Drought Information Statement for Tri-State Area Valid May, 04, 2024 Issued By: NWS Goodland, Kansas Contact Information: nws.goodland@noaa.gov This product will be updated by the 5th of each month or sooner if drought conditions change significantly. Please see all currently available products at https://drought.gov/drought-information-statements. Please visit https://www.weather.gov/GLD/DroughtInformationStatement for previous statements. Please visit https://www.drought.gov/drought-status-updates for regional drought status updates. DROUGHT CONDITIONS WORSEN FOR MOST 1 U.S. Drought Monitor Link to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor for High Plains Image Caption: Goodland County Warning Area Drought Monitor. Valid Drought intensity and Extent D2 (Severe Drought): Graham D1 (Moderate Drought): Cheyenne (CO), Wallace, Greeley, Wichita D0: (Abnormally Dry): Dundy, Hitchcock, Yuma, Kit Carson, Cheyenne (KS), Rawlins, Decatur, Norton, Sherman, Thomas, Sheridan, Gove, Logan. 6am MDT May 04, 2024 Recent Change in Drought Intensity Link to the latest 4-week change map for CONUS 4 Week Drought Monitor Class Change. Drought Worsened: Dundy, Yuma, Kit Carson, Cheyenne (CO), Cheyenne (KS), Sherman, Thomas, Sheridan, Gove, Logan, Wallace, Greeley, Wichita Drought Improved: Hitchcock, Red Willow, Rawlins, Decatur, Norton, Graham Image Caption: U.S. Drought Monitor 4-week change map valid 6am MDT May 04, 2024 Precipitation Rainfall has favored mainly north of Interstate 70 and especially eastern portions of Kansas. Southern portions of our forecast area and further south have missed out on the rainfall. Main reasons for this is due to most of the rain being severe thunderstorm related along with the placement of the dryline being a bit further east. Image Captions: Right - Monthly Precipitation Amount for Tri-State Area Left - Percent of Normal Monthly Precipitation for Tri-State Area Data Courtesy of MRMS. Date Valid: May 04 2024 Temperature Temperatures, haven’t been overly warm which is helping to keep from a more “substantial” drought standpoint. Despite from not being overly warm temperatures have been about 2 degrees above normal for virtually the entire region. Image Captions: Right - Average Temperature Left - Departure from Normal Temperature Data Courtesy High Plains Regional Climate Center. Date Valid: May 04 2024 Summary of Impacts Links: See/submit Condition Monitoring Observer Reports (CMOR) and view the Drought Impacts Reporter Hydrologic Impacts There are no known impacts at this time Agricultural Impacts USDA Nebraska Crop Progress and Condition Reports can be found here USDA Kansas Crop Progress and Condition Reports can be found here Fire Hazard Impacts There are no known impacts at this time Other Impacts There are no known impacts at this time Mitigation Actions Please refer to your municipality and/or water provider for mitigation information. Hydrologic Conditions and Impacts Most of the streamflow is running about normal to below normal across the region. In Kansas and Colorado, the below normal to much below normal streamflows correlate with the relative more substantial drought degradation. Image Caption: USGS 7 day average streamflow HUC map valid May 04 2024 Agricultural Impacts Despite the dry conditions, crop moisture still remains “favorably moist” to “abnormally moist” with the more moist favoring SW Nebraska. This may still be the residual effects from the wet spring/summer from last year and the fairly wet winter. Image Captions: Right: Crop Moisture Index by Division. Weekly value for period ending April 15, 2023 Fire Hazard Impacts As spring greenup continues there looks to be no highlighted area for above normal significant wildfire potential. However, if the dryness does continue then there may be more of an elevated threat especially on very low humidity and windy days. Image Caption: Significant Wildland Fire Potential Monthly Outlook for Link to Wildfire Potential Outlooks from the National Interagency Coordination Center. May 2024 Seven Day Precipitation Forecast Next 7 days currently appears to be rather dry for the High Plains. Relative better chance for rainfall would be associated with the risk for more severe weather favoring eastern portions of the forecast area (Logan, Graham, Gove, Sheridan, Norton) counties on Monday. Image Caption: Weather Prediction Center 7-day precipitation forecast valid Saturday May 4 to Saturday May 11 Rapid Onset Drought Outlook Links to the latest Climate Prediction Center 8 to 14 day Temperature Outlook and Precipitation Outlook. Summarize conditions and impacts here Image Caption: Days 8 to 14 U.S. Hazards Outlook Valid Month DD to DD. Long-Range Outlooks The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage The transition to La Nina continues to look more likely heading through the summer months as this is reflected in the seasonal temperature outlook with above normal temperatures favored. As for precipitation; typical La Ninas favor below normal precipitation. However, due to the transition into La Nina there is no favored way or another for above or below normal precipitation. Image Captions: Left - Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Temperature Outlook. Right - Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Precipitation Outlook. Valid April 2024 Drought Outlook The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage Recent rains and upcoming threat for additional severe weather may lead to the potential for drought to end across the east. This map was made after the recent drought degradations across the west and south. Image Caption: Climate Prediction Center Monthly Drought Outlook Released Valid: Links to the latest: Climate Prediction Center Monthly Drought Outlook Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Drought Outlook May 2024 April 30, 2024 Contact Information For feedback, comments, questions specific to the Drought Information Statement please reach out to: nws.goodland@noaa.gov or tyler.trigg@noaa.gov