Drought Information Statement for Tri-State Area Valid July, 04, 2023 Issued By: NWS Goodland, Kansas Contact Information: nws.goodland@noaa.gov This product will be updated by the 5th of each month or sooner if drought conditions change significantly. Please see all currently available products at https://drought.gov/drought-information-statements. Please visit https://www.weather.gov/GLD/DroughtInformationStatement for previous statements. Please visit https://www.drought.gov/drought-status-updates for regional drought status updates. Drought remained roughly the same across the area due to some widespread rains. Local areas did not get some of the rains so drought did worsen locally. 1 U.S. Drought Monitor Link to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor for High Plains Image Caption: Goodland County Warning Area Drought Monitor. Valid Drought intensity and Extent D1 (Moderate Drought): Cheyenne (KS), Rawlins, Sherman, Thomas, Wallace, Logan D0: Dundy, Hitchcock, Graham, Sheridan, Cheyenne (CO), Greeley, Gove 6am MDT Jul 04, 2024 Recent Change in Drought Intensity Link to the latest 4-week change map for CONUS 4 Week Drought Monitor Class Change. Drought Worsened: Dundy, Hitchcock, Rawlins, Thomas No Change: Yuma, Red Willow. Decatur, Norton Drought Improved: Kit Carson, Cheyenne (CO), Sherman, Wallace, Wichita, Logan, Gove, Sheridan, Graham Image Caption: U.S. Drought Monitor 4-week change map valid 6am MDT Jul 04, 2024 Precipitation Most of the area did see above normal rainfall with multiple inches falling. However west central parts of the the area actually saw below normal precipitation. Goodland for the month reported only 0.68 inches of rain. Image Captions: Right - Monthly Precipitation Amount for Tri-State Area Left - Percent of Normal Monthly Precipitation for Tri-State Area Data Courtesy of National Water Prediction Center. Date Valid: Jul 04 2024 Temperature Above normal temperatures have been seen across the area for the month of June. This has been mainly in part due to mid level ridging over the region. Notice how the warmest temperatures were in roughly the same area that saw the least amount of rainfall. Image Captions: Right - 7 Day Temperature Anomaly Left - 30 Day Temperature Anomaly Data Courtesy High Plains Regional Climate Center. Date Valid: Jul 04 2024 Summary of Impacts Links: See/submit Condition Monitoring Observer Reports (CMOR) and view the Drought Impacts Reporter Hydrologic Impacts There are no known impacts at this time Agricultural Impacts USDA Nebraska Crop Progress and Condition Reports can be found here USDA Kansas Crop Progress and Condition Reports can be found here Fire Hazard Impacts Despite the rainfall, National Interagency Fire Center is highlighting western Kansas for above normal significant wildland fire potential for July and August. This is in part due to the anticipated drying out signal that has been anticipated as we transition to the La Nina of ENSO. For more information please visit: https://www.nifc.gov/nicc/predictive-services/outlooks Other Impacts There are no known impacts at this time Mitigation Actions Please refer to your municipality and/or water provider for mitigation information. Hydrologic Conditions and Impacts No know impacts at this time as much of the Tri-State Area remains normal or below normal. There are a Much Above Normal locations across Nebraska which will need to be watched for increase in streamflows for us, especially if the active pattern continues. Image Caption: USGS 7 day average streamflow HUC map valid Jul 04 2024 Agricultural Impacts Soil moisture remains around normal for most of the area with the exception of the Cheyenne Ridge into NW Kansas. This is also the area that has seen the least amount of rainfall and the warmer temperatures for the month. Image Captions: Left: CPC Calculated Soil Moisture Ranking Percentile valid Right: Crop Moisture Index by Division. Weekly value for period ending May 25, 2024 Jul 04 2024 Fire Hazard Impacts Wildland Fire Potential may start to become more of an issue as the anticipated drying out and hot weather signal continues to show up as we get into the main part of Summer. This signal does continue into August as well so some prolonged periods of hot and dry may become possible. Image Caption: Significant Wildland Fire Potential Monthly Outlook for Link to Wildfire Potential Outlooks from the National Interagency Coordination Center. July 2024 Seven Day Precipitation Forecast The majority of the current forecasted rainfall for the area is for this upcoming weekend through the start of the 2nd week of July. Ridging does appear to become increasingly likely which does mitigate widespread rainfall chances. Image Caption: Weather Prediction Center 7-day precipitation forecast valid Thursday July 4 to Thursday July 11 Rapid Onset Drought Outlook Links to the latest Climate Prediction Center 8 to 14 day Temperature Outlook and Precipitation Outlook. Summarize conditions and impacts here Image Caption: Days 8 to 14 U.S. Hazards Outlook Valid Month DD to DD. Long-Range Outlooks The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage For the month of July, well below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures are currently favored. This ties in with the anticipated increase in wildland fire potential and the continued anticipated effects of a warmer and drier pattern due to a transition to La Nina. Image Captions: Left - Climate Prediction Center Monthly Temperature Outlook. Right - Climate Prediction Center Monthly Precipitation Outlook. Valid July 2024 Drought Outlook The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage Increasing signal for drought development across the southeast With the anticipated drying out pattern this month; this does seem to be supported. Image Caption: Climate Prediction Center Monthly Drought Outlook Released Valid: Links to the latest: Climate Prediction Center Monthly Drought Outlook Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Drought Outlook July 2024 May 31, 2024 Contact Information For feedback, comments, questions specific to the Drought Information Statement please reach out to: nws.goodland@noaa.gov or tyler.trigg@noaa.gov