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***  EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE   ***

 

Experimental Surf Forecast Matrix
Experimental - Leave Feedback
What's This?
Product Description Document

 

In the tabs below you can view Surf Forecast Matrices for various beaches over southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina.  This product is experimental and not intended to be substituted for the official Surf Zone Forecast, which can be viewed HERE.  Additional information on this project and variable definitions can be found HERE. We are seeking feedback on this over the next several months, so please send us your input via an online survey.

The Rip Probabilities included in the matrices below are from a rip current forecast model tied to NOAA's Nearshore Wave Prediction System. This model predicts the probabilities of hazardous rip currents occurring using output from the nearshore wave model and predicted tide levels. Values are calculated from 0-100%, hourly through 144 hours. (Please note, the model is known to have a high bias, especially for beaches south of Cape Fear.)

To retrieve links to the individual surf matrix for each beach, click the beach name in the blue banner above the matrix (after clicking the tab for the beach).

 

 

Surf  City,  NC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    90   79   52   59   79   64   34   49   75   71   35   35   60   59
Surf Height (ft)    2    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    7    6    6    6    6    9    9    9    8    8    8    8    8
Chance Precip      30   20   20   20   10   20   10    5    5    0    0    5    5   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        78   77   75   75   79   80   79   79   77   75   73   73   79   80
Heat Index                                  86   85                                 86
Wind (mph)         S7  SW7  SW5  NE5  SE5   S7  S10  SW9  SW8   W7   W6   W5   S5   S9
Wind Gust                                                                           14
Longshore        Weak Weak Weak None None None None  Mod Weak Weak Weak None Weak None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Mod  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    16   43   11   41   12   35    6   27    6   26    5   31
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    1    1    1    1    1    2    3    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    9    9    9   11   12   11   11   10   10
Chance Precip      10    5    5   10    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        78   75   73   80   77   72   69   77   76   72   68   76
Heat Index                        85                                        
Wind (mph)         S8   W6   W6  SW8  NW8   N8   N9   N8  NE7   N6   N8   E9
Wind Gust                         14                                      14
Longshore         Mod Weak None Weak None None None Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Mod None None None None None None None

 
Topsail  Beach,  NC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    86   79   56   60   77   68   39   46   68   68   36   32   52   54
Surf Height (ft)    2    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    7    6    6    6    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip      30   20   20   20   10   20    5    5    5    0    0    5    5   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        78   77   75   75   79   79   79   78   77   75   74   73   79   80
Heat Index                             83   86   85                                 85
Wind (mph)         S8  SW7  SW3  NE5  SE5   S7  S10 SW10  SW9   W7   W6   W5   S5   S9
Wind Gust                                   12   15                                 14
Longshore        Weak Weak Weak None None None None  Mod Weak Weak Weak None Weak None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Mod  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    15   37   11   35   11   33    8   27    7   26    7   30
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    1    1    1    1    1    3    3    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    9    9    9    9    9   12   12   11   11   10   10
Chance Precip      10    5    5   10    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        78   75   73   79   77   72   69   77   76   72   69   75
Heat Index                        84                                        
Wind (mph)         S8   W7   W6  SW8   W8   N8   N9   N8  NE7   N6   N8   E9
Wind Gust                         14                                      14
Longshore        Weak Weak None Weak None None None Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Mod None None None None None None None

 
Wrightsville  Beach,  NC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    86   75   48   56   78   67   32   39   68   66   29   26   50   47
Surf Height (ft)    3    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    6    6    6    8   10   10    9    8    6    6    6    6
Chance Precip      30   20   20   20   10   10    5    5    5    5    5   10   10   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        78   77   76   76   79   79   80   78   78   76   74   74   79   80
Heat Index                                  85   85                                 85
Wind (mph)         S8  SW6  SW5   E5   S6   S8  S10 SW10  SW9   W8   W6   W5   S6   S9
Wind Gust                                        15                                   
Longshore        Weak Weak Weak None Weak Weak  Mod  Mod  Mod Weak None None Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Mod  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    12   38    9   37   10   40    8   32    8   38   10   45
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    9    9    9   12   11   11   11   10   10
Chance Precip      10   10    5   10    5    0    0    5    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   77   73   79   78   73   71   76   76   74   70   75
Heat Index                        84                                        
Wind (mph)         S9  SW7   W7  SW9   W9   N9  N10  NE8  NE7   N6   N9  E10
Wind Gust                                                                   
Longshore         Mod Weak None Weak None Weak  Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None None None None None None None

