Drought Information Statement for Southern Wisconsin Valid November 7, 2024 Issued By: NWS Milwaukee Contact Information: nws.milwaukee@noaa.gov This product will be updated Nov 21, 2024 or sooner if conditions change considerably. Please see all currently available products at https://drought.gov/drought-information-statements Please visit https://www.weather.gov/mkx/DroughtInformationStatement for previous statements. 1 Wisconsin Drought Update Conditions improved one category over the past week across much of southwest and south-central Wisconsin Severe drought continues across far southeast Green and southwest Rock counties Moderate drought continues across southeast and parts of south-central Wisconsin 1 Week Drought Class Change Nov 5 compared to Oct 29 Precipitation Rainfall over the past 7 days ending November 5 was 3 to 6 inches from Darlington to Madison to Fond du Lac and areas to the north and west. This alleviated deficits over the past 2 months. Rainfall deficits over the past 3 months are 2 to 6 inches in the moderate and severe drought areas. Current Conditions 28 Day Streamflow Streamflow across southern Wisconsin is in the 10-75th percentile, the normal and below normal categories. Soil moisture is in the normal category, the 30-70th percentile across most of southern Wisconsin and the 70-80th percentile in part of south-central Wisconsin where some of the heaviest rain occurred. CPC Calculated Soil Moisture Ranking Percentile Nov 6, 2024 Fire Hazard Impacts Significant wildland fire potential outlook for November and December is normal DNR Fire Danger is low across southern Wisconsin Image Caption: Significant Wildland Fire Potential Monthly Outlook Link to Wildfire Potential Outlooks from the National Interagency Coordination Center Latest WI DNR Fire Danger map available here and DNR Burn Restrictions available here. NICC outlook maps are set to auto-update. New maps are produced on the first weekday of each month (see direct links below) Can also include Burn Ban info here If your area or state has other parameters available (i.e KBDI, ERC, etc) you can add these as well. 1-Month: https://www.nifc.gov/nicc-files/predictive/outlooks/month1_outlook.png 2-Month: https://www.nifc.gov/nicc-files/predictive/outlooks/month2_outlook.png 3-Month:https://www.nifc.gov/nicc-files/predictive/outlooks/month3_outlook.png 4-Month: https://www.nifc.gov/nicc-files/predictive/outlooks/month4_outlook.png Homepage: https://www.nifc.gov/nicc/predictive-services/outlooks 7 Day Precipitation Forecast 0.50-2.00” There is a chance for precipitation in southern Wisconsin this weekend and again during the middle part of next week. 7 Day precipitation totals may exceed 0.75 inches in southern Wisconsin. If this verifies, some drought improvement is possible. Average weekly precipitation this time of year is 0.5 inches. Week 2 Outlook For southern Wisconsin, there are enhanced odds for above average temperature and above average precipitation. Nov - Dec - Jan Outlook For the November, December, January season, in southern Wisconsin, there are slightly enhanced odds for above average temperature and equal chances of above, near and below normal precipitation. Dec - Jan - Feb Outlook La Nina conditions are developing. During La Nina conditions in Wisconsin, winter can be highly variable. There is no signal one way or the other for temperatures during the December, January, February season, meaning there are equal chances for above, near and below average temperatures. There are slightly increased odds for above average precipitation. Drought Outlook The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage The drought outlook for mid November through January indicates drought is likely to improve or be removed across southern Wisconsin. Links to the latest: Climate Prediction Center Monthly Drought Outlook Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Drought Outlook Both the Monthly and the Seasonal Drought Outlook images will auto-populate, but please only include one on the slide, moving the other off to the right. Use whichever image tells the best story for your area of interest. Be sure to use the correct caption box and edit the released and valid dates as well. You can and should reference the temperature and precipitation outlooks to support the message, but please keep this slide to 1 image. Discussions: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/mdo_summary.php https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/sdo_summary.php For USAPI, can consider using NMME imagery for temperature and/or precipitation to help message potential drought improvement/degradation/amelioration.