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Rain and Snow in the Eastern US; Arctic Airmass Moves into the Northern Plains

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will spread into the East Coast, and moderate to heavy snowfall will develop over the Northeast. A significant Arctic outbreak will spread over the northern Plains, where dangerously cold wind chills are expected. The Arctic air will advance farther south and east on Friday into the weekend. Heavy lake effect snow is likely downwind of the Great Lakes. Read More >

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
454 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024

...NWS Damage Survey for 7/15/2024 Tornado Event...

.Tornado #2...

Rating:                 EF-0
Estimated Peak Wind:    85 mph
Path Length /statute/:  0.75 miles
Path Width /maximum/:   75 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             July 15, 2024
Start Time:             3:50 PM ET
Start Location:         Town of Pavilion, Genesee County, NY
Start Lat/Lon:          42.8760 / -78.0300

End Date:               July 15, 2024
End Time:               3:52 PM ET
End Location:           Town of Pavilion, Genesee County, NY
End Lat/Lon:            42.8750 / -78.0130

The National Weather Service in Buffalo conducted a storm survey
on Wednesday July 17 in southeast Genesee County to examine
damage from severe thunderstorms which occurred on Monday June 15.
An eyewitness reported seeing swirling leaves and debris in his
yard, which sustained significant tree damage.

The National Weather Service storm survey found a narrow,
discontinuous path of tree damage along a 0.75 mile path through
the center of Pavilion. The damage path began in a stand of trees
just west of the town center, then proceeded through a small
neighborhood on the west side of town. The most significant tree
damage was found at a residence near the intersection of Route 19
and Route 63 near the town center. The damage path continued to
the east through a stand of trees just north of Pavilion
Elementary School, then ended before the intersection of Perry
Rd and York Rd. Some additional tree damage was noted just south
of the tornado path along York Rd between Route 63 and Perry Rd,
with this damage being consistent with straight line winds.

The damage consisted of several uprooted large softwood trees,
around a half dozen softwood trees with snapped trunks, and
numerous large tree limbs down. None of the homes of other
structures sustained any significant wind damage from this brief
EF-0 tornado.

EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the
following categories:

EF0.....65 to 85 mph
EF1.....86 to 110 mph
EF2.....111 to 135 mph
EF3.....136 to 165 mph
EF4.....166 to 200 mph
EF5.....>200 mph

NOTE:
The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to
change pending final review of the event and publication in NWS
Storm Data.