PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC 643 AM EDT WED OCT 8 2014 ...SEPTEMBER 2014 CLIMATE SUMMARY... ...SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOOD EVENT IN LANCASTER AND CHESTERFIELD COUNTIES... ...WEAK EF0 TORNADO IN ORANGEBURG COUNTY... ...RAINFALL VARIED WIDELY ACROSS THE REGION... ...TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE MONTH... TEMPERATURES DURING THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER AVERAGED SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. HOWEVER...RAINFALL ACROSS THE MIDLANDS AND CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA WAS EXTREMELY VARIABLE DEPENDING ON YOUR LOCATION. AT TIMES THE RAINFALL WAS EXTREMELY HEAVY AND LOCALIZED. THIS LED TO SOME OF THE WORST FLOODING SEEN IN RECENT HISTORY ACROSS LANCASTER AND CHESTERFIELD COUNTIES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES IN JUST 3 HOURS PRODUCED FLASH FLOODING DURING THE NIGHT OF THE 18TH AND 19TH. THE HEAVY RAIN WASHED OUT ROADWAYS...CULVERTS AND MADE MANY ROADS IMPASSABLE. THERE WERE ALSO SEVERAL DAYS WHEN SEVERE WEATHER OCCURRED. ON THE 7TH...A WEAK EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE TOWN OF VANCE IN ORANGEBURG COUNTY. THERE WAS ALSO ONE FLASH FLOOD EVENT ALONG ROCKY BRANCH CREEK IN DOWNTOWN COLUMBIA ON THE AFTERNOON OF THE 7TH. THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE AT AUGUSTA REGIONAL BUSH FIELD WAS 75.7 DEGREES OR 1.1 DEGREES ABOVE THE NORMAL OF 74.6 DEGREES. THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE AT COLUMBIA METRO AIRPORT WAS 76.7 DEGREES OR 2.0 DEGREES ABOVE THE NORMAL 74.7 DEGREES. RAINFALL AVERAGED 4 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE MIDLANDS DURING SEPTEMBER. THE DRIEST AREA WAS ACROSS THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA WHERE ONLY 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN FELL. THE AREAS THAT SAW THE MOST RAINFALL STRETCHED FROM NEWBERRY COUNTY NORTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN MIDLANDS INTO CHESTERFIELD COUNTY. SOME LOCATIONS RECEIVED OVER 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL. HERE ARE SOME OF THE HIGHEST COCORAHS RAINFALL REPORTS FOR SEPTEMBER: ...COMMUNITY COLLABORATIVE RAIN HAIL AND SNOW NETWORK......WWW.COCORAHS.ORG SC-LN-8 LANCASTER 0.4 WSW.............10.45 INCHES SC-LN-4 LANCASTER 2.0 NNW.............10.10 INCHES SC-CF-5 PAGELAND 9.0 WNW.............. 9.10 INCHES SC-OR-3 NORTH 0.3 W....................8.08 INCHES SC-AK-58 AIKEN 3.6 S....................7.91 INCHES SC-AK-34 AIKEN 2.4 SSW..................7.39 INCHES SC-AK-39 N. AUGUSTA 1.5 WSW.............7.14 INCHES SC-LN-9 LANCASTER 11.0 ENE.............6.79 INCHES SC-RC-59 IRMO 4.1 NNE...................6.78 INCHES SC-OR-22 SANTEE 6.9 WSW.................6.67 INCHES A FEW REPORTS FROM GEORGIA... GA-CU-6 MARTINEZ 0.9 NW................5.69 INCHES GA-CU-3 EVANS 2.1 NNW..................4.41 INCHES GA-BK-1 WAYNESBORO 3.3 SW..............3.35 INCHES HERE ARE SOME OF THE HIGHEST NWS COOP