National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Elizabethtown, North Carolina Spring and Fall Freeze Statistics

 

Elizabethtown's average date for the last spring freeze is  March 31

 

Spring freeze statistics sorted by probability

Probability Date
1% Mar 1
5% Mar 10
10% Mar 15
25% Mar 22
50% Mar 31
75% Apr 9
90% Apr 17
95% Apr 21
99% Apr 30

 

 

 

 

Earliest last spring freeze: March 8, 2010

Latest last spring freeze: May 2, 1963

 

 

 

Spring freeze statistics sorted by date

Date Probability
Jan 25 0.0%
Feb 1 0.0%
Feb 5 0.0%
Feb 10 0.0%
Feb 15 0.0%
Feb 20 0.1%
Feb 25 0.4%
Mar 1 0.9%
Mar 5 1.9%
Mar 10 4.6%
Mar 15 9.7%
Mar 20 18.2%
Mar 25 30.2%
Mar 30 44.8%
Apr 5 63.2%
Apr 10 76.6%
Apr 15 86.8%
Apr 20 93.4%
Apr 25 97.1%
Apr 30 98.9%
May 5 99.6%
May 10 99.9%

 

 

 

 

 

Spring Freeze probabilities for Elizabethtown, NC

Observed spring freeze dates 1950-2020 in Elizabethtown, NC

Since 1950, Elizabethtown has 28 years of missing climate data. This makes it difficult to determine a statistically accurate change in spring freeze dates

 

 

 

Elizabethtown's average date for the first fall freeze is  November 2

 

Fall freeze statistics sorted by probability

Probability Date
1% Oct 5
5% Oct 13
10% Oct 18
25% Oct 25
50% Nov 2
75% Nov 11
90% Nov 18
95% Nov 22
99% Dec 1

 

 

 

 

Earliest first fall freeze: October 4, 1974

Latest first fall freeze: November 26, 1978

 

 

 

Fall freeze statistics sorted by date

Date Probability
Oct 1 0.3%
Oct 5 0.9%
Oct 10 2.5%
Oct 15 6.0%
Oct 20 12.7%
Oct 25 23.3%
Nov 1 43.9%
Nov 5 57.0%
Nov 10 72.1%
Nov 15 84.1%
Nov 20 92.1%
Nov 25 96.6%
Nov 30 98.7%
Dec 5 99.6%
Dec 10 99.9%
Dec 15 100.0%
Dec 20 100.0%
Dec 25 100.0%
Dec 30 100.0%

 

 

 

 

 

Fall Freeze probabilities for Elizabethtown, NC

Observed fall freeze dates 1950-2020 in Elizabethtown, NC

Since 1950, Elizabethtown has 28 years of missing climate data. This makes it difficult to determine a statistically accurate change in fall freeze dates

 

 

 

Elizabethtown's average growing season length is  214 days

 

Growing season statistics sorted by probability

Probability Days
1% 254
5% 242
10% 236
25% 226
50% 214
75% 202
90% 192
95% 185
99% 173

 

 

 

 

Shortest growing season: 179 days in 1974

Longest growing season: 252 days in 1978

 

 

 

Growing season statistics sorted by days

Days Probability
160 99.9%
170 99.4%
180 97.4%
190 91.5%
200 78.7%
210 58.7%
220 36.0%
225 25.9%
230 17.5%
235 11.1%
240 6.6%
245 3.6%
250 1.9%
255 0.9%
260 0.4%
270 0.1%
280 0.0%
290 0.0%
300 0.0%

 

 

 

 

 

Growing season length probabilities for Elizabethtown, NC

Observed growing season lengths from 1950-2020 in Elizabethtown, NC

Since 1950, Elizabethtown has 28 years of missing climate data. This makes it difficult to determine a statistically accurate change in growing season length

 

 

 

Research and Page Author: Tim Armstrong
Last Updated: February 28, 2021