National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

 

Castle Hayne, North Carolina Spring and Fall Freeze Statistics

 

Castle Hayne's average date for the last spring freeze is March 31

 

Spring freeze statistics sorted by probability

Probability Date
1% Feb 27
5% Mar 8
10% Mar 13
25% Mar 21
50% Mar 31
75% Apr 9
90% Apr 17
95% Apr 22
99% May 1

 

 

 

 

Earliest last spring freeze: Feb 22, 2024

Latest last spring freeze: May 8, 1989

 

 

 

Spring freeze statistics sorted by date

Date Probability
Jan 25 0.0%
Feb 1 0.0%
Feb 5 0.0%
Feb 10 0.0%
Feb 15 0.1%
Feb 20 0.2%
Feb 25 0.6%
Mar 1 1.4%
Mar 5 2.8%
Mar 10 6.1%
Mar 15 11.9%
Mar 20 20.7%
Mar 25 32.6%
Mar 30 46.7%
Apr 5 63.9%
Apr 10 76.5%
Apr 15 86.2%
Apr 20 92.7%
Apr 25 96.6%
Apr 30 98.6%
May 5 99.5%
May 10 99.8%

 

 

 

 

 

Spring Freeze probabilities for Castle Hayne, NC

Observed spring freeze dates 1950-2020 in CastleHayne, NC

Since 1950, the date of  Castle Hayne's last spring freeze has shifted 1.9 days earlier per decade

 

 

 

Castle Hayne's average date for the first fall freeze is  November 6

 

Fall freeze statistics sorted by probability

Probability Date
1% Oct 8
5% Oct 17
10% Oct 21
25% Oct 29
50% Nov 6
75% Nov 15
90% Nov 22
95% Nov 27
99% Dec 6

 

 

 

 

Earliest first fall freeze: October 4, 1974

Latest first fall freeze: December 3, 1985

 

 

 

Fall freeze statistics sorted by date

Date Probability
Oct 1 0.2%
Oct 5 0.5%
Oct 10 1.4%
Oct 15 3.5%
Oct 20 7.9%
Oct 25 15.5%
Nov 1 32.2%
Nov 5 44.3%
Nov 10 60.0%
Nov 15 74.2%
Nov 20 85.2%
Nov 25 92.5%
Nov 30 96.7%
Dec 5 98.7%
Dec 10 99.6%
Dec 15 99.9%
Dec 20 100.0%
Dec 25 100.0%
Dec 30 100.0%

 

 

 

 

 

Fall Freeze probabilities for CastleHayne, NC

Observed fall freeze dates 1950-2020 in CastleHayne, NC

Since 1950, the date of  Castle Hayne's first fall freeze has shifted 1.7 days later per decade

 

 

 

Castle Hayne's average growing season length is  219 days

 

Growing season statistics sorted by probability

Probability Days
1% 266
5% 252
10% 245
25% 233
50% 219
75% 206
90% 194
95% 187
99% 173

 

 

 

 

Shortest growing season: 179 days in 1974

Longest growing season: 275 days in 2024

 

 

 

Growing season statistics sorted by days

Days Probability
160 99.9%
170 99.3%
180 97.6%
190 93.0%
200 83.4%
210 68.1%
220 48.7%
225 38.9%
230 29.7%
235 21.6%
240 15.0%
245 9.9%
250 3.7%
255 6.2%
260 2.1%
270 0.6%
280 0.1%
290 0.0%
300 0.0%

 

 

 

 

 

Growing season length probabilities for CastleHayne, NC

Observed growing season lengths from 1950-2020 in CastleHayne, NC

Since 1950, Castle Hayne's growing season has become 3.7 days longer per decade

 

 

 

Research and Page Author: Tim Armstrong and Vicky Oliva
Last Updated: September 13, 2026