OBSERVER REPORTS FOR SEPTEMBER: WATS1 WATEREE DAM...............8.17 INCHES CTFS1 CHESTERFIELD 3E...........7.71 INCHES CEWS1 CHERAW WATER PLANT........7.32 INCHES SPRS1 SPRINGFIELD...............6.46 INCHES PLNS1 PELION 4NW................6.24 INCHES AKIS1 AIKEN 2E..................6.22 INCHES LIMS1 LITTLE MOUNTAIN...........6.15 INCHES BLYS1 CEDAR CREEK...............5.90 INCHES BAMS1 BAMBERG...................5.75 INCHES LUGS1 LUGOFF 2NE................5.63 INCHES HERE ARE SOME ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THE RICHLAND COUNTY MESONET (RCWINDS) FOR SEPTEMBER: HORRELL HILL...............6.46 INCHES DUTCH FORK HIGH SCHOOL.....5.98 INCHES ST. ANDREWS................5.59 INCHES LANDFILL...................5.55 INCHES GILLS CREEK................5.08 INCHES HIGHEST WIND GUSTS AT EACH ASOS LOCATION DURING THE MONTH: COLUMBIA METRO AIRPORT (CAE)......36 MPH ON THE 2ND AUGUSTA DANIEL FIELD (DNL)........35 MPH ON THE 2ND ORANGEBURG COUNTY AIRPORT (OGB0...32 MPH ON THE 17TH HAMILTON OWENS AIRPORT (CUB)......30 MPH ON THE 2ND AND 19TH AUGUSTA BUSH FIELD (AGS)..........29 MPH ON THE 2ND HIGHEST WIND GUSTS AT EACH LAKE OBSERVING SITE DURING THE MONTH: LAKE WATEREE DAM (WATS1)................38 MPH ON THE 2ND LAKE MURRAY FLOTILLA ISLAND (LMFS1).....33 MPH ON THE 12TH CLARKS HILL LAKE THURMOND DAM (CHDS1)...33 MPH ON THE 2ND AND 3RD LAKE MURRAY TOWERS (IRMS1)..............27 MPH ON THE 2ND AND 12TH WATER TEMPERATURE AT THE LAKE MURRAY TOWERS (DEPTH APPROX. 6 FEET): WARMEST...85 DEGREES ON THE 6TH COOLEST...74 DEGREES ON THE 30TH RECORDS TIED OR BROKEN DURING THE MONTH AT SEPTEMBER: NO RECORDS WERE EITHER TIED OR BROKEN AT AUGUSTA ON THE 2ND...THE HIGH TEMPERATURE REACHED 99 DEGREES AT COLUMBIA METRO AIRPORT. THIS BROKE THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 98 DEGREES SET IN 1993 AND 1944. EVENTS FOR SEPTEMBER 2014: SEPTEMBER 1ST... ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE REGION AS TEMPERATURES CLIMBED INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S. THERE WERE SEVERAL REPORTS OF DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES IN RICHLAND AND BARNWELL COUNTIES. SEPTEMBER 2ND... A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE MIDLANDS. THIS WAS THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MIDLANDS. THERE WAS A REPORT OF NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN AIKEN COUNTY. THERE WERE SEVERAL REPORTS OF TREES DOWN ACROSS THE MIDLANDS. A SEVERE STORM IN CHESTERFIELD COUNTY DOWNED SEVERAL TREES ALONG THE CHERAW STATE PARK GOLF COURSE. SEPTEMBER 3RD... WIDELY SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE NORTHERN CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA AND WESTERN MIDLANDS. THE STORMS PRODUCED STRONG WINDS THAT DOWNED A FEW TREES. SEPTEMBER 4TH... A COLLAPSING THUNDERSTORM NEAR THE LEXINGTON SIDE OF LAKE MURRAY NEAR THE DAM MOVED NORTHWEST ACROSS THE LAKE. THE STORM PRODUCED STRONG WINDS ALONG THE LEXINGTON COUNTY SHORELINE AND THE LEXINGTON SIDE OF THE DAM. THE LAKE MURRAY RCWINDS SITE REPORTED A 36 MPH WIND GUST. THE NWS SITE AT FLOTILLA ISLAND REPORTED A 30 MPH WIND GUST. THE STORMS MAY HAVE PRODUCED WINDS UP TO 40 MPH WITH WAVES OF 2 TO 4 FEET. SEPTEMBER 7TH... THIS WAS A BUSY DAY ACROSS THE REGION. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCED A WEAK EF0 TORNADO NEAR THE TOWN OF VANCE IN ORANGEBURG COUNTY. A NWS SURVEY INDICATED THAT THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 3 SEPARATE TIMES. THE TORNADO PRODUCED CROP DAMAGE AND REMOVED TWO-THIRDS OF A ROOM FROM A MOBILE HOME. SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCED FLOODING ALONG ROCKY BRANCH CREEK IN DOWNTOWN COLUMBIA. THE HIGH WATER FLOODED SEVERAL VEHICLES. THE STREAM CRESTED AT 9.9 FEET AT THE GAGE AT PICKENS STREET AT 515 PM. THE STREAM THEN CRESTED AT 10.7 FEET DOWNSTREAM AT THE GAGE AT WHALEY AND MAIN STREETS. THIS ACTIVITY WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SURFACE WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE THAT DEVELOPED ALONG A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT. HERE ARE SOME RAINFALL TOTALS ON THE 7TH: COCORAHS REPORT NEAR 5PTS/USC.....2.32 INCHES UNIV. OF SC RAIN GAGE.............2.29 INCHES MLK PARK (RCWINDS)................2.17 INCHES HAMILTON OWENS AIRPORT (CUB)......2.05 INCHES HEADQUARTERS (RCWINDS)............1.73 INCHES SEPTEMBER 13TH... SLOW MOVING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT PRODUCED LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN LANCASTER COUNTY AND NEWBERRY COUNTY. SOME AREAS HAD 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER ACROSS ROADWAYS. SEPTEMBER 16TH... A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION PRODUCE ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS LANCASTER COUNTY. LIGHTNING STRUCK A HOME CAUSING A HOUSE FIRE JUST WEST OF THE CITY OF LANCASTER. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DOWNED SEVERAL TREES ACROSS THE COUNTY. SEPTEMBER 17TH... WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE MIDLANDS AND CSRA. ONE STORM PRODUCED QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DOWNED POWER LINES IN ORANGEBURG COUNTY. ANOTHER SEVERE STORM NEAR THE RICHMOND AND BURKE COUNTY LINE NEAR THE SAVANNAH RIVER PRODUCED GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SEPTEMBER 18TH AND 19TH... A WEAK SHORT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT PRODUCED SLOW MOVING STORMS THAT PRODUCED FLASH FLOODING ACROSS LANCASTER AND CHESTERFIELD COUNTIES. DURING A SPAN OF APPROXIMATELY 3 HOURS OVERNIGHT...4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN FELL. THIS WAS BASED ON COCORAHS RAINFALL REPORTS AND RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES. THE HEAVY RAIN DAMAGED OR MADE IMPASSABLE 12 COUNTY ROADS AND 3 STATE ROADS. THE LANCASTER EM REPORTED THAT SEVERAL ROADS...BRIDGES AND CULVERTS WERE WASHED OUT. HERE ARE A FEW RAINFALL REPORTS FROM THE EVENT: COCORAHS...SC-CF-5 PAGELAND 9.0 WNW......6.09 INCHES COCORAHS...SC-LN-9 LANCASTER 