There will be chances for showers and storms today and Wednesday across south-central AZ before drier air moves in heading into Thursday that will push rain chances mostly to the AZ high terrain. Chances peak Wednesday at 50-80% chance. Flash flooding will be the primary threat, but gusty winds leading to localized blowing dust will also be a hazard.
Storms over the next couple days will be capable of producing flash flooding, driven by high rainfall rates. The Weather Prediction Center has introduced a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall (at least 15% chance of flash flooding within 25 miles of a point).
Temperatures will cool through the middle of the week before warming again by the weekend. With the cooling trend, HeatRisk will briefly dip into the minor category.
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