 
Masonboro  Island,  NC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    83   69   41   49   74   60   26   34   64   59   23   19   39   35
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    3    1    1    1    2    1    1    2    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    8    8    8    9   10   10    9    8    8    8    8    7
Chance Precip      30   20   20   20   10   10    5    5    5    5    5   10   10   10
TSTM Potential    Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        78   78   77   77   79   80   80   78   78   76   75   75   79   80
Heat Index                                  86   86                                 86
Wind (mph)         S8  SW7  SW5  SE5   S6   S9  S10 SW10  SW9   W8   W6   W5   S5   S9
Wind Gust                                        15                                   
Longshore        Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  Mod  Mod Weak None None Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Mod  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    10   31    7   30    7   36    8   37   10   46   12   56
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    3
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    9    9    9   10   12   11   11   10   10
Chance Precip      10   10    5   10    5    0    0    5    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   77   74   80   78   73   71   77   76   74   71   75
Heat Index                        84                                        
Wind (mph)         S9  SW7   W7  SW9   W8   N9  N10  NE8  NE7  NE6   N8  E10
Wind Gust                                                                 15
Longshore         Mod Weak None Weak None Weak  Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None None None None None None None

 
Carolina  Beach,  NC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    82   69   40   49   74   60   26   33   63   58   23   15   34   34
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    3    2    2    2    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    7    7   10   10   10   10   10    7    6   10   10
Chance Precip      30   30   20   20   10   10    5    5    5    5    5   10   10   10
TSTM Potential    Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   78   77   77   79   79   80   79   78   77   76   75   79   80
Heat Index                             84   86   85                            83   85
Wind (mph)         S8  SW7  SW5   S5   S6   S9 SW10 SW10  SW9  SW8   W6   W3   S5   S9
Wind Gust                                                                           14
Longshore        Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  Mod  Mod Weak None None Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     9   30    7   29    7   36    9   41   11   51   15   62
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    3
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    9    9    9    9   12   11   11   10   10
Chance Precip      10   10    5   10    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   77   74   79   78   74   71   76   76   74   72   75
Heat Index                        84                                        
Wind (mph)         S8  SW7   W6  SW9   W8   N8   N9  NE8  NE7  NE6   N8  E10
Wind Gust                                                                 15
Longshore        Weak Weak None Weak None None  Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Mod None None None None None None None

 
Kure  Beach,  NC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    78   71   40   44   69   62   26   28   57   58   23   13   29   33
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    1    2    2    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      9    8    8    8   10   10   10   10   10   10   10    8   10   10
Chance Precip      30   30   20   20   10    5    0    5    5    5    5   10   10   10
TSTM Potential    Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   78   77   77   79   80   80   79   78   77   76   75   79   80
Heat Index                                  85   85                                 85
Wind (mph)         S8  SW7  SW5   S5  SW6   S9 SW10 SW10 SW10  SW8   W6   W3   S6   S9
Wind Gust                                   14   15                                 14
Longshore        Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  Mod  Mod Weak None None Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     7   30    6   28    6   34   10   41   12   52   17   62
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    9    9    9    9   12   11   11   10   10
Chance Precip      10   10    5   10    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   77   75   80   78   75   72   77   76   74   72   76
Heat Index                        84                                        
Wind (mph)        SW9  SW7   W7  SW9   W8   N8  N10  NE8  NE7   E6   N8  E10
Wind Gust                                                            13   15
Longshore        Weak Weak None Weak None None  Mod Weak Weak None Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None None None None None None None

 
Bald  Head  Island,  NC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    74   57   29   36   59   47   16   21   37   47   16   15   26   25
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    9    9    9    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8
Chance Precip      40   30   20   20   10    5    5    5    5    5    5   10   10   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   79   78   77   79   79   79   79   79   78   77   77   79   80
Heat Index                                  84   84                                 85
Wind (mph)         S8  SW7  SW5  SW5  SW6  SW9 SW10 SW10 SW10  SW9   W7   W5   S6   S8
Wind Gust                                                                             
Longshore        None None Weak None None None None None Weak  Mod Weak Weak None None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     5   22    4   21    4   25    6   24   12   34   17   46
Surf Height (ft)    2    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    1
Dom Period (s)      9    9    7    7    9    9    9   12   11   11   10   10
Chance Precip      10   10   10   10    5    0    0    0    5    0    5    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        80   78   76   79   78   75   73   76   76   75   73   75
Heat Index                        83                                        
Wind (mph)        SW9   W8   W7  SW8   W8   N9  N10  NE8   E6   E6  NE8  E10
Wind Gust                                                            13     
Longshore        None Weak Weak Weak Weak None None None Weak Weak None  Mod
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None None None None None None None

