Public Information Statement National Weather Service Columbia SC 241 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2019 ...PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT... ...CORRECTED FOR TYPOGRAPHICAL ERRORS... ...Climate Summary for October... ...4th Warmest October on Record at Columbia... ...6th Warmest October on Record at Augusta... ...Rainfall Closer to Normal Across the Region.. ...Remnants of Tropical Storm Nestor Bring Much Needed Rainfall to the State on the 19th - 20th... ...October Ends on a Stormy Note with an EF-1 Tornado in Lexington County... October began with temperatures in the triple digits and drought worsening across the region. However, by the middle of the month, rainfall became more plentiful and temperatures moderated closer to normal. The remnants of Tropical Storm Nestor, which formed in the southwest Gulf of America on the 17th, moved northeast and brought widespread steady rainfall to the region. Rainfall amounts ranged from 1 to 4 inches. The heaviest rain fell over the Lowcountry. The month ended on a stormy note with a strong cold front crossing the region on the night of Halloween. The front produced strong damaging winds across much of the Midlands and Central Savannah River Area. One particularly severe storm spawned an EF-1 tornado in Lexington County between the towns of Gilbert and Lexington. .Augusta Average Temperatures... The average temperature at Augusta Regional Bush Field for October was 70.6 degrees or 6.2 degrees above the normal of 64.4 degrees. It was the 6th warmest October on record at Augusta. Here are the top 6 warmest October months on record: 1. 74.9 degrees in 1919 2. 72.9 degrees in 1941 3. 71.9 degrees in 1984 4. 71.2 degrees in 1884 5. 70.9 degrees in 1881 6. 70.6 degrees in 2019 and 1985 .Columbia Average Temperatures... The average temperature at Columbia Metro Airport for October was 70.1 degrees or 6.0 degrees above the normal of 64.1 degrees. It was the 4th warmest September on record at Columbia. Here are the top 5 warmest October months on record: 1. 73.9 degrees in 1919 2. 72.2 degrees in 1941 3. 70.4 degrees in 1984 4. 70.1 degrees in 2019 5. 69.8 degrees in 1971 .Augusta Rainfall... Augusta Bush Field received 4.12 inches of rainfall during October, 0.85 inches above the normal of 3.27 inches. .Columbia Rainfall... Columbia Metro Airport received 2.36 inches of rainfall during October, 0.81 inches below the normal of 3.17 inches. Here are some of the highest/lowest NWS Coop Observer monthly rainfall totals for October 2019: PASS1 Fairfield Pump and Storage...5.24 inches LNCG1 Lincolnton..................5.23 inches WYNG1 Waynesboro..................4.99 inches JOHS1 Johnston 4 SW...............2.61 inches BLYS1 Cedar Creek.................2.83 inches CHDS1 Clarks Hill.................2.85 inches Here are some of the highest/lowest CoCoRaHS Observers monthly rainfall totals for October 2019: SC-RC-1 Dentsville 6.6 NNE.......7.11 inches SC-SL-9 Saluda 0.6 NNE...........5.82 inches SC-LX-49 Chapin 1.3 SSE...........5.52 inches GA-BK-1 Waynesboro 3.3 SW........5.46 inches GA-CU-9 Appling 2.0 SE...........4.90 inches GA-MD-5 Thomson 2.6 S............4.81 inches Highest Wind Gusts at ASOS Sites During October: Columbia Metro Airport (CAE)..........48 mph on the 31st Orangeburg County Airport (OGB).......41 mph on the 31st Augusta Daniel Field (DNL)............32 mph on the 31st Augusta Bush Field (AGS)..............32 mph on the 16th and 31st Columbia Hamilton Owens Field (CUB)...26 mph on the 16th *Wind Gust Missing at CUB from the 31st Highest Wind Gusts on the area lakes during October: Lake Thurmond Dam (CHDS1)............. Lake Murray Towers USGS (IRMS1).......38 mph on the 5th Lake Murray Flotilla Island (LMFS1)...33 mph on the 12th Lake Thurmond Dam (CHDS1).............32 mph on the 13th Lake Wateree Dam (WATS1)..............28 mph on the 5th Lake Murray Water Temperatures (near surface) at The Towers for October: Warmest...83.7F on the 4th Coolest...71.0F on the 26th Temperature/Precipitation Records Tied or Broken during the month of October: Augusta... 10/1 - Tied the maximum temperature of 93 degrees set in 1986. 10/2 - Maximum temperature reached 96 degrees. Previous record was 93 degrees set in 1986. 10/3 - Maximum temperature reached 100 degrees. Previous record was 94 degrees set in 1986. 10/4 - Maximum temperature reached 101 degrees. Previous record was 97 degrees set in 1954. 10/13 - Tied the maximum temperature of 89 degrees set in 2014. Columbia... 10/1 - Minimum temperature was 74 degrees. Previous maximum lowest temperature was 73 degrees set in 1971. 10/2 - Maximum temperature was 97 degrees. Previous record was 95 degrees set in 1986. 10/3 - Minimum temperature was 72 degrees. This tied the maximum lowest temperature set in 1941, 1927 and 1898. 10/3 - Maximum temperature was 100 degrees. Previous record was 95 degrees set in 1986. 10/4 - Minimum temperature was 73 degrees. Previous maximum lowest temperature was 72 degrees set in 2007. 10/4 - Maximum temperature was 100 degrees. Previous record was 97 degrees set in 1954. Events... October 17th - Cold Canadian high pressure built in across the region behind a cold front. This produced morning low temperatures in the upper 30s to lower 40s across much of the Midlands and CSRA. Here is a list of some of the coldest morning temperatures: Location Temp Time/Date Provider Cedar Crk 38 F 0800 AM 10/17 COOP Elgin 39 F 0743 AM 10/17 CWOP Lancaster 39 F 0755 AM 10/17 AWOS 2 ESE Saluda 39 F 0725 AM 10/17 AWS Saluda 40 F 0810 AM 10/17 CWOP Graniteville 40 F 0816 AM 10/17 CWOP Fort Mill 40 F 0821 AM 10/17 CWOP Pinewood 40 F 0800 AM 10/17 CWOP 0.9 NE Lincolnton 40 F 0800 AM 10/17 COOP Mccrady Training Center 40 F 0833 AM 10/17 RAWS Spring Hill 40 F 0800 AM 10/17 RCWINDS Dutch Fork High School 40 F 0800 AM 10/17 RCWINDS Bear Creek 40 F 0800 AM 10/17 RCWINDS Blythewood Fire Station 40 F 0800 AM 10/17 RCWINDS Gilbert 41 F 0801 AM 10/17 CWOP 0.6 S Saluda 41 F 0800 AM 10/17 COOP Cane Creek Fire Station 41 F 0800 AM 10/17 RCWINDS Red Bank area 42 F 0754 AM 10/17 CWOP Wedgefield 42 F 0700 AM 10/17 CWOP Lexington 42 F 0815 AM 10/17 CWOP Peak 42 F 0816 AM 10/17 CWOP North Augusta 42 F 0757 AM 10/17 CWOP Mcentire Ang 42 F 0656 AM 10/17 AWOS Long Cane 42 F 0812 AM 10/17 RAWS Savriv 42 F 0807 AM 10/17 RAWS Newberry 42 F 0755 AM 10/17 AWS Newberry (WEATHERSTEM) 43 F 0810 AM 10/17 MESOWEST 1.6 E Dyson 43 F 0800 AM 10/17 COOP Orangeburg 43 F 0756 AM 10/17 CWOP Pinewood 43 F 0800 AM 10/17 CWOP Columbia 43 F 0800 AM 10/17 CWOP Heath Springs 43 F 0750 AM 10/17 AWS Carolina Sandhills 43 F 0714 AM 10/17 RAWS Aiken 43 F 0755 AM 10/17 AWOS Cheraw 43 F 0755 AM 10/17 AWOS Thomson-Mcduffie County Airp 43 F 0815 AM 10/17 AWOS Santee Cooper Region Arpt 43 F 0815 AM 10/17 AWOS Sumter Municipal Airport 43 F 0755 AM 10/17 AWOS 10/31 - A vigorous cold front moved across the region during overnight hours of Halloween. A line of strong to severe thunderstorms developed ahead of the main cold front and moved across the Central Savannah River Area and Midlands during the late afternoon hours into the early evening hours. The line produced strong damaging winds and a tornado that touched down in Lexington County. There were numerous reports of downed trees, power lines and large limbs across much of the area. Here is a summary of the damage that the tornado produced from the NWS Storm Survey Team that surveyed the damage. ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 10/31/2019 TORNADO EVENT... ...Multiple Touchdowns EF1 Tornado Lexington County... ...Tornadoes Touch Down Three Times In Just Over 8 Miles from Same Supercell... ...Touchdown near Roy Steele Road and Crosby Road... Start Location...2 NE Gilbert in Lexington County SC End Location...3 NE Gilbert in Lexington County SC Date...11/01/2019 Estimated Time...05:59 PM EDT Maximum EF-Scale Rating...EF1 Estimated Maximum Wind Speed...95 mph Maximum Path Width...50 yards Path Length...1.14 miles Beginning Lat/Lon...33.9355 / -81.3702 Ending Lat/Lon...33.9427 / -81.3526 * Fatalities...0 * Injuries...0 ...Summary... A tornado touched down near the intersection of Roy Steele Road and Crosby Road just northeast of the town of Gilbert. It moved quickly to the northeast at nearly 50 mph. It ended near the intersection of Drawbill Road and Austin McCartha Road. Much of the damage was confined to trees that were both hardwood and softwood. The tornado downed large tree limbs, uprooted a tree and snapped a couple of soft wood trees approximately 20 to 30 feet off the ground. The strong winds blew a piece of sheet metal that wrapped itself around a tree trunk. ..Touchdown between Olde Farm Road and Rabbit Road... Start Location...5 WNW Red Bank in Lexington County SC End Location...4 WSW Lexington in Lexington County SC Date...11/01/2019 Estimated Time...06:02 PM EDT Maximum EF-Scale Rating...EF1 Estimated Maximum Wind Speed...95 mph Maximum Path Width...100.0 yards Path Length...0.47 miles Beginning Lat/Lon...33.9596 / - 81.3109 Ending Lat/Lon...33.9634 / -81.3041 * Fatalities...0 * Injuries...0 ...Summary... This is the location of the most widespread tree damage and strongest winds. The tornado once again touched down near Clinton Sease Farms along Olde Farm Road. The tornado continued northeast and uprooted and snapped nearly two dozen trees between Olde Farm Road and Rabbit Road. A small wood building at the farm lost a good portion of its metal