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1222 PM EST Wed Jan 22 2025
.AVIATION...

Brisk southerly winds this afternoon, with gusts of 20-25 knots. Mid
clouds (6-10 KFT) will gradually lower through the day, with just
enough moisture transport and forcing ahead of a cold front to allow
for light snow to develop/reach the surface this evening and persist
through the night, with IFR/MVFR conditions. Looking at accumulations
of half an inch to two inches across the airports before activity
tapers off tomorrow morning, with highest totals over the northern
taf sites. Winds shift westerly behind the cold front late in the
morning, but not terribly strong and mostly under 10 knots.

For DTW...It will take most of the evening for low levels to moisten
up, and expecting mainly virga or flurries through midnight. Light
snow finally develops tonight, with the main light accumulating
(~0.5") window (8-13z) Thursday morning.


DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

*   Medium for cigs aob 5000 this evening, high tonight and
    tomorrow.

*   High in precip type falling as snow.

TAF Dashboard (AWC)

 

073 FTUS43 KDTX 222044 AAB TAFDTW TAF AMD KDTW 222044Z 2221/2324 20013G22KT P6SM -SHSN OVC040 TEMPO 2221/2223 3SM -SN BR FM230500 21011KT 5SM -SHSN SCT025 OVC040 FM230800 21011KT 2SM -SHSN SCT015 OVC030 FM231300 24013KT P6SM BKN025 OVC040 PROB30 2313/2317 2SM -SHSN OVC018=

pWind

pWind Direction Change

Ensemble Wind Direction Distribution

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Ensemble Wind Gust Distribution

Forecast hourly 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours ... Updated Hourly

 

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DTW Flow Probabilities based on Ensemble Winds

 

 

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DTW Flow Probabilities based on Ensemble Gusts

 

 

Forecast hour to 18 hours - 3 hourly to 36 hours ... Updated Hourly

 

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Ceiling Guidance at DTW

Visibility Guidance at DTW

 

 

TCF

https://www.aviationweather.gov/tcf

       

pConvection

 

 

 

WCAA Dashboard

 

Hourly Snow Rate at DTW

3 Hourly (centered running total) Snow Rate at DTW

Hourly Snow Density at DTW

 

Hourly Precip Type at DTW

 

6hr Prob Snow

 

For Planning and Situational Awareness Only