 
Oak  Island,  NC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    76   55   23   28   47   33   12   23   60   57   21   19   40   36
Surf Height (ft)    2    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3
Dom Period (s)      7    7    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6
Chance Precip      30   20   20   20   10    5    5    5    5    5    5   10   10   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        78   77   76   76   79   80   79   78   78   76   75   75   79   80
Heat Index                             83   85   84                            83   86
Wind (mph)        SW7  SW6   W3  SW3  SW6  SW8  SW9  SW8  SW8  SW7   W5   W3   S5   S8
Wind Gust                                   14   15   13   13                       13
Longshore        None None Weak None None None None None None Weak Weak Weak None None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     6   22    5   26    4   18    2    6    1    3    0    1
Surf Height (ft)    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    1
Dom Period (s)      6    5    6    6    5    4    5    4    5    7   10    8
Chance Precip      10   10    5   10    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        78   76   73   80   78   73   70   78   76   72   70   76
Heat Index                        84                                        
Wind (mph)        SW6   W6   W5  SW8   W6   N7   N8  NE7   E5   E3  NE7   E9
Wind Gust                         13             13                       14
Longshore        None Weak Weak Weak Weak None None None Weak Weak None Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Mod None None None None None None None

 
Holden  Beach,  NC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    85   69   32   40   62   47   16   32   71   70   30   27   52   43
Surf Height (ft)    4    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3
Dom Period (s)      7    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    5    5    5
Chance Precip      20   20   20   10   10    5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5   10
TSTM Potential    Low  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   78   77   76   79   79   79   79   78   76   75   75   79   81
Heat Index                             84   86   85                            84   87
Wind (mph)        SW9  SW7   W5   S5  SW7  SW9 SW10 SW10 SW10  SW9   W6   W3   S6   S9
Wind Gust                                        15                                   
Longshore        None None Weak None None None None None None Weak Weak Weak None None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     8   30    7   33    5   23    2    8    1    5    0    3
Surf Height (ft)    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    1
Dom Period (s)      5    5    5    4    4    4    4    8   12   11   10   10
Chance Precip      10   10    5   10    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   77   74   80   78   73   70   78   76   73   70   76
Heat Index                        86                  83                    
Wind (mph)        SW8   W7   W6  SW9   W7   N8   N9  NE7   E6   E5  NE8   E9
Wind Gust                                                                   
Longshore        None Weak Weak Weak Weak None None None Weak Weak None Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None None None None None None None

 
Ocean  Isle  Beach,  NC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    87   72   35   45   68   55   21   38   75   72   30   28   55   47
Surf Height (ft)    4    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3
Dom Period (s)      7    7    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    5    5
Chance Precip      20   20   10   10   10    5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5   10
TSTM Potential   None  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   78   77   76   79   80   80   80   79   77   76   75   79   80
Heat Index                             85   87   85                            84   87
Wind (mph)        SW9  SW7  SW5   S6  SW7  SW9  S12 SW10 SW10  SW8   W6   W3   S6   S9
Wind Gust                                   14        15                            14
Longshore        None Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak None None  Mod Weak Weak Weak None None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     8   33    7   33    5   26    2    9    1    6    1    5
Surf Height (ft)    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    1    1
Dom Period (s)      5    5    5    5    4    7    8    8   12   11   11   10
Chance Precip      10    5    5   10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   77   74   80   78   74   71   78   77   74   70   76
Heat Index                        86                  83                    
Wind (mph)        SW8   W7   W6  SW9   W6   N7   N8   N8   E6   E5  NE8   E9
Wind Gust                         14                                        
Longshore        None Weak Weak Weak Weak None None None Weak Weak Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None None None None None None None

 
Sunset  Beach,  NC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    87   74   36   47   71   59   22   38   74   71   28   26   53   51
Surf Height (ft)    4    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3
Dom Period (s)      7    7    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    5    5
Chance Precip      20   10   10   10   10    5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   78   77   76   79   80   80   80   79   77   75   75   79   80
Heat Index                             84   87   85                            84   87
Wind (mph)        SW9  SW6  SW5  SW5  SW7   S9  S12 SW10 SW10  SW8   W6  SW3   S6   S9
Wind Gust                                   14        15                            14
Longshore        None Weak Weak Weak Weak None None None  Mod  Mod Weak Weak None None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     8   32    6   31    5   25    2   10    1    7    1    7
Surf Height (ft)    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    1    1
Dom Period (s)      5    5    5    5    7    8    8    9   12   11   11   10
Chance Precip      10    5    5   10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   77   74   80   79   73   71   78   77   74   70   77
Heat Index                        86                  83                    
Wind (mph)        SW8  SW7   W6  SW9   W6   N7   N8   N8   E6   E5  NE8   E9
Wind Gust                                                                   
Longshore        None Weak Weak Weak Weak None None None Weak Weak Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None None None None None None None

