National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Current Regional Radar

Current Hazards

 

 

Current Forecast


236
FZUS61 KCLE 051956
GLFLE

Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
356 PM EDT Wed Aug 5 2026

For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure of 30.00 inches will drift east tonight as a cold
front approaches from the northwest. This front will slow just to
the west of Lake Erie Thursday before stalling in the vicinity of
the lake on Friday. A secondary trough will finally push the
front across the lake on Saturday. A ridge of 30.00 inches will
build into the southern Great Lakes on Sunday with another front
settling north of the Lake.

LEZ162>164-060230-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
356 PM EDT Wed Aug 5 2026

.TONIGHT...Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest.
Waves 1 foot or less.
.THURSDAY...Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast.
A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms late. Waves 1 foot or less.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...South winds 10 knots or less becoming
southwest. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. A chance
of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance
of showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SATURDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance
of showers during the day. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
.SUNDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms Sunday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
.MONDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day,
then showers likely Monday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ165>167-060230-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
356 PM EDT Wed Aug 5 2026

.TONIGHT...East winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Waves
1 foot or less.
.THURSDAY...Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. A
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late. Waves 1 foot or
less.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming
southwest. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers in
the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot
or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Showers likely
with a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SATURDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding
to 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms Sunday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.MONDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day,
then showers likely Monday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to
2 to 4 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ061-168-169-060230-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
356 PM EDT Wed Aug 5 2026

.TONIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to 10 knots.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms this evening, then a chance
of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight.
Waves 1 foot or less.
.THURSDAY...Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. A
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late. Waves 1 foot or
less.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming
south. A chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight. Waves
1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Showers
likely with a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 10 knots or less increasing to
10 to 15 knots. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms.
Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SATURDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance
of showers and thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to
2 feet.
.SUNDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Showers likely with a
chance of thunderstorms Sunday night. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
.MONDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day,
then showers likely Monday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to
2 to 4 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ161-060230-
MAFOR 0521/
ERIE WEST 1/3 11200 11300 11400 14500 11400. Waves 1 foot or
less.

ERIE CENTRAL 1/3 11100 11300 12400 12500 12600. Waves 1 foot or
less.

ERIE EAST 1/3 11200 11300 13400 11500 12600. A chance of showers
and thunderstorms this evening. A chance of showers overnight.
Waves 1 foot or less.

$$


Forecast Time Series for Lake Erie Islands

Wind Speed Possibilities

 

Wind Direction and Speed Possibilities

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours

 

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f24

f27

f30

f33

f36

 

 

Wind Gust Possibilities

 

Gust Direction and Speed Possibilities

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours

 

f01

f02

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(click to enlarge)

Wave Heights

Now-15 hours

Significant

Occasional

(top 10%)

Wave Heights

18-60 hours

Significant

Occasional

(top 10%)

Wave Height Frequency Distribution

Significant Wave Probabilities

Water Level

General Forecast Time Series Days 3-7

(click to enlarge)

 

Prototype: Under Development: Not to be relied on for Operational Decision Making.