National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

The remnants of Tropical Cyclone Rachel and a Pacific low pressure system will combine to produce windy conditions across much of the area on Sunday morning and afternoon. Wind gusts upwards of 30-55 mph are expected. A Wind Advisory has been issued for much of the state for Sunday morning and afternoon. Portions of SE CA and SW AZ are under the advisory from 2am-5pm MST/PDT on Sunday and south-central AZ is under the advisory from 8am-5pm MST on Sunday.
A low pressure system will combine with the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Rachel bringing increased rain chances and breezy to windy conditions to the region this weekend. Isolated thunderstorms and localized heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding is possible. Additionally strong gusty winds are expected and could lead to areas of blowing dust.
With the influx of moisture due to the remnants of Tropical Storm Rachel the Weather Prediction Center has upgraded the excessive rainfall potential to a Moderate for certain areas in SE CA starting on the day 2 outlook, while widespread Slight Risk will be common during the day 3 timeframe.
Over the weekend the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has put the portions of the lower deserts and South-central in a Marginal Risk Saturday Oct. 10th 2026. Additionally SPC has categorized the probability of severe winds between a 5-14% and chances for tornados in the lower western deserts between a 2-4%.
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed areas of the lower deserts into the AZ Northern high terrain in a Moderate Risk for severe weather Oct. 11th, 2026. Additionally, in the same region as the Moderate Risk a 2-14% chance for severe winds is present.

 

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