 
Cherry  Grove,  SC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    85   67   28   39   63   51   18   37   75   71   28   20   39   37
Surf Height (ft)    2    1    1    1    2    2    2    1    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    7    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    5    5    5
Chance Precip      20   10   10   10   10    5    5    0    0    0    0    5    5   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   78   77   76   80   80   80   80   78   77   75   75   80   81
Heat Index                             84   87   86                            84   88
Wind (mph)        SW9  SW6  SW5  SW5  SW7   S9  S12 SW12 SW10  SW8   W6  SW3   S6   S9
Wind Gust                                   14                                      14
Longshore        None Weak Weak Weak Weak None None None  Mod Weak Weak Weak None None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     9   32    6   32    5   22    2    9    1    7    1    7
Surf Height (ft)    2    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      5    4    5    4    4    6    8    9   12   11   11   10
Chance Precip      10    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   76   74   81   79   73   70   79   77   73   70   77
Heat Index                        86                  84                    
Wind (mph)        SW8  SW7   W6  SW8   W6   N7   N8  NE7  NE6   E5  NE7   E9
Wind Gust                         13                                        
Longshore        None Weak Weak Weak Weak None None None Weak Weak Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None None None None None None None

 
North  Myrtle  Beach,  SC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    86   69   31   42   67   58   22   39   75   69   27   17   40   39
Surf Height (ft)    2    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    7    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    5    5
Chance Precip      10   10   10   10   10    5    5    0    0    0    0    5    5   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   78   77   76   79   81   80   80   78   76   75   75   80   81
Heat Index                             84   87   86                            85   88
Wind (mph)        SW8  SW6  SW5  SW5  SW7   S9  S12 SW12  SW9  SW8   W5  SW3   S6   S9
Wind Gust          13                       14             14                       14
Longshore        None Weak Weak Weak Weak None None None  Mod Weak Weak Weak None None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     9   34    6   31    5   23    2   10    1    7    1   10
Surf Height (ft)    2    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      6    6    6    6    8    9    9    9   12   11   11   10
Chance Precip       5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   77   73   81   79   74   71   78   77   74   70   77
Heat Index                        87                  83                    
Wind (mph)        SW8  SW6   W6  SW8   W6   N7   N8  NE7  NE6   E5  NE7   E8
Wind Gust                         13             13   12             12   14
Longshore        None Weak Weak Weak Weak None None None Weak Weak Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None None None None None None None

 
Myrtle  Beach,  SC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    81   65   28   41   69   58   18   31   67   60   20   12   33   33
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    5    5    5
Chance Precip      10   10   10    5    5    5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   78   77   76   79   81   81   80   79   77   75   75   80   81
Heat Index                             84   87   87                            85   87
Wind (mph)        SW8  SW6  SW5  SW5  SW7  S10  S13  S12  SW9  SW8  SW6  SW3   S6   S9
Wind Gust                                                  14                       14
Longshore         Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  Mod  Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     7   28    4   24    3   20    2   14    2   13    1   18
Surf Height (ft)    2    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      9    9    5    9    9    9    9    9   12   11   11   10
Chance Precip       5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   77   74   81   79   74   71   78   77   75   71   77
Heat Index                        87                  83                    
Wind (mph)        SW9  SW7   W6  SW8   W6   N7   N8  NE8  NE6   E6  NE8   E9
Wind Gust                         13                                      14
Longshore         Mod Weak Weak Weak None None Weak Weak Weak None Weak  Mod
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None None None None None None None

 
Surfside  Beach,  SC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    79   63   27   38   66   56   19   30   64   57   13   10   29   31
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    1    2    2    2    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    5    8    8
Chance Precip      10   10   10    5    5    5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr
Temperature        78   77   76   76   79   81   80   79   78   76   75   75   80   81
Heat Index                             84   88   87                            85   88
Wind (mph)        SW8  SW6  SW5  SW5  SW7  S10  S13 SW12  SW9  SW8  SW5  SW3   S6   S9
Wind Gust                                   15        17   14                       14
Longshore        Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  Mod  Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     6   27    4   22    3   18    2   14    2   17    2   25
Surf Height (ft)    2    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      9    9    8    9    9    9    9    9   12   11   11   10
Chance Precip       5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   76   73   81   79   73   71   79   77   74   71   77
Heat Index                        87                  83                    
Wind (mph)        SW8  SW6   W6  SW8   W6   N7   N8  NE8   E6   E5  NE8   E9
Wind Gust          13             13                                      15
Longshore         Mod Weak Weak Weak None None Weak Weak Weak None Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None None None None None None None

