro 
terminals, mainly across the interior of the Lower Hudson 
Valley, overnight/early Friday morning. Flight categories may
slowly improve to MVFR overnight. 

N-NE winds 10-15 kt to start the period. Gusts 20-25 kt will
likely be occasional with the highest potential east of the NYC
metro this morning. More frequent gusts are expected this
afternoon with the liklihood of gusts 25-30 kt this evening,
potentially into tonight as winds shift to the NW and then W-SW
into early Friday morning.

 ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB)TAF Uncertainty...
Amendments expected for changing flight categories through the
TAF period. The start of prevailing IFR conditions may be off 
by 1-3 hours.

Amendments likely for timing of wind shifts and wind gusts. 

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY... 

Friday...MVFR-VFR with rain possible. Wet snow may mix in N and W of 
the NYC metro. S-SW gusts 15-20kt possible.

Saturday...MVFR possible. WNW winds gusting 20-30kt.

Sunday...VFR. WNW winds gusting to 20-30kt.

Monday...VFR. 

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, 
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&
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***    LATEST NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER   ***
***         METEOROLOGICAL IMPACT STATEMENT         ***
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...FOR ATC PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY...
ZDC WILL PROVIDE SVC BACK UP FOR ZNY FM 071900Z UNTIL 080200Z...NO 
FURTHER UPDATES AVAILABLE.
=

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***        NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER      ***
***                DAILY SWAP STATEMENT             ***
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THE ZNY ARTCC SEVERE WEATHER AVOIDANCE PLAN (SWAP) STATEMENT
IS CURRENTLY UNAVAILABLE.

The SWAP Statement is Issue Daily during the late morning during
SWAP Season - 1 Apr through 30 Sep.

During other times of the year, the SWAP Statement is issued on 
an as needed basis.
Web Page Last Modified: 1/12/16