Overview
Synoptic conditions on September 22, 2005
A low amplitude mid level shortwave trough was moving ENE through the Great Lakes into southern Canada. The attendant surface cold front moved slowly southeast through the CWA (County Warning Area) in the late afternoon and evening. A weak pre-frontal trough also moved southeast across the CWA just ahead of the cold front, but no significant convection ever developed on this feature due to strong capping over the warm sector. Morning debris clouds quickly gave way to sunshine and the atmosphere quickly destabilized with surface based CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) reaching around 3000 J/kg just ahead of the cold front. Deep layer wind shear was sufficient for storm organization with 0-6km environmental shear on the order of 40 to 45 knots. Model performance was good with NAM and GFS models in good agreement on the timing, placement, and amplitude of the large scale weather features.
Click the tabs below to view photos, radar imagery, storm reports, and environmental data.
Photos
The following are still captures taken from video shot by Kurt Hulst. The top picture is from near Kinderhook, Michigan in southern Branch County. The bottom picture is just over the border in Indiana about 6 miles east of Angola. The pictures show a nice lowering from beneath the thunderstorm which is called a wall cloud. Also note on the right side of the second photo a feature sometimes referred to as a beavertail, which forms along the channel of air flowing into the base of the thunderstorm as it becomes ingested by the intense updraft. Hail size often increases when a storm forms a mesocyclone (rotation), since mesocyclones enhance the upward vertical motions within the thunderstorm and intensify the updraft. All else being equal, the stronger the updraft, the bigger the hail. This rotating storm was not able to produce a funnel cloud or tornado on this day, most likely due to the environmental conditions in the low levels of the atmosphere, which were not favorable for tornadoes.
If you have pictures of damage or storms from this event that you want us to see, send it to our email account (nws.northernindiana@noaa.gov) or post it on our Twitter (@NWSIWX) or Facebook. Remember to use the TEL method when you submit your report, including the Time, Event, & Location.
Near Kinderhook, Michigan |
6 E Angola |
Radar
Radar trends and observations
Many of the warned storms were very tall and had impressive elevated cores. Several impressive cross sections were taken including a 65-70dBz core to nearly 30 thousand feet on a storm over Fremont in Steuben County which produced golf ball size hail. A threshold of more than 4 pixels of 80+ DVIL (Digital Vertically Integrated Liquid) for 2 or more radar volume scans was used very successfully for warning decision making along with other tools, such as cross sections, legacy VIL, all tilts, and storm top divergence.
The image on the left below is Digital Vertically Integrated Liquid (DVIL) of the storm which produced golf ball size hail in Fremont, IN. This was a new radar product at the time that NWS forecasters here at the Northern Indiana Forecast Office evaluated and incorporated into the warning decision making process for large hail producing severe storms. The image in the middle is a reflectivity cross section of this same storm. Radar operators at the NWS can cut cross sections of storms, which are produced by putting together images from all of the elevation angles that the radar scans for that particular volume coverage pattern (>a href="https://training.weather.gov/wdtd/courses/rac/documentation/rac20-introduction.pdf" target="_blank">VCP). This image shows several storm features including an elevated core, which marks the location of developing hail stones within the storm, and also a Bounded Weak Echo Region (BWER). The BWER marks the location of the intense thunderstorm updraft. In this image the BWER is the area of weaker reflectivity below the elevated core. The presence of the BWER is a strong indication of an intense storm with supercell characteristics. The image on the right shows a 3-D view of this supercell at the same time. White arrow denotes air parcel flow into and through this intense supercell storm.
National Weather Service Doppler radar produces over 100 radar products designed to assist in warning decision making. These products however are only tools, and the decision to issue warnings is made by National Weather Service meteorologists who are constantly interrogating radar, satellite, observational, and spotter data.
