27th Annual Great Lakes Operational Meteorology Workshop - Duluth, MN 2019

 

Agenda

27^th Annual U.S./Canada Great Lakes Operational

Meteorology Workshop

 

* Denotes the presenter for talks with multiple authors

Abstracts have been linked to the talks.  Please click on any talk title to view the abstract.

 

Tuesday, May 21, 2019

 

7:00 AM - 8:00 AM                Registration

 

8:00 AM - 8:15 AM                Opening Remarks, Introductions and Logistics

                                               Welcome to Duluth, Minnesota

                                               Dan Miller, Science and Operations Officer, NWS Duluth

                                               Dave Beachler, Science and Operations Officer, NWS Marquette

 

8:15 AM - 8:45 AM                Lake-Effect Modeling Improvement Project. Greg E. Mann*, NOAA/National Weather Service, Detroit/White Lake, MI;

                                               Eric J. Anderson and Philip Chu, NOAA/Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI; Ayumi

                                               Fujasaki-Manome and Lindsay Fitzpatrick, Cooperative Institute for Great Lake Research, Ann Arbor, MI; Stanley

                                               Benjamin and Curtis Alexander, NOAA/Earth Systems Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO

 

8:45 AM - 9:15 AM                ANCHOR’D - Raising the Bar for NWS Marine Forecasts.  Jonathan Wolfe, NOAA/National Weather Service, Duluth, MN

 

9:15 AM - 10:15 AM              Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs):  A New Hazardous Paradigm to Communicate Hazard

                                               Risk Information.  Alan Gerard, Chief, Warning Research and Development Division, NOAA/OAR/National Severe Storms

                                               Laboratory, Norman, OK

 

10:15 AM - 10:30 AM             Break

 

10:30 AM - 11:00 AM            Unexpected Rip Currents Induced by A Meteotsunami.  Chin H. Wu*, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, 

                                               Alvaro Linares, Adam Bechle, Eric Anderson, NOAA/Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, and David Kristovich

 

11:00 AM - 11:30 AM             High Amplitude Inertia-Gravity Wave Driven Meteotsunami across the Lake Michigan Basin during the Transition

                                               Season. Greg E. Mann*, NOAA/National Weather Service, Detroit/White Lake, MI, and Eric J. Anderson, NOAA/Great

                                               Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI

 

11:30 AM - 1:00 PM               Lunch

 

1:00 PM - 1:30 PM                 Tornado Terror in Canada’s Capital Region: An Examination of the Tornado Event of September 21, 2018 in Eastern

                                               Ontario & Southern Quebec. Crawford Luke, Environment and Climate Change Canada/Ontario Storm Prediction Centre,

                                               Toronto, ON

 

1:30 PM - 2:00 PM                 The Northern Tornadoes Project - Overview and Initial Results.  David Sills, Western Engineering, University of

                                               Western Ontario, London, ON

 

2:00 PM - 2:30 PM                 Temporal and Spatial Continuity issues in Forecasting: A case study of Landspouts in Southern Wisconsin.  

                                               Ty Vaughn, Northland College and NOAA/National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI and Duluth, MN; John

                                               Gagan, NOAA/National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI; and Ryan Shadbolt*, Northland College, Ashland, WI

 

2:30 PM - 2:45 PM                 Break

 

2:45 PM - 3:15 PM                 An Extreme February Precipitation and Historic Flooding Event.  Sam Lashley and Jeff Logsdon*, NOAA/National

                                               Weather Service, Northern Indiana, North Webster, IN

 

3:15 PM - 3:45 PM                 An Analysis of the Father’s Day 2018 Extreme Rainfall Event over the Keweenaw Peninsula.  Keith White,

                                               NOAA/National Weather Service, Marquette, MI

 

3:45 PM - 4:15 PM                 A Preliminary Look at Significant Rapid Fluctuations in Water Levels in the Upper St. Mary’s River.  John Boris,

                                               NOAA/National Weather Service, Gaylord, MI

 

4:30 PM                                  Adjourn for the day

 

 

Wednesday, May 22, 2019

 

7:30 AM - 8:00 AM                 Registration

 

8:00 AM - 8:15 AM                 Conference Housekeeping Items and Announcements

                                                Dan Miller, Science and Operations Officer, NWS Duluth

                                                Dave Beachler, Science and Operations Officer, NWS Marquette

 

8:15 AM - 8:45 AM                 Ongoing Evaluation of a Revised Bourgouin “Layer-Energy” Technique for Top-Down Precipitation-Type Forecasts:

                                                Recent Activities.  Eric Lenning and Kevin Birk, NOAA/National Weather Service, Chicago, IL

 

8:45 AM - 9:15 AM                 The Upper Michigan Ice Storm of 4 February 2019: Causes and Impacts.  Jason Alumbaugh, Ryan Connelly*, Linda

                                                Gilbert, Jaclyn Ritzman, and Justin Titus, NOAA/National Weather Service, Marquette, MI

 

9:15 AM - 10:15 AM               The 2018-19 NOAA/NWS Weather Prediction Center Hydrometeorology Testbed Winter Weather Experiment.  Sara

                                                Sienkiewicz*, NOAA/NWS/NCEP Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD and I. M. Systems Group, Inc., Rockville,

                                                MD; Mike Bodner, NOAA/NWS/NCEP Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD; Ben Albright, NOAA/NWS/NCEP

                                                Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD and Systems Research Group, Inc., Colorado Springs, CO;  Bill Lamberson,

                                                NOAA/NWS/NCEP Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD and I. M. Systems Group, Inc., Rockville, MD;  James

                                                Nelson and Mark Klein, NOAA/NWS/NCEP Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD

 

10:15 AM - 10:30 AM             Break

 

10:30 AM - 11:00 AM             Snowfall Observations @NWSMarquette: A Five-Year Retrospective.  Mark Kulie*, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR/Advanced

                                                Satellite Products Branch, Madison, WI; Claire Pettersen, Space Science and Engineering Center, University of Wisconsin-

                                                Madison, Madison, WI; Larry Bliven and David Wolff, NASA Wallops Flight Facility, Wallops Island, VA; Walter Petersen,

                                                NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL; David Beachler, NOAA/National Weather Service, Marquette, MI;

                                                and Michael Dutter, NOAA/National Weather Service, Wakefield, VA

 

11:00 AM - 11:30 AM            Stable Isotopic Signature of Snowfall in the Duluth Area: Unraveling the Relative Importance of Moisture Sources

                                               and Orography.  John B. Swenson* and Salli F. Dymond, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of

                                               Minnesota-Duluth, Duluth, MN

 

11:30 AM - Noon                   Evolving Local Social Media Practices to Enhance Public Decision Support Services.  Kira Jesse, NOAA / National

                                               Weather Service, Green Bay, WI

 

Noon - 1:30 PM                     Lunch

 

1:30 PM - 2:00 PM                 The 24 February 2019 East-Central Wisconsin Ground Blizzard Impact Messaging Challenges and the Historic

                                                I-41 Vehicle Chain Reaction Collision.  Gene Brusky, NOAA/National Weather Service, Green Bay, WI

 

2:00 PM - 2:30 PM                 The March 5, 2019 Snow Event: An Opportunity to Enhance Winter Weather Support and Provide DSS to Ohio’s

                                                Transportation Partners.  Karen Oudeman and Zach Sefcovic*, NOAA/National Weather Service, Cleveland, OH

 

2:30 PM - 3:00 PM                 Who Wants More Winter?! Jaclyn Ritzman* and Jim Salzwedel, NOAA/National Weather Service, Marquette, MI

 

3:00 PM - 3:15 PM                 Break

 

3:15 PM - 3:45 PM                 The Tale of Two Blizzards: Western NY faces Two Severe Winter Events in Two Weeks.  Heather Kenyon,

                                                NOAA/National Weather Service, Buffalo, NY

 

3:45 PM - 4:15 PM                 Satellite Training and Imagery as it Relates to the Great Lakes.  Scott Lindstrom, Cooperative Institute for

                                                Mesoscale Satellite Studies, Madison, WI

 

4:15 PM - 4:45 PM                 Nocturnal Wildfire Smoke Tracking using GOES-16.  Kevin Huyck, NOAA/National Weather Service, Duluth, MN

 

5:00 PM                                  Adjourn for the day

 

 

 

 

Thursday, May 23, 2019

 

7:30 AM - 8:00 AM                 Registration

 

8:00 AM - 8:15 AM                 Conference Housekeeping Items and Announcements

                                                Dan Miller, Science and Operations Officer, NWS Duluth

                                                Dave Beachler, Science and Operations Officer, NWS Marquette

 

8:15 AM - 8:45 AM                 Fall Storms and Large Waves: Lake Superior’s Notorious “Gales of November.”  John D. Lenters*, Lentic

                                                Environmental Services, Lake Tomahawk, WI;  Carl Lindquist, Superior Watershed Partnership, Marquette, MI;  Norma J.

                                                Froelich, Northern Michigan University, Marquette, MI;  Holly A. Roth, Northern Michigan University, Marquette, MI

 

8:45 AM - 9:15 AM                 A R2O Success Story - The Well Forecast High Wind Event over Western New York on 24 February 2019.   David Zaff,

                                                NOAA/National Weather Service, Buffalo, NY

 

9:15 AM - 9:45 AM                 Ice Shoves on Eastern End of Lake Erie on February 24, 2019.  Judith Levan, NOAA/National Weather Service,

                                                Buffalo, NY

 

9:45 AM - 10:00 AM              Break

 

10:00 AM - 10:30 AM             An Introduction to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Scientific Support for Oil and Chemical Spills. 

                                                Lieutenant Michael E. Doig, NOAA/National Ocean Service/Office of Response and  Restoration - Emergency Response

                                                Division, Cleveland, OH

 

10:30 AM - 11:00 AM             National Weather Service support of the April 2018 Superior, WI Husky Energy Refinery Fire. Joe Moore,

                                                NOAA/National Weather Service, Duluth, MN

 

11:00 AM - 11:30 AM             Impacts of Urbanization on the Occurrence and Spatial Distribution of Precipitation in Varying Kinematic and

                                                Thermodynamic Environments.  Thomas Hultquist, NOAA/National Weather Service, Twin Cities/Chanhassen, MN

 

11:45 AM - Noon                   Awarding of the Brian Murphy Operational Forecaster Presentation, and the Bill Hibbert Remote Sensing Presentation

                                               Conference Closing Remarks

                                               Dan Miller, Science and Operations Officer, NWS Duluth

                                               Dave Beachler, Science and Operations Officer, NWS Marquette

 

Noon                                      Workshop Ends

 

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Canal Park Restaurants/Breweries:

The Canal Park district of downtown Duluth is one of the main entertainment and dining areas in the Twin Ports area.  40 years ago, this area was largely an old warehouse district near the waterfront and Aerial Lift Bridge, but has been rejuvenated over the past 3 decades and is now home to over 20 restaurants, as well as many other shops, hotels, and tourist attractions.  The core of Canal Park is a relatively short 10 to 15 minute walk along the harbor break wall from Pier B Resort.  

An annotated map showing the locations of many of the establishments listed below is at the bottom.

Here is a listing of some of the local favorites in Canal Park (in no particular order):

Northern Waters Smokehaus  (visited by Guy Fieri for "Diners, Drive-Ins, and Dives")

Canal Park Brewing (local brewery with a full menu)

310 Pub 

Vitta Pizza

Lake Avenue Cafe

Little Angie's Cantina

Amazing Grace Bakery and Cafe

Old Chicago Pizza and Taproom

Cloud 9 (Japanese fare and sushi)

Green Mill

Hoops Brewing

The Ripple Bar

Vikre Distillery

 

Downtown Duluth Restaurants/Breweries:

The main section of downtown Duluth is located along Superior Street, and up the hill one block, First Street.  This is across interstate-35 from Canal Park and Pier B.  There are also several good places to grab some food or a beverage in this area of town, which is a 20 to 30 minute walk from Pier B, depending on what establishment you are headed to.