 
Murrells  Inlet,  SC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    57   44   22   27   44   37   17   23   41   35   13    7   16   16
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    1    2    2    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    7    7   10
Chance Precip      10   10   10    5    5    5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   77   77   76   79   80   79   79   78   77   75   75   79   80
Heat Index                             84   87   86                            85   88
Wind (mph)        SW9  SW6  SW5  SW5  SW7  S10  S13 SW13 SW10  SW8  SW6  SW5   S6   S9
Wind Gust                                                                           14
Longshore         Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  Mod  Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     5   14    3   10    2    8    2   11    3   13    3   20
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)     10    9    9    9    9    9    9    9   12   11   11   10
Chance Precip       5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   77   74   80   79   74   71   78   77   74   72   76
Heat Index                        87                  83                    
Wind (mph)        SW9  SW7   W6  SW8   W7   N8   N9  NE8   E6   E6  NE8  E10
Wind Gust                         13                                      15
Longshore         Mod Weak None Weak None None Weak Weak Weak None Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None None None None None None None

 
Litchfield  Beach,  SC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    79   64   28   38   63   56   24   34   64   58   21   13   30   32
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    1    1    2    2    2    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    5    6   10
Chance Precip      10   10   10    5    5    5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   78   77   76   79   80   80   80   79   77   76   75   79   80
Heat Index                             84   87   87                            85   87
Wind (mph)        SW9  SW7  SW6  SW5  SW8  S10  S14 SW13 SW10  SW8  SW6  SW5   S6   S9
Wind Gust                                                                           14
Longshore         Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  Mod  Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     8   29    5   21    4   16    2    9    2   13    3   20
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)     10    9    9    9    9    9    9    9   12   11   11   10
Chance Precip       5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        80   77   74   80   80   75   72   78   77   75   72   76
Heat Index         84             86                                        
Wind (mph)       SW10  SW8   W7  SW8   W8   N8   N9  NE8   E7   E6  NE9  E10
Wind Gust                         13                                      15
Longshore         Mod Weak None Weak None None Weak Weak None None Weak None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None None None None None None None

 
Pawleys  Island,  SC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    69   57   27   34   56   48   20   26   51   47   14   10   21   24
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    5    8   10
Chance Precip      10   20   10    5    5    5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr
Temperature        78   77   76   76   79   80   80   79   79   77   75   75   79   80
Heat Index                             84   87   87                            85   88
Wind (mph)        SW7  SW6  SW5  SW5  SW7   S9  S13 SW12  SW9  SW7  SW6  SW5  SW6   S9
Wind Gust                                   14                                      14
Longshore        Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  Mod  Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     6   20    4   15    3   13    3   11    3   17    4   27
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)     10    9    9    9    9    9    9    9   12   11   11   10
Chance Precip       5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        80   76   74   80   79   74   71   78   77   74   72   76
Heat Index                        87                  83                    
Wind (mph)        SW9  SW7   W6  SW8   W7   N7   N8  NE8   E6   E5  NE8  E10
Wind Gust                                                                 15
Longshore         Mod Weak None None None None Weak Weak None None Weak None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None None None None None None None

 
Debordieu  Beach,  SC

Date                    Sun 09/29                               Mon 09/30
EDT 3hrly          23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                 Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    61   47   22   29   47   39   16   21   43   37   10    8   17   18
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    7    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    9   10   10
Chance Precip      10   20   10    5    5    5    0    0    0    5    5    5    5    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr
Temperature        78   77   76   76   79   81   80   79   78   76   75   75   80   81
Heat Index                             84   87   87                            85   88
Wind (mph)        SW7  SW6  SW3  SW5  SW7   S9  S13 SW10  SW9  SW7  SW5  SW3  SW6   S9
Wind Gust                                   14        16                            14
Longshore        Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  Mod  Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low


Date                    Tue 10/01           Wed 10/02           Thu 10/03
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     5   14    3   10    2    9    2   12    3   17    4   29
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)     10   10    9    9    9    9    9    9   12   11   11   10
Chance Precip       5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        79   76   74   81   79   74   71   78   77   74   72   77
Heat Index                        87                  83                    
Wind (mph)        SW8  SW7   W6  SW8   W7   N7   N8  NE8   E6   E5  NE8  E10
Wind Gust          13             13                                      16
Longshore         Mod Weak None None None None Weak Weak None None Weak None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None None None None None None None