11.0 ENE....5.76 INCHES COCORAHS...SC-LN-8 LANCASTER 0.4 WSW.....1.88 INCHES NWS COOP...LAKE WATEREE (WATS1)...........1.36 INCHES COCORAHS...SC-LN-4 LANCASTER 2.0 NNW.....1.19 INCHES SEPTEMBER 22ND... A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPED ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WAS NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IN BAMBERG COUNTY PRODUCED NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL ALONG WITH LIMBS AND TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES. YEAR TO DATE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION STATISTICS... COLUMBIA SC METROPOLITAN AIRPORT 2013/2014 MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL... AVG HIGH/DEP AVG LOW/DEP AVG TEMP NORM DEPARTURE JAN 2013 64.0/+8.0 41.1/+7.4 52.5 44.8 +7.7 FEB 59.2/-1.1 36.2/-0.6 47.7 48.5 -0.8 MAR 63.5/-4.7 38.5/-4.5 51.0 55.6 -4.6 APR 76.7/+0.4 53.4/+3.0 65.0 63.4 +1.6 MAY 81.4/-2.4 59.2/-0.3 70.3 71.7 -1.4 JUN 88.1/-1.9 70.1/+1.9 79.1 79.1 0.0 JUL 88.4/-4.3 72.7/+1.1 80.5 82.2 -1.7 AUG 87.6/-3.1 71.0/ 0.0 79.3 80.8 -1.5 SEP 86.9/+1.7 65.5/+0.3 76.2 74.7 +1.5 OCT 77.9/+1.8 54.8/+2.7 66.3 64.1 +2.2 NOV 65.0/-2.3 40.5/-1.8 52.7 54.8 -2.1 DEC 62.5/+4.3 40.6/+5.3 51.5 46.7 +4.8 ANNUAL 75.1/-0.4 53.6/+1.2 64.4 63.9 +0.5 JAN 2014 52.4/-3.6 28.1/-5.6 40.3 44.8 -4.5 FEB 60.3/ 0.0 37.4/+0.6 48.9 48.5 +0.4 MAR 65.2/-3.0 39.1/-3.9 52.2 55.6 -3.4 APR 78.3/+2.0 52.8/+2.4 65.6 63.4 +2.2 MAY 86.4/+2.6 62.2/+2.7 74.3 71.7 +2.6 JUN 92.4/+2.4 71.6/+3.4 82.0 79.1 +2.9 JUL 92.7/ 0.0 73.4/+1.8 83.0 82.2 +0.8 AUG 92.2/+1.5 71.7/+0.7 82.0 80.8 +1.2 SEP 84.9/-0.3 68.4/+4.2 76.7 74.7 +2.0 AUGUSTA GA BUSH FIELD 2013/2014 MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL... AVG HIGH/DEP AVG LOW/DEP AVG TEMP NORM DEPARTURE JAN 2013 65.4/+7.5 39.4/+6.6 52.4 45.4 +7.0 FEB 59.8/-2.5 35.5/-0.4 47.6 49.1 -1.5 MAR 63.8/-6.1 37.9/-4.1 50.8 55.9 -5.1 APR 76.2/-1.1 48.5/+0.4 62.4 62.7 -0.3 MAY 81.0/-4.0 55.8/-1.5 68.4 71.1 -2.7 JUN 88.2/-2.8 67.4/+1.2 77.8 78.6 -0.8 JUL 87.9/-5.5 71.0/+1.2 79.5 81.6 -2.1 AUG 87.7/-4.1 68.6/-0.7 78.2 80.5 -2.3 SEP 87.2/+0.5 61.8/-0.8 74.5 74.6 -0.1 OCT 78.4/+0.7 51.9/+0.9 65.2 64.4 +0.8 NOV 65.9/-3.2 38.7/-2.7 52.3 55.2 -2.9 DEC 62.5/+2.5 38.0/+3.5 50.3 47.2 +3.1 ANNUAL 75.3/-1.6 51.2/+0.2 63.3 63.9 -0.6 JAN 2014 52.7/-5.2 26.3/-6.5 39.5 45.4 -5.9 FEB 61.9/-2.5 34.9/ 0.0 48.4 49.1 -0.7 MAR 66.1/-3.8 37.6/-4.4 51.9 55.9 -4.0 APR 77.3/ 0.0 49.1/+1.0 63.2 62.7 +0.5 MAY 85.3/+0.3 58.0/+0.7 71.6 71.7 +0.5 JUN 90.7/-0.3 67.2/+1.0 78.9 78.6 +0.3 JUL 92.2/-1.2 68.4/-1.4 80.3 81.6 -1.3 AUG 91.7/-0.1 67.6/-1.7 79.7 80.5 -0.8 SEP 84.9/-1.8 66.6/+4.0 75.7 74.6 +1.1 COLUMBIA SC METROPOLITAN AIRPORT 2013/2014 MONTHLY PRECIPITATION... TOTAL NORMAL DEPARTURE (INCHES) JAN 2013 1.21 3.58 -2.37 FEB 5.51 3.61 +1.90 MAR 3.65 3.73 -0.08 APR 4.63 2.62 +2.01 MAY 3.62 2.97 +0.65 JUN 6.17 4.69 +1.48 JUL 11.21 5.46 +5.75 AUG 7.51 5.26 +2.25 SEP 2.04 3.54 -1.50 OCT 1.98 3.17 -1.19 NOV 2.06 2.74 -0.68 DEC 5.88 3.22 +2.66 ANNUAL 55.47 44.59 +10.88 JAN 