roof. The tornado ended just as it crossed Rabbit Road. ..Brief Touchdown near the intersection of Dreher Street and Harmon Street... Start Location...Lexington in Lexington County SC End Location...Lexington in Lexington County SC Date...11/01/2019 Estimated Time...06:09 PM EDT Maximum EF-Scale Rating...EF0 Estimated Maximum Wind Speed...85 mph Maximum Path Width...50.0 yards Path Length...0.07 miles Beginning Lat/Lon...33.9873 / - 81.2306 Ending Lat/Lon...33.9879 / -81.2297 * Fatalities...0 * Injuries...0 ...Summary... The final touchdown occurred near the Lexington Middle School near the intersection of Dreher Street and Harmon Street. A large hardwood tree broke and took down a power line. A small hardwood tree was snapped about 30 feet off the ground. There were several large limbs that came down on a power line along Harmon Street. Portions of a wooden fence were blown over behind a home along Dreher Street. EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the following categories: EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph EF4...Violent...166 to 200 mph EF5...Violent...>200 mph * The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to change pending final review of the events and publication in NWS Storm Data. YEAR TO DATE MONTHLY TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION STATISTICS... COLUMBIA SC METROPOLITAN AIRPORT 2018/2019 MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL... AVG HIGH/DEP AVG LOW/DEP AVG TEMP NORM DEPARTURE JAN 2018 55.5/-0.5 30.5/-3.2 43.0 44.8 -1.8 FEB 70.1/+9.8 49.6/+12.8 59.8 48.5 +11.3 MAR 65.8/-2.4 42.5/-0.5 54.2 55.6 -1.4 APR 75.1/-1.2 49.4/-1.0 62.3 63.4 -1.1 MAY 87.3/+1.4 66.5/+7.0 76.9 71.7 +5.2 JUN 93.8/+3.8 71.7/+3.5 82.8 79.1 +3.7 JUL 93.5/+0.8 73.5/+1.9 83.5 82.2 +1.3 AUG 92.9/+2.2 72.7/+1.7 82.8 80.8 +2.0 SEP 91.2/+6.0 72.6/+8.4 81.9 74.7 +7.2 OCT 79.6/+3.5 57.5/+5.4 68.5 64.1 +4.4 NOV 62.3/-5.0 43.2/+0.9 52.8 54.8 -2.0 DEC 58.5/+0.3 39.2/+3.9 48.8 46.7 +2.1 Annual 77.1/+1.6 55.7/+3.3 66.4 63.9 +2.5 JAN 2019 57.7/+1.7 36.3/+2.6 47.0 44.8 +2.2 FEB 65.1/+4.8 41.2/+4.4 53.2 48.5 +4.7 MAR 67.4/-0.8 42.7/+0.3 55.1 55.6 -0.5 APR 77.9/+1.6 52.7/+2.3 65.3 63.4 +1.9 MAY 89.2/+5.4 65.4/+5.9 77.3 71.7 +5.6 JUN 88.9/-1.1 68.2/ 0.0 78.5 79.1 -0.6 JUL 93.2/+2.9 72.2/+0.6 82.7 82.2 +0.5 AUG 92.5/+1.8 72.1/+1.1 82.3 80.8 +1.5 SEP 93.0/+7.8 68.9/+4.7 80.9 74.7 +6.2 OCT 82.0/+5.9 58.3/+6.2 70.1 64.1 +6.0 AUGUSTA GA BUSH FIELD 2018/2019 MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL... AVG HIGH/DEP AVG LOW/DEP AVG TEMP NORM DEPARTURE JAN 2018 57.1/-0.8 29.2/-3.6 43.1 45.4 -2.3 FEB 71.6/+9.3 48.4/+12.5 60.0 49.1 +10.9 MAR 67.7/-2.2 41.2/-1.4 54.5 55.9 -1.4 APR 75.1/-2.2 46.1/-2.0 60.6 62.7 -2.1 MAY 86.4/+1.4 61.5/+4.2 74.0 71.1 +2.9 JUN 92.2/+1.2 68.7/+2.5 80.5 78.6 +1.9 JUL 91.2/-2.2 70.9/+1.1 81.0 81.6 -0.6 AUG 92.4/+0.6 70.4/+1.1 81.4 80.5 +0.9 SEP 92.4/+5.7 70.4/+7.8 81.4 74.6 +6.8 OCT 80.6/+2.9 56.7/+4.3 68.7 64.4 +4.3 NOV 64.3/-4.8 43.3/+1.9 53.8 55.2 -1.4 DEC 61.1/+1.1 40.5/+6.0 50.8 47.2 +3.6 Annual 77.7/+0.8 53.9/+2.9 65.8 63.9 +1.9 JAN 2019 60.7/+2.8 37.4/+4.6 49.1 45.4 +3.7 FEB 68.4/+6.1 43.2/+7.3 55.8 49.1 +6.7 MAR 71.2/+1.3 