Drought Information Statement for Tri-State Area Valid November, 04, 2024 Issued By: NWS Goodland, Kansas Contact Information: nws.goodland@noaa.gov This product will be updated by the 5th of each month or sooner if drought conditions change significantly. Please see all currently available products at https://drought.gov/drought-information-statements. Please visit https://www.weather.gov/GLD/DroughtInformationStatement for previous statements. Please visit https://www.drought.gov/drought-status-updates for regional drought status updates. Drought has continued to worsen across most of the area. An active start to November may help temper further degradation. 1 U.S. Drought Monitor Link to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor for High Plains Image Caption: Goodland County Warning Area Drought Monitor. Valid Drought intensity and Extent D2 (Severe Drought): Cheyenne (KS), Rawlins, Decatur, Sheridan, Thomas, Wallace D1 (Moderate Drought): Dundy, Hitchcock, Red Willow, Norton, Graham, Logan, Greeley, Kit Carson, Yuma, Cheyenne (CO) D0: Gove and Wichita 6am MDT Nov 04, 2024 Recent Change in Drought Intensity Link to the latest 4-week change map for CONUS 4 Week Drought Monitor Class Change. Drought Worsened: Yuma, Kit Carson, Cheyenne (KS), Dundy, Hitchcock, Red Willow, Sherman, Wallace, Thomas, Logan, Gove, Greeley, Decatur, Norton, Wichita. Local 2 Class Degradation: Logan, Kit Carson No Change: Graham Drought Improved: Cheyenne (CO) Image Caption: U.S. Drought Monitor 4-week change map valid 6am MDT Nov 04, 2024 Precipitation Most of the Plains were well below their normal precipitation for the month; the exception was across southern Colorado including Cheyenne county (CO). This is where the drought did improve as Cheyenne county received 1-2 inches of rainfall with a system. Image Captions: Right - Monthly Precipitation Amount for Tri-State Area Left - Percent of Normal Monthly Precipitation for Tri-State Area Data Courtesy of National Water Prediction Center. Date Valid: Nov 04 2024 Temperature Above to well above normal temperatures were also the norm for the region as well. It is also interesting to see how the rainfall across southern Colorado and up into Cheyenne county Colorado skewed the departure from normal max temperatures some. Image Captions: Right - 7 Day Temperature Anomaly Left - 30 Day Temperature Anomaly Data Courtesy High Plains Regional Climate Center. Date Valid: Nov 04 2024 Summary of Impacts Links: See/submit Condition Monitoring Observer Reports (CMOR) and view the Drought Impacts Reporter Hydrologic Impacts There are no known impacts at this time Agricultural Impacts USDA Nebraska Crop Progress and Condition Reports can be found here USDA Kansas Crop Progress and Condition Reports can be found here Fire Hazard Impacts From recent discussions from the Kansas and Colorado forecast services said that all fuels are receptive to rapid fire spread. Other Impacts There are no known impacts at this time Mitigation Actions Please refer to your municipality and/or water provider for mitigation information. Hydrologic Conditions and Impacts No know impacts at this time as much of the Tri-State Area remains below normal or much below normal. Image Caption: USGS 7 day average streamflow HUC map valid Nov 04 2024 Agricultural Impacts No improvement has been made to soil moisture with the lack of rainfall and the above normal temperatures. Image Captions: Left: CPC Calculated Soil Moisture Ranking Percentile valid Right: Crop Moisture Index by Division. Weekly value for period ending Oct 26, 2024 Nov 04 2024 Fire Hazard Impacts Despite the feedback from the forest services for fuels across the Tri-State area; the Significant Wildland Fire Potential Outlook for the months favors the eastern CONUS. Image Caption: Significant Wildland Fire Potential Monthly Outlook for Link to Wildfire Potential Outlooks from the National Interagency Coordination Center. November 2024 Seven Day Precipitation Forecast As mentioned earlier there is the potential for the area to receive beneficial moisture to start the month in form of rain and snow. There are still discrepancies on the paths the upcoming system may take which may lead to lesser or possibly more precipitation. Image Caption: Weather Prediction Center 7-day precipitation forecast valid Monday November 4 to Monday November 11 Rapid Onset Drought Outlook Links to the latest Climate Prediction Center 8 to 14 day Temperature Outlook and Precipitation Outlook. Summarize conditions and impacts here Image Caption: Days 8 to 14 U.S. Hazards Outlook Valid Month DD to DD. Long-Range Outlooks The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage The seasonal outlooks currently favor below to near normal precipitation through the end of January and favor above normal temperatures. A weaker La Nina signal is currently favoring a more highly variable precipitation outlook which is the reasoning for the near normals Image Captions: Left - Climate Prediction Center Monthly Temperature Outlook. Right - Climate Prediction Center Monthly Precipitation Outlook. Valid November 2024 Drought Outlook The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage Drought is forecasted to persist through the month and through the end of January. There may be some local improvements if systems and precipitation can align properly however. Image Caption: Climate Prediction Center Monthly Drought Outlook Released Valid: Links to the latest: Climate Prediction Center Monthly Drought Outlook Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Drought Outlook November 2024 November 30, 2024 Contact Information For feedback, comments, questions specific to the Drought Information Statement please reach out to: nws.goodland@noaa.gov