2014 3.40 3.58 -0.18 FEB 2.92 3.61 -0.69 MAR 3.93 3.73 +0.20 APR 2.99 2.62 +0.37 MAY 5.72 2.97 +2.75 JUN 1.41 4.69 -3.28 JUL 2.83 5.46 -2.63 AUG 4.88 5.26 -0.38 SEP 2.81 3.54 -0.73 AUGUSTA GA BUSH FIELD 2013/2014 MONTHLY PRECIPITATION... TOTAL NORMAL DEPARTURE (INCHES) JAN 2013 0.60 3.91 -3.31 FEB 9.40 3.92 +5.48 MAR 3.11 4.18 -1.07 APR 4.23 2.84 +1.39 MAY 2.26 2.65 -0.39 JUN 10.83 4.72 +6.11 JUL 9.05 4.33 +4.72 AUG 5.84 4.32 +1.52 SEP 1.12 3.22 -2.10 OCT 0.36 3.27 -2.91 NOV 1.82 2.82 -1.00 DEC 6.90 3.39 +3.51 ANNUAL 55.54 43.57 +11.97 JAN 2014 2.48 3.91 -1.43 FEB 3.73 3.92 -0.19 MAR 2.56 4.18 -1.62 APR 4.59 2.84 +1.75 MAY 5.50 2.65 +2.85 JUN 2.27 4.72 -2.45 JUL 5.53 4.33 +1.20 AUG 1.76 4.32 -2.56 SEP 2.26 3.22 -0.96 THE OUTLOOK FOR OCTOBER... THE FORECAST CALLS FOR A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND EQUAL CHANCES THAT PRECIPITATION WILL EITHER BE BELOW...ABOVE OR NEAR NORMAL. THE 3-MONTH OUTLOOK FOR FALL (OCT/NOV/DEC)... THE FORECAST CALLS FOR A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURE AND AROUND 33 PERCENT CHANCE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE 3-MONTH PERIOD. ENSO (EL NINO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION)... ...A EL NINO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE LATE SUMMER OR EARLY FALL... AN EL NINO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF EL NINO CONDITIONS WITHIN THE NEXT SIX MONTHS. AT THIS TIME...ENSO NEUTRAL CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC OCEAN. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE ABOVE AVERAGE ACROSS MOST OF THE PACIFIC OCEAN. THE CHANCES OF EL NINO DEVELOPING IS 60 TO 65 PERCENT DURING THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE FALL AND WINTER. ENSO MODELS INDICATE THAT EL NINO CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE OCTOBER THROUGH DECEMBER PERIOD AND PERSIST THROUGH THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE WINTER 2014-15. AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE EL NINO THAT DOES DEVELOP WILL BE WEAK. CLIMATE OUTLOOKS AND ENSO DISCUSSIONS COURTESY NOAA CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...WWW.CPC.NOAA.GOV. NOTE... MUCH APPRECIATION GOES OUT TO OUR NWS COOPERATIVE WEATHER OBSERVERS...COCORAHS (COMMUNITY...COLLABORATIVE...RAIN...HAIL AND SNOW NETWORK) OBSERVERS...SOUTH CAROLINA STATE CLIMATE OFFICE...SOUTHEAST REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...RICHLAND COUNTY AND LOCAL WEATHER PARTNERS FOR THE DATA THEY PROVIDE THROUGHOUT THE YEAR. THEIR HARD WORK AND DEDICATION IS GREATLY APPRECIATED. TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR COLUMBIA GO BACK TO 1887 AND FOR AUGUSTA BACK TO 1873. PRECIPITATION RECORDS FOR COLUMBIA GO BACK TO 1878 AND FOR AUGUSTA BACK TO 1871. ADDITIONAL CLIMATE INFORMATION...INCLUDING CURRENT AND ARCHIVED DAILY AND MONTHLY SUMMARIES...CAN BE FOUND ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC HOME PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/CAE . $$ VAUGHAN