42.8/+0.8 57.0 55.9 +1.1 APR 80.0/+2.7 52.1/+4.0 66.0 62.7 +3.3 MAY 91.0/+6.0 64.1/+6.8 77.5 71.1 +6.4 JUN 90.7/-0.3 67.6/+1.4 79.2 78.6 +0.6 JUL 96.3/+2.9 71.1/+1.3 83.7 81.6 +2.1 AUG 93.7/+1.9 71.5/+2.2 82.6 80.5 +2.1 SEP 93.7/+7.0 66.8/+4.2 80.2 74.6 +5.6 OCT 83.3/+5.6 58.0/+7.0 70.6 64.4 +6.2 COLUMBIA SC METROPOLITAN AIRPORT 2018/2019 MONTHLY/YEARLY PRECIPITATION... TOTAL NORMAL DEPARTURE (INCHES) JAN 2018 2.42 3.58 -1.16 FEB 1.61 3.61 -2.00 MAR 2.97 3.73 -0.76 APR 3.10 2.62 +0.48 MAY 2.76 2.97 -0.21 JUN 3.45 4.69 -1.24 JUL 3.68 5.46 -1.78 AUG 3.25 5.26 -2.01 SEP 6.09 3.54 +2.55 OCT 6.36 3.17 +3.22 NOV 6.55 2.74 +3.81 DEC 7.25 3.22 +4.03 Annual 49.52 44.59 +4.93 JAN 2019 3.07 3.58 -0.57 FEB 0.88 3.61 -2.73 MAR 2.61 3.73 -1.12 APR 2.86 2.62 +0.24 MAY 2.35 2.97 -0.62 JUN 8.03 4.69 +3.34 JUL 4.50 5.46 +0.96 AUG 1.40 5.26 -3.86 SEP 1.95 3.54 -1.59 OCT 2.36 3.17 -0.81 AUGUSTA GA BUSH FIELD 2018/2019 MONTHLY/YEARLY PRECIPITATION... TOTAL NORMAL DEPARTURE (INCHES) JAN 2018 2.09 3.91 -1.82 FEB 1.57 3.92 -2.35 MAR 3.21 4.18 -0.97 APR 3.47 2.84 +0.63 MAY 8.21 2.65 +5.56 JUN 5.19 4.72 +0.47 JUL 3.13 4.33 -1.20 AUG 4.28 4.32 -0.04 SEP 7.19 3.22 +3.97 OCT 4.58 3.27 +1.31 NOV 5.98 2.82 +3.16 DEC 5.94 3.39 +2.55 Annual 54.84 43.57 +11.27 Jan 2019 4.40 3.91 +0.49 FEB 1.14 3.92 -2.78 MAR 2.23 4.18 -1.95 APR 3.01 2.84 +0.17 MAY 3.70 2.65 +1.05 JUN 6.45 4.72 +1.73 JUL 1.39 4.33 -2.94 AUG 12.92 4.32 +8.60 SEP 0.77 3.22 -2.45 OCT 4.12 3.27 +0.85 The 3-Month Outlook for Fall/Winter (November/December/January)... The outlook calls for a 40 to 50 percent chance of above normal temperatures with equal chance of above, below and normal rainfall. Go to the Climate Prediction Center web page at www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov for more details and the latest outlooks. ENSO (EL NINO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION)... ENSO-neutral conditions are present. Equatorial sea surface temperatures are above average from the western to east-central Pacific Ocean and are below average in the far eastern Pacific. ENSO-neutral is favored during the Northern Hemisphere fall 2019, continuing through spring 2020. There is an 85 percent chance for ENSO-neutral through the Fall and a 55 to 60 percent chance that it will continue into the spring. Climate Outlooks and ENSO Discussions courtesy of NOAA Climate Prediction Center...www.cpc.noaa.gov . Note...much appreciation goes out to our NWS Cooperative Weather Observers...CoCoRaHS (Community...Collaborative...Rain...Hail and Snow Network) Observers...South Carolina State Climate Office... Southeast Regional Climate Center...Richland County Emergency Services...USGS and local weather partners for the data they provide throughout the year. Their hard work and dedication is greatly appreciated. Temperature records for Columbia go back to 1887 and for Augusta back to 1873. Precipitation records for Columbia go back to 1878 and for Augusta back to 1871. Additional climate information, including current and archived daily and monthly summaries, can be found on the National Weather Service Columbia SC home page at http://www.weather.gov/cae . $$ LCV/DA