National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

 

Elizabethtown, North Carolina Spring and Fall Freeze Statistics

 

Elizabethtown's average date for the last spring freeze is  March 30

 

Spring freeze statistics sorted by probability

Probability Date
1% Mar 2
5% Mar 10
10% Mar 14
25% Mar 22
50% Mar 30
75% Apr 7
90% Apr 14
95% Apr 19
99% Apr 27

 

 

 

 

Earliest last spring freeze: March 8, 2010

Latest last spring freeze: May 2, 1963

 

 

 

Spring freeze statistics sorted by date

Date Probability
Jan 25 0.0%
Feb 1 0.0%
Feb 5 0.0%
Feb 10 0.0%
Feb 15 0.0%
Feb 20 0.1%
Feb 25 0.3%
Mar 1 0.7%
Mar 5 1.8%
Mar 10 4.5%
Mar 15 10.0%
Mar 20 19.3%
Mar 25 32.6%
Mar 30 48.5%
Apr 5 67.7%
Apr 10 80.9%
Apr 15 90.1%
Apr 20 95.5%
Apr 25 98.3%
Apr 30 99.4%
May 5 99.8%
May 10 100.0%

 

 

 

 

 

Spring Freeze probabilities for Elizabethtown, NC

Observed spring freeze dates 1950-2020 in Elizabethtown, NC

Since 1950, Elizabethtown has 28 years of missing climate data. This makes it difficult to determine a statistically accurate change in spring freeze dates

 

 

 

Elizabethtown's average date for the first fall freeze is  November 3

 

Fall freeze statistics sorted by probability

Probability Date
1% Oct 5
5% Oct 13
10% Oct 18
25% Oct 25
50% Nov 3
75% Nov 11
90% Nov 18
95% Nov 23
99% Dec 1

 

 

 

 

Earliest first fall freeze: October 4, 1974

Latest first fall freeze: November 26, 1978

 

 

 

Fall freeze statistics sorted by date

Date Probability
Oct 1 0.4%
Oct 5 0.9%
Oct 10 2.6%
Oct 15 6.2%
Oct 20 12.8%
Oct 25 23.2%
Nov 1 43.5%
Nov 5 56.4%
Nov 10 71.4%
Nov 15 83.4%
Nov 20 91.5%
Nov 25 96.2%
Nov 30 98.6%
Dec 5 99.5%
Dec 10 99.9%
Dec 15 100.0%
Dec 20 100.0%
Dec 25 100.0%
Dec 30 100.0%

 

 

 

 

 

Fall Freeze probabilities for Elizabethtown, NC

Observed fall freeze dates 1950-2020 in Elizabethtown, NC

Since 1950, Elizabethtown has 28 years of missing climate data. This makes it difficult to determine a statistically accurate change in fall freeze dates

 

 

 

Elizabethtown's average growing season length is  215 days

 

Growing season statistics sorted by probability

Probability Days
1% 254
5% 242
10% 236
25% 226
50% 215
75% 204
90% 194
95% 188
99% 176

 

 

 

 

Shortest growing season: 179 days in 1974

Longest growing season: 252 days in 1978

 

 

 

Growing season statistics sorted by days

Days Probability
160 100.0%
170 99.7%
180 98.2%
190 93.4%
200 81.7%
210 61.9%
220 38.2%
225 27.5%
230 18.5%
235 11.6%
240 6.7%
245 3.6%
250 1.8%
255 0.8%
260 0.4%
270 0.0%
280 0.0%
290 0.0%
300 0.0%

 

 

 

 

 

Growing season length probabilities for Elizabethtown, NC

Observed growing season lengths from 1950-2020 in Elizabethtown, NC

Since 1950, Elizabethtown has 28 years of missing climate data. This makes it difficult to determine a statistically accurate change in growing season length

 

 

 

Research and Page Author: Tim Armstrong and Vicky Oliva
Last Updated: September 13, 2026