Drought Information Statement for Southern Wisconsin Valid October 24, 2024 Issued By: NWS Milwaukee Contact Information: nws.milwaukee@noaa.gov This product will be updated Nov 21, 2024 or sooner if conditions change considerably. Please see all currently available products at https://drought.gov/drought-information-statements Please visit https://www.weather.gov/mkx/DroughtInformationStatement for previous statements. 1 Wisconsin Drought Update Severe Drought developed in far southwest Wisconsin in mid October Moderate Drought expanded across much of southern Wisconsin throughout October 4 Week Drought Class Change Oct 22, 2024 compared to Sep 24, 2024 Precipitation Rainfall deficits over the past 30 days are 2 to 3 inches across most of southern Wisconsin and 3 to 4 inches in far southwest Wisconsin Rainfall deficits over the past 90 days are 6 to 8 inches in far southwest Wisconsin and 2 to 6 inches across the remainder of southern Wisconsin Current Conditions 28 Day Streamflow Streamflow across most of southern Wisconsin is in the 25-75th percentile, the normal category. Soil moisture is in the normal category, the 30-7th percentile, across southern Wisconsin and the 10-30th percentile across far southwest Wisconsin. Fire Hazard Impacts Significant wildland fire potential outlook for October is above normal across northern Wisconsin and normal for November DNR Fire Danger is High across much of southern Wisconsin and Moderate in far eastern Wisconsin Image Caption: Significant Wildland Fire Potential Monthly Outlook Link to Wildfire Potential Outlooks from the National Interagency Coordination Center Latest WI DNR Fire Danger map available here and DNR Burn Restrictions available here. NICC outlook maps are set to auto-update. New maps are produced on the first weekday of each month (see direct links below) Can also include Burn Ban info here If your area or state has other parameters available (i.e KBDI, ERC, etc) you can add these as well. 1-Month: https://www.nifc.gov/nicc-files/predictive/outlooks/month1_outlook.png 2-Month: https://www.nifc.gov/nicc-files/predictive/outlooks/month2_outlook.png 3-Month:https://www.nifc.gov/nicc-files/predictive/outlooks/month3_outlook.png 4-Month: https://www.nifc.gov/nicc-files/predictive/outlooks/month4_outlook.png Homepage: https://www.nifc.gov/nicc/predictive-services/outlooks 7 Day Precipitation Forecast 0.50-2.00” Precipitation is expected tonight (10/24) into Friday. Amounts are expected to be 0.1 to 0.75 inches There is a chance of rain again during the middle of next week as a front moves through the region Week 2 Outlook For southern Wisconsin, there are enhanced odds for above average temperature and above average precipitation. Nov - Dec - Jan Outlook For the November, December, January season, in southern Wisconsin, there are slightly enhanced odds for above average temperature and equal chances of above, near and below normal precipitation. Dec - Jan - Feb Outlook La Nina conditions are developing. In Wisconsin, winter can be highly variable. There is no signal one way or the other for temperatures during the December, January, February season, meaning there are equal chances for above, near and below average temperatures. There are slightly increased odds for above average precipitation. Drought Outlook The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage The drought outlook for mid October through January indicates drought is likely to persist across southern Wisconsin. Links to the latest: Climate Prediction Center Monthly Drought Outlook Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Drought Outlook THIS SLIDE IS REQUIRED Both the Monthly and the Seasonal Drought Outlook images will auto-populate, but please only include one on the slide, moving the other off to the right. Use whichever image tells the best story for your area of interest. Be sure to use the correct caption box and edit the released and valid dates as well. You can and should reference the temperature and precipitation outlooks to support the message, but please keep this slide to 1 image. Discussions: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/mdo_summary.php https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/sdo_summary.php For USAPI, can consider using NMME imagery for temperature and/or precipitation to help message potential drought improvement/degradation/amelioration.