One note of caution: a major renovation of Superior Street is ongoing between Lake Ave. and 4th Ave. East. Superior Street is closed to vehicle traffic. However, pedestrian access to businesses remains open, but be prepared for lots of construction and roadwork if you venture to this part of Downtown Duluth.

Here is a listing of some of the local favorites in Downtown Duluth (again - in no particular order):

Pizza Luce

7 West Taphouse

Dubh Linn Brew Pub

Lake Superior Bakehouse

Duluth Coffee Company

Hanabi

Blacklist Artisan Ales

301 Restaurant

Carmody Irish Pub

Zeitgeist Arts Cafe

Red Herring Lounge

 

Other Attractions and Places of Interest:

And finally, a list of a few other places of interest and attractions within walking distance of Pier B Resort:

Duluth Aerial Lift Bridge

Lake Superior Maritime Visitor Center

Lakewalk

Lake Superior Aquarium

Vista Fleet Harbor Cruises and Tours

Waters of Superior Art Gallery

Union Depot

Lake Superior Railroad Museum and North Shore Scenic Railroad

Duluth Curling Club (Home curling club for Team USA Curling Skip and 2018 Olympic Gold Medalist John Shuster)

Amsoil Arena (Home of the 2011, 2018, and 2019 NCAA Men's Hockey National Champion University of Minnesota-Duluth Bulldogs)

 

Note: Unfortunately, the William A. Irvin Ship Museum is undergoing renovation work, and will not re-open in time for GLOMW 2019.

 

Map of Selected Restaurants and Points of Interest:

 

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Attendees:

Below is a list of the 2019 Great Lakes Workshop attendees. Thanks to everyone for their efforts to attend, present, and make the 27th Great Lakes Workshop a success!

 

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The Brian Murphy Award

The Brian Murphy Award is presented at each Great Lakes workshop in honour of Brian Murphy, an Environment Canada meteorologist who was critical to the inception and success of the Great Lakes Operational Meteorology Workshop.  In 1991, Brian opened collaboration with Tom Niziol in Buffalo, NY, and Dick Wagenmaker in Ann Arbor, MI, which resulted in the first small, but successful gathering of operational meteorologists at Pearson Airport in Toronto, ON, between forecasters from the Toronto office of Environment Canada, and the Buffalo and Ann Arbor offices of the U.S. National Weather Service.  

Sadly, Brian passed away at a relatively young age on June 30, 2004, in Windsor, ON, after a long illness, but his memory and commitment to operational weather forecasting in the Great Lakes region is celebrated each year with the ongoing success of the Great Lakes Workshop.  Beginning with the 2005 Great Lakes Workshop in Grand Rapids, MI, the Brian Murphy Award has been presented to the person with the best operationally relevant presentation at the GLOMW each year.

Environment and Climate Change Canada research meteorologist Dave Sills has composed a tribute to Brian, which you can read here.

 

Past Recipients of the Brian Murphy Operational Forecaster Presentation:

Note: The Brian Murphy Operational Forecaster Presentation was initiated at the 14th Great Lakes Operational Meteorology Workshop, held in Grand Rapids, Michigan in September of 2005, the first workshop held after Brian's passing.

 

2019 (27th): Duluth, Minnesota.  Greg Mann, NWS Detroit/White Lake  Talk Title: "High Amplitude Inertia-Gravity Wave Driven Meteotsunami across the Lake Michigan Basin during the Transition Season"

 

2018 (26th): Cleveland, Ohio. Eric Lenning, NWS Chicago   Talk Title: “Evaluation of a Revised Bourgouin Layer-Energy Technique for Top-Down Precipitation-Type Forecasts”

 

2017 (25th): Buffalo, New York.  Jeff Logsdon, NWS Northern Indiana    Talk Title: "The Indiana/Ohio Tornado Outbreak of August 24, 2016"

 

