Spring Flood Outlook for Northeast MN and Northwest WI

Spring Flood Outlook Update (March 1, 2024)

Spring Flooding potential across the Northland is below normal based on a historically low amount of water in the snowpack.
Precipitation through early spring will be one of the most important flood risk factors. This outlook does not take into account the risk of flash flooding.
Deep frost could lead to poor infiltration and efficient runoff if heavy rains fall while the ground is still frozen.

Threat	Impact to Potential Spring Flooding	Links
High River Levels	Normal to Below Normal Streamflow	USGS WaterWatch MN WI
High Soil Moisture	Normal to Below Normal	CPC Soil Moisture
Winter Precipitation	Normal to Below Normal	Climate Prediction Center 6 to 10 Day 8 - 14 Day
Current Snowpack/Liquid Equivalent	Far Below Normal, Historically Low	Current Snow Water Equivalent Analysis Snow Water Equivalent Ranking
Rate of Snowmelt	Low. Little to no snow left to melt.	24, 48, & 72 hr Snowmelt
Frost Depth	Higher	Frost Depth Map
Spring Precipitation	TBD	Point Forecast (Next 7 Days) Precip Outlook (Upcoming Weeks)

For more details, please see the full briefing PDF: