National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Current Regional Radar

Current Hazards

 

 

Current Forecast


396
FZUS61 KCLE 161406
GLFLE

Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1006 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front will move north across the lake throughout the day
today. A cold front will cross the lake Thursday and slow over
the Ohio Valley Friday, allowing high pressure 30.10 inches to
build across Lake Erie Friday into Saturday. The front will lift
back north as a warm front late Saturday into Sunday as a cold
front approaches from the west.

LEZ162>164-162015-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
1006 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.REST OF TODAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers likely with a
chance of thunderstorms late this morning, then showers and
thunderstorms likely this afternoon. Some thunderstorms may
produce heavy rainfall. Waves 1 foot or less.
.TONIGHT...South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest and
increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms early, then a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms late in the evening. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms late. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall
early. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet.
.THURSDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. A
chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to
1 to 3 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming
northeast. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.FRIDAY...Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Waves 1 to
3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance
of showers and thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SUNDAY...Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day. Waves 1 foot
or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ165>167-162015-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
1006 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.REST OF TODAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming
southeast. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Some
thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Waves 1 foot or less.
.TONIGHT...South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest and
increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers with a
slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Some thunderstorms
may produce heavy rainfall early. Waves 1 foot or less building
to 3 to 5 feet.
.THURSDAY...Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west and
diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Waves 5 to 9 feet subsiding to 4 to 7 feet. Waves
occasionally around 11 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming
northeast. A chance of showers in the evening. Waves 3 to 5 feet
subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
.FRIDAY...Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Waves 1 to
3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance
of showers during the day, then showers likely with a chance of
thunderstorms Saturday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SUNDAY...Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. Waves
1 to 2 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ061-168-169-162015-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
1006 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.REST OF TODAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms early this afternoon. Showers
likely with a chance of thunderstorms late. Some thunderstorms
may produce heavy rainfall this afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
.TONIGHT...South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest and
increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight. Some thunderstorms may produce
heavy rainfall in the evening. Waves 2 feet or less building to
2 to 4 feet.
.THURSDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and
increasing to 30 knots. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 6 to 10 feet. Waves occasionally
around 13 feet.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north
10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers in the evening. Waves 3 to
6 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
.FRIDAY...Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast less
than 10 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SATURDAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers
Saturday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SUNDAY...Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. Waves
2 feet or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ161-162015-
MAFOR 1615/
ERIE WEST 1/3 11406 11409 11406 11400 11500 11520 11530 11630.
Waves 1 foot or less this afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less
building to 3 to 5 feet tonight. Waves 5 to 8 feet, and
occasionally around 10 feet Thursday morning.

ERIE CENTRAL 1/3 11506 11306 11406 11400 11410 11520 11530 11540.
A chance of thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Waves 1
foot or less this afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less building to 3
to 5 feet tonight. Waves 5 to 9 feet, and occasionally around 11
feet Thursday morning.

ERIE EAST 1/3 11600 11506 11406 12400 11510 11520 11530. A chance
of thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Waves 1 foot or less
this afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet tonight. Waves 3 to 5 feet
building to 4 to 7 feet, and occasionally around 9 feet Thursday
morning.

$$


Forecast Time Series for Western Lake Erie

Wind Speed Possibilities

 

Wind Direction and Speed Possibilities

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours

 

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f24

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f30

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f36

 

 

Wind Gust Possibilities

 

Gust Direction and Speed Possibilities

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours

 

f01

f02

f03

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f06

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f24

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f30

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(click to enlarge)

Wave Heights

Now-15 hours

Significant

Occasional

(top 10%)

Wave Heights

18-60 hours

Significant

Occasional

(top 10%)

Wave Height Frequency Distribution

Significant Wave Probabilities

Water Level

General Forecast Time Series Days 3-7

(click to enlarge)

 

Prototype: Under Development: Not to be relied on for Operational Decision Making.