2016 (24th): Toronto, Ontario.  Helen Yang, Ontario Storm Prediction Centre   Talk Title: “Exploring the Utility of SOLMA for Severe Thunderstorm Nowcasting of a QLCS Tornado Event”

 

2015 (23rd): Grand Rapids, Michigan. Dan Thompson and Trent Frey, NWS Detroit/White Lake   Talk Title: "Time Evolution of Radar-Derived Rotational Velocity in Supercells:  Implications for Impact-Based Warnings"

 

2014 (22nd): Ann Arbor, Michigan.  Justin Arnott, NWS Gaylord   Talk Title: "Predictability Horizons: Implications for Operational Forecasters"

 

2013 (21st): Toronto, Ontario.  The Brian Murphy Award was not presented. Conference was hosted via remote webinar presentations due to NOAA travel freeze.

 

2012 (20th): Chicago, Illinois.  Mark A. Thornton, LakeErieWX, LLC    Talk Title: "Tragedy Strikes the 2011 Chicago-Mac"

 

2011 (19th): Ithaca, New York.  Co-award Winners   Gina Ressler, McGill University   Talk Title: “Synoptic-Scale Analysis of Freezing Rain Events in Montreal, Canada”  -and-  Sophie Splawinski, McGill University   Talk Title:  “Atmospheric Circulation Anomalies Associated with Freezing Rain in Quebec City, QC and the St. Lawrence River Valley”

 

2010 (18th): Toronto, Ontario.  Dan Miller, NWS Duluth   Talk Title:  “Observations of Near-Surface Thermodynamic and Wind Shear Profiles on Significant Tornado Days”

 

2009: Great Lakes Workshop was not held - transition from fall meetings pre-2009, to spring meetings beginning in 2010

 

2008 (17th): Ann Arbor, Michigan.  TJ Turnage, NWS Grand Rapids   Talk Title:  "A Comparison of Heavy Snowfall Forecast Techniques"

 

2007 (16th): Milwaukee, Wisconsin.  Ed Shimon, NWS Central Illinois   Talk Title:  "The 19 July 2006 Derecho Event - A Meteorology and Radar Review"

 

2006 (15th): Niagara Falls, Ontario. Mike Evans, NWS Binghamton    Talk Title  “Correlations Between Snowfall and NAM Forecast Parameters Widely Believed to be Associated with Banded Snowfall: Part 1 - Examination of Time-Height Cross-Sectional Data”

 

2005 (14th): Grand Rapids, Michigan. Bruce Smith, NWS Gaylord   Talk Title: "The Lake-Enhanced Snow Event of December 19, 2000"

 

 

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The Bill Hibbert Award

The Bill Hibbert Award is presented at each Great Lakes workshop in honor of William Hibbert, a National Weather Service Buffalo, New York meteorologist.  Bill was the NWS Buffalo radar program leader, and was heavily involved with the initial operational assessment of polarimetric WSR-88D radar data in 2010.  

Sadly, Bill passed away in 2017 after a courageous battle with cancer.  Beginning with the 25th Great Lakes Workshop in Buffalo, NY in 2017, the Bill Hibbert Award has been presented to the person with the best presentation in the area of remote sensing application to operational meteorology at the GLOMW each year.

 

Past Recipients of the Bill Hibbert Remote Sensing Presentation:

Note: The Bill Hibbert Remote Sensing Presentation was initiated at the 25th Great Lakes Operational Meteorology Workshop, held in Buffalo, New York in April of 2017, the first workshop held after Bill's passing.

 

2019 (27th): Duluth, Minnesota.  Mark Kulie, NOAA/NESDIS  Talk Title: "Snowfall Observations @NWSMarquette: A Five-Year Retrospective"

 

2018 (26th): Cleveland, Ohio. Andy Hatzos,  NWS Wilmington    Talk Title: “The Six Tornadoes of May 24, 2017”

 

2017 (25th): Buffalo, New York.  Kirk Apffel,  NWS Buffalo    Talk Title: "Utilizing Dual-Polarization Instantaneous Precipitation Rate to Predict Flash Flooding"

 

 

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