National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Overview

Summary: On Tuesday, June 18, 2024, a stationary surface front, in conjunction with an anomalously moist airmass over the Northland, resulting in widespread flash flooding. NWS Duluth issued seven Flash Flood Warnings (across much of NE MN and the Bayfield Peninsula), three of which were upgraded to include a considerable tag for life threatening flash flooding. Additionally, severe thunderstorms occurred ahead of the heaviest rainfall, prompting eight Tornado Warnings (near Ely and between Leech Lake and Grand Rapids) and 16 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings. Flash flooding extended from north-central Minnesota to the MN Arrowhead and across Lake Superior to the Bayfield Peninsula. River flooding would continue for weeks after the event, and high water in the Rainy River Basin headwaters would eventually lead to minor flooding after another round of heavy rain in early July. Furthermore, significant tree blowdowns occurred in the Superior National Forest due to damaging wind gusts associated with the storms.

 

Additional Details: Slow moving heavy rain and thunderstorms tracked across northeastern Minnesota and far northern Wisconsin in the afternoon and evening of Tuesday, June 18, leading to extensive damaging flash flooding that evening, and prolonged areal and river flooding through the end of the week. Scattered rain had been persistent through the day, and then widespread strong storms initiated along a slow moving front with parallel atmospheric flow in the upper atmosphere, allowing for persistent regeneration of thunderstorms over the same area. These storms formed within an environment that was tropical in nature, connected to a surge of moisture that originated in the Gulf of Mexico. This produced torrential downpours that were capable of producing rain rates of 1-5 inches per hour. Several reports from trusted CoCoRaHS observers across Northeast Minnesota reported accumulations of an inch in 15 to 30 minutes. A widespread area of 3 inches or more accumulated by the morning of Wednesday, June 19 - the majority of which had fallen in eight hours or less. Fifteen COOP or CoCoRaHS observers in Northeast Minnesota reported 5 inches or more, with the highest reports over 7 inches. MRMS estimates suggest that a small area of 8 inches or more may have been possible, in an area not verified with official reports. These reports of 5-7.5+ inches were 500 to 1000+ year rainfalls, with only a 0.1-0.2% chance of happening in any given year. Elsewhere, rainfall over 3 inches in a 6-12 hour period were 100-200 year rainfalls (0.5-1% chance in any given year). Full list of rainfall reports here, or below. The area had been primed for a big flash flooding event, thanks to a wet spring (top 10 wettest March-April-May on record in the Northland), and several moderate to heavy rain events earlier in the month of June.

The impacts of this heavy rain were immediate. During flash flooding on the evening of the 18th, roads across the Iron Range, Lake Vermilion area, Twin Ports, MN North Shore, and WI South Shore were quickly covered with standing and running water, closing and washing out Superior National Forest roads (including access roads to the Boundary Waters Canoe Wilderness, which would strand campers), County Highways (primarily across Cass, Itasca, St. Louis, Lake, Cook, and Bayfield Counties), state highways (notably MN Highways 61, 73, and 1 and WI Highway 13), and U.S. highways (including Highway 53 and 169 and Interstate 35). Homes along the Iron Range and near Lake Vermilion were surrounded by water and some washouts led to homes and businesses being cut off entirely. Numerous cars became stranded after driving into floodwaters. Debris washed onto roads, which made for treacherous nighttime driving conditions in combination with floodwaters. Culvert washouts led to crumbling roads under unsuspecting drivers. Severe thunderstorms occurring at the same time led to pockets of wind damage, one of which caused a tree to fall on a tent, injuring a nine year old boy and triggering a search and rescue operation in Cook County. The I-35 tunnels in Duluth filled with several feet of water through the evening and traffic was rerouted off the interstate. 

The next day, widespread overland flooding began to route into creeks, rivers, and lakes on top of the water that had already immediately fallen into area waterways, continuing extreme rises. Some rivers across the headwaters of the Rainy, Littlefork, Cloquet, and St. Louis rivers rose anywhere from 4 to 20 feet, causing rivers to quickly jump out of banks and lead to another period of minor to major flooding. Area inland lakes saw rises of 1 to 7 feet, especially along the Embarrass River chain of lakes near Biwabik, MN, where drinking water was partially affected. Major flooding occurred along the Littlefork River in the city of Cook, where floodwaters inundated downtown, surrounding residences and businesses with several feet of water for several days. Continued erosion from out-of-bank rivers and creeks continued to work away at area roads and highways, prompting additional road closures. High inflow from the Cloquet River led to water level rises on Island Lake Reservoir and subsequent rapid increase in outflow from the Island Lake Dam (up to 7387 cfs, greater than outflow released during historic flooding of June 2012). This led to extensive flooding downstream of the dam on the Cloquet River which inundated area roads and cut off driveways, encroached on railroad tracks, and surrounded private residences on Hunter and Bowman Lakes. Additional rises on the Mississippi River near Aitkin would briefly hit minor flood stage. Slow moving high water in the Rainy River basin eventually led to minor flooding on Crane, Namakan, and Kabetogama Lakes, thanks to an extra burst of heavy rain early in July. 

Rainfall totals ending in the morning of the 19th. Much of this fell in 8 hours of less in the afternoon and evening of June 18th

 

Aerial view of extensive major flooding in the city of Cook, MN on June 20, 2024. Photo courtesy of Matt Olson/St. Louis County Emergency Management

 

MN State Highway 1 near Isabella, MN on June 19, 2024. Numerous County, State, and Federal highways closed due to water across the road and subsequent damage. (NWS Photo)

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