Drought Information Statement for the Missouri Ozarks Valid October 24, 2024 Issued By: WFO Springfield, MO Contact Information: contact.sgf@noaa.gov This product will be updated November 7, 2024 or sooner if drought conditions change significantly. Please see all currently available products at https://drought.gov/drought-information-statements. Please visit https://www.weather.gov/sgf/SGFDroughtMonitor for additional information. Required Slide 1 U.S. Drought Monitor Link to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor for Lower Midwest Required Slide Last Week (Oct 15) Latest (Oct 22) https://intra.crh.noaa.gov/gis/b2.html State Drought Monitor Link to Recent Change Maps Main Takeaways Continued expansion of drought conditions across the area Impacts continue to expand indicating via Drought Impacts Reporter Recent Change in Drought Intensity Link to Recent Change Maps Main Takeaways Continued expansion of drought conditions across the area Precipitation Main Takeaways Nearly all areas saw less than average rain…with some receiving less than 25% of average over the past month. Required Slide Hydrologic Conditions and Impacts Main Takeaways Streamflows over the past week over Southeast Kansas into western Missouri are <10% to 24% of normal. Sufficient rain and spring-fed streams over much of Missouri remained at 25-75% of normal flow. Image Caption: : USGS 7 day average streamflow HUC map - Kansas. Image Caption: : USGS 7 day average streamflow HUC map - Missouri. https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/index.php?m=pa07d_nwc&r=ks&w=map https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/index.php?id=pa07d&sid=w__map%7Cm__pa07d_nwc&r=mo Fire Hazard Impacts Link to Wildfire Potential Outlooks from the National Interagency Coordination Center. Main Takeaways CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK: The NICC removed the Ozarks from above normal Significant Wildland Fire Potential for October. However, drought expansion continues for parts of the Ozarks. An increased risk of wildland fire potential has been forecast through October 28th, 2024. Summary of Impacts Links: See/submit Condition Monitoring Observer Reports (CMOR) and view the Drought Impacts Reporter Hydrologic Impacts Significant rainfall deficients were noted over southeast Kansas and across areas along and west of Highway 65 in Missouri. The Marmaton and Spring Rivers as well as most smaller creeks including some east of Highway 65 were in a low water threshold. Agricultural Impacts Fall plantings have been impacted with wilting and bug infestation reported some estimates show extreme degree of loss to near crop failure. Pastures are providing very little to no feed, requiring supplemental feeding in some regions. Fire Hazard Impacts Local Fire Chiefs have reported widespread browning of vegetation and a recent increase in grass fires and fire starts. Some area counties and municipalities have implemented burn bans due to dry conditions. Mitigation actions The Missouri Department of Agriculture has an AgriStress Helpline at 833-897-2474. The University of Missouri Extension Office has set up a Psychological Service Clinic to aid farmers and ranchers. More information is available at muext.us/PSCFarmRanch. Required Slide Agricultural Impacts https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Soilmst_Monitoring/Figures/daily/curr.w.rank.daily.gif https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/regional_monitoring/cmi.gif 8 to 14 Day Outlooks The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage Main Takeaways Above average temperatures look to continue into at least late-October and early-November. Precipitation slightly favors an above average outlook October Monthly Outlooks The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage Main Takeaways The temperature pattern is leaning toward a 33-40% chance for above normal temperatures for October. The precipitation outlook favors a continued below normal amount of rainfall in October, with increased chances from last outlook. Seasonal Outlooks The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage Main Takeaways Outlooks very slightly favor above average temperatures and near to below average precipitation Drought Outlook Climate Prediction Center Monthly Drought Outlook | Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Drought Outlook Main Takeaways Drought continues to slowly expand across the area Locations that did not receive rainfall in the past 30-90 days have seen quick and significant expansion of drought conditions. Required Slide Additional Drought Resources For Additional Information NWS Springfield Webpage | IDSS Point Forecasts NWS Springfield Drought Monitor Resources Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook Missouri Drought Monitor | Kansas Drought Monitor Drought Monitor Archive CPC Drought Information National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) National Drought Mitigation Center (NDMC) Missouri USGS Streamflows | Kansas USGS Streamflows Drought Safety