Digital vertical integrated liquid (VIL) product. | 2-D reflectivity cross-section. White circle denotes large hail core aloft. | 3-D refectivity cube. White arrow denotes air parcel trajectory. |
Storm Reports
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1024 PM EST THU SEP 22 2005 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0426 PM HAIL THREE RIVERS 41.94N 85.63W 09/22/2005 0.50 INCH ST. JOSEPH MI LAW ENFORCEMENT 0430 PM TSTM WND DMG MENDON 42.01N 85.45W 09/22/2005 ST. JOSEPH MI LAW ENFORCEMENT 1 TREE BLOWN DOWN 0505 PM HAIL CENTREVILLE 41.92N 85.53W 09/22/2005 0.75 INCH ST. JOSEPH MI AMATEUR RADIO 0522 PM HAIL BRONSON 41.87N 85.19W 09/22/2005 0.75 INCH BRANCH MI AMATEUR RADIO 0552 PM HAIL 9 SSE COLDWATER 41.82N 84.94W 09/22/2005 0.75 INCH BRANCH MI AMATEUR RADIO 0605 PM HAIL MONTGOMERY 41.78N 84.81W 09/22/2005 0.88 INCH HILLSDALE MI EMERGENCY MNGR 0610 PM HAIL 5 N ANGOLA 41.72N 85.00W 09/22/2005 0.88 INCH STEUBEN IN AMATEUR RADIO 0610 PM TSTM WND DMG FREMONT 41.73N 84.93W 09/22/2005 STEUBEN IN AMATEUR RADIO NUMEROUS 3 INCH LIMBS DOWN. DEAD TREE BLOWN OVER. 0619 PM HAIL 4 N ANGOLA 41.70N 85.00W 09/22/2005 0.75 INCH STEUBEN IN AMATEUR RADIO 0623 PM HAIL FREMONT 41.73N 84.93W 09/22/2005 1.75 INCH STEUBEN IN AMATEUR RADIO 0625 PM HAIL 6 E FREMONT 41.73N 84.82W 09/22/2005 1.75 INCH STEUBEN IN AMATEUR RADIO 0633 PM HAIL 6 SE MONTGOMERY 41.72N 84.72W 09/22/2005 0.88 INCH HILLSDALE MI TRAINED SPOTTER 0640 PM HAIL MONTGOMERY 41.78N 84.81W 09/22/2005 0.88 INCH HILLSDALE MI EMERGENCY MNGR 0648 PM HAIL FREMONT 41.73N 84.93W 09/22/2005 0.75 INCH STEUBEN IN AMATEUR RADIO 0648 PM HAIL FREMONT 41.73N 84.93W 09/22/2005 0.88 INCH STEUBEN IN AMATEUR RADIO FIRESTATION DOWNTOWN 0650 PM HAIL 3 N MONTPELIER 41.62N 84.60W 09/22/2005 0.75 INCH WILLIAMS OH LAW ENFORCEMENT 0650 PM TSTM WND DMG WEST UNITY 41.59N 84.43W 09/22/2005 WILLIAMS OH LAW ENFORCEMENT NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN NORTHEAST WILLIAMS COUNTY. 0700 PM TSTM WND DMG FREMONT 41.73N 84.93W 09/22/2005 STEUBEN IN AMATEUR RADIO TWO 12 INCH DIAMETER TREES DOWN. ALL POWER IS OUT IN FREMONT AND ALL LAND PHONES NOT WORKING. 0705 PM HAIL EDON 41.56N 84.77W 09/22/2005 1.00 INCH WILLIAMS OH LAW ENFORCEMENT 0705 PM HAIL 4 NW WEST UNITY 41.63N 84.49W 09/22/2005 1.00 INCH WILLIAMS OH LAW ENFORCEMENT 0710 PM HAIL 1 W ANGOLA 41.64N 85.02W 09/22/2005 1.00 INCH STEUBEN IN AMATEUR RADIO 0713 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 S FAYETTE 41.61N 84.33W 09/22/2005 FULTON OH LAW ENFORCEMENT TREE DOWN 0732 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 N ARCHBOLD 41.57N 84.30W 09/22/2005 FULTON OH LAW ENFORCEMENT POWER POLE DOWN 0838 PM HAIL 10 NE HICKSVILLE 41.40N 84.63W 09/22/2005 0.75 INCH DEFIANCE OH TRAINED SPOTTER 0910 PM HAIL ANTWERP 41.18N 84.74W 09/22/2005 0.75 INCH PAULDING OH LAW ENFORCEMENT && $$
Environment
Mesoscale/Stormscale conditions
A decaying MCS (Mesoscale Convective System) moved through southern lower Michigan during the morning hours. This along with ongoing convection over central lower Michigan lead to a differential heating boundary over far southern lower Michigan between rain cooled air to the north and warm and sunny conditions to the south. An Elevated Mixed Layer (EML) plume emanating off the high plains advected over the region and provided a strong cap over the warm sector. The only location where this cap was overcome was immediately along the main surface cold front where mass convergence was maximized and the cap was sufficiently weakened. Storms initiated over Cass County Michigan and continued to build slowly southeast. There was a tendency for back-building of new storms over the same areas. Once the strong cap was overcome storm updrafts were able to take advantage of steep mid level lapse rates within the EML plume of 7.5C/km in the 700mb-500mb layer. This resulted in vigorous and very tall updrafts which were very efficient in producing large hail. Several storms took on HP (High Precipitation) supercell characteristics with well developed mid level mesocyclones. High LCL heights and unfavorable low level helicity profiles prevented these mesocyclones from descending.
The image below on the left shows 500mb heights and vorticity. The dashed red line shows the location of the mid level shortwave trough. Large scale lift in the atmosphere, which promotes storm development, occurs just ahead of these mid level shortwaves. The image at center is a surface map depicting the location of the surface cold front at 23Z, or 6pm EST. The image on the right is a map of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE). CAPE is a measure of the potential energy for storm growth if a thunderstorm updraft initiates.
500 mb Heights and Vorticity | SFC map at 23Z/6pm EST | Convective Available Energy (CAPE) |
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