National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Current Regional Radar

Current Hazards

 

 

Current Forecast


954
FZUS61 KCLE 050242
GLFLE

Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
942 PM EST Wed Dec 4 2024

For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure 29.30 inches will move east across southern Ontario
and into southern Quebec tonight and drag a cold front east across
Lake Erie. A trough averaging 29.90 inches will settle over the
eastern Great Lakes through Thursday before beginning to drift
east Friday and Friday night as high pressure 30.20 inches builds
over the region. The high will maintain influence over the lake
into Sunday before a cold front approaches from the west on
Monday.

LEZ162-163-050915-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
942 PM EST Wed Dec 4 2024

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...West gales to 35 knots increasing to 40 knots.
Rain showers with snow showers likely late this evening, then a
slight chance of snow showers after midnight. Waves 5 to 8 feet.
Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
.THURSDAY...West gales to 35 knots becoming northwest and
diminishing to 30 knots in the afternoon. A slight chance of snow
showers. Waves 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves
occasionally around 10 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds to 30 knots diminishing to
15 to 20 knots. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
.FRIDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet building
to 2 to 4 feet.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.SATURDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet
building to 2 to 4 feet.
.SUNDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots. Rain showers likely Sunday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet
subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
.MONDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers
likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

$$

LEZ165-166-050915-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
942 PM EST Wed Dec 4 2024

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

.REST OF TONIGHT...West gales to 35 knots increasing to 40 knots.
Rain showers with snow showers likely, then a chance of snow
showers late. Waves 8 to 12 feet building to 10 to 13 feet. Waves
occasionally around 16 feet.
.THURSDAY...West gales to 40 knots becoming northwest to
35 knots. A chance of snow showers through early afternoon, then
a slight chance of snow showers late. Waves 10 to 14 feet
subsiding to 8 to 11 feet. Waves occasionally around 18 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Northwest gales to 35 knots diminishing to
30 knots. Waves 6 to 10 feet subsiding to 4 to 7 feet. Waves
occasionally around 13 feet.
.FRIDAY...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. A chance
of snow showers. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves
occasionally around 9 feet.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 25 knots. A chance of snow
showers. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves
occasionally around 9 feet.
.SATURDAY...West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest. Waves
3 to 6 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around
10 feet.
.SUNDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Rain showers likely
Sunday night. Waves 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. Waves
occasionally around 10 feet.
.MONDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to
15 knots. Showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.

$$

LEZ164-050915-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
942 PM EST Wed Dec 4 2024

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west and
increasing to 40 knot gales after midnight. Rain and snow showers
late this evening, then snow showers likely after midnight. A
slight chance of snow showers late. Waves 5 to 9 feet building to
7 to 10 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
.THURSDAY...West gales to 40 knots becoming northwest and
diminishing to 30 knots in the afternoon. A slight chance of snow
showers in the morning, then a chance of snow showers in the
afternoon. Waves 6 to 10 feet subsiding to 5 to 8 feet. Waves
occasionally around 13 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds to 30 knots diminishing to
15 to 20 knots. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. Waves
occasionally around 9 feet.
.FRIDAY...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Waves
2 to 4 feet.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.SATURDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.SUNDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Rain showers likely
Sunday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.MONDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to
15 knots. Showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

$$

LEZ061-167>169-050915-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
942 PM EST Wed Dec 4 2024

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

.REST OF TONIGHT...Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west and
increasing to 40 knot gales after midnight. Rain showers late
this evening, then rain showers with a chance of snow showers
after midnight. Snow showers late. Waves 10 to 15 feet. Waves
occasionally around 19 feet.
.THURSDAY...West gales to 40 knots becoming northwest to
35 knots. Snow showers early, then a chance of snow showers from
late morning on. Waves 11 to 16 feet subsiding to 10 to 14 feet.
Waves occasionally around 20 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Northwest gales to 35 knots diminishing to
30 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 9 to 12 feet subsiding
to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 15 feet.
.FRIDAY...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. A chance
of snow showers in the morning, then snow showers likely in the
afternoon. Waves 4 to 7 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. Waves
occasionally around 10 feet.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...West winds 20 to 25 knots. A chance of snow
showers. Waves 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
.SATURDAY...West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest. A
chance of snow showers during the day. Waves 5 to 8 feet. Waves
occasionally around 10 feet.
.SUNDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. A chance of rain
showers Sunday night. Waves 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet.
Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
.MONDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to
15 knots. Showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.

$$

LEZ161-050915-
MAFOR 0504/
ERIE WEST 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...11657 14650 11750 12740.
Waves 7 to 11 feet building to 9 to 12 feet, and occasionally
around 15 feet overnight. Waves 8 to 12 feet subsiding to 7 to 10
feet, and occasionally around 15 feet Thursday. Waves 5 to 9
feet, and occasionally around 11 feet Thursday evening.

ERIE CENTRAL 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...11657 11650 11657
12650 13750. Waves 10 to 14 feet, and occasionally around 18 feet
overnight. Waves 10 to 15 feet subsiding to 9 to 12 feet, and
occasionally around 19 feet Thursday. Waves 9 to 12 feet
subsiding to 7 to 10 feet, and occasionally around 15 feet
Thursday evening.

ERIE EAST 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...11546 14657 11657 12757.
Waves 10 to 15 feet, and occasionally around 19 feet overnight.
Waves 11 to 16 feet subsiding to 10 to 13 feet, and occasionally
around 20 feet Thursday. Waves 9 to 12 feet subsiding to 7 to 10
feet, and occasionally around 15 feet Thursday evening.

$$


Forecast Time Series for Western Lake Erie

Wind Speed Possibilities

 

Wind Direction and Speed Possibilities

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours

 

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Wind Gust Possibilities

 

Gust Direction and Speed Possibilities

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours

 

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(click to enlarge)

Wave Heights

Now-15 hours

Significant

Occasional

(top 10%)

Wave Heights

18-60 hours

Significant

Occasional

(top 10%)

Wave Height Frequency Distribution

Significant Wave Probabilities

Water Level

General Forecast Time Series Days 3-7

(click to enlarge)

 

Prototype: Under Development: Not to be relied on for Operational Decision Making.