National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall Today from the Central Plains into the Tennessee Valley

Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds will be possible from the Ozark Plateau east into portions of the Southeast today. Rounds of heavy thunderstorms ahead of a slow moving front will continue locally heavy rainfall and scattered flash flooding potential from the Ozarks to the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys today. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Sat, Jul 11, 2026 at 7:52:16 pm PDT

Thunderstorm Risk Monitored Late Weekend into Early Next Week đŸŒŠī¸đŸ‘€ We are tracking a shift in our weather pattern as mid-to-upper atmospheric monsoonal moisture prepares to advect northward across the region beginning late this weekend and continuing into early next week. Here is a breakdown of what we are watching across the Bay Area and Central Coast: What We Know: Monsoonal moisture is on the increase. The overall pattern supports a risk for high-based thunderstorms capable of producing little to no precipitation (dry lightning potential). Fine fuels and regional vegetation continue to dry out, making them increasingly susceptible to fire starts. What is Uncertain: The exact amount of atmospheric instability, or "fuel," available for thunderstorm development. The precise timing and location of where the greatest instability and moisture overlap will reside late Sunday into Monday. What You Should Do: If you have outdoor plans over the weekend or early next week, keep a close eye on the forecast as we refine the details over the next 24–48 hours. Stay weather aware! đŸŒ¤ī¸đŸ‘‰â›ˆī¸
A Coastal Flood Advisory for the North Bay Interior Valleys and San Francisco Bay Shoreline will go into effect Thursday afternoon at 4pm and continue through the early morning on July 16th. Higher than normal astronomical tides will lead to high tides up to 1.7 ft above normal which could lead to flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. However, these tides are expected to be lower than June's astronomical tides, so areas not affected in June can expect the same over the next week.
A Coastal Flood Advisory for the Pacific Coast will go into effect on Saturday, July 11th at 8pm through early Wednesday morning on July 15th. Higher than normal astronomical tides will lead to high tides up to 1.7 ft above normal which could lead to flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. However, these tides are expected to be lower than June's astronomical tides, so areas not affected in June can expect the same over the next week.
Moderate HeatRisk returns early next week as temperatures warm across the interior. High temperatures will be in the upper 80s to 90s with pockets of low 100s in the far interior. Minimal cooling expected overnight with low temperatures in the 60s across the lower elevations and 60s-70s across the higher elevations.

 

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