National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Cold Weather Advisory for Portions of Northern New York

A Cold Weather Advisory has been issued for portions of northern New York from midnight tonight to 9 AM EST Sunday. Very cold winds chills as low as 25 below are expected, with winds chills on mountain peaks lower than 30 below. These wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. Read More >

Snow Amount Potential
Experimental -
Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast
 
 

What's this?
High End Amount
1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall
 

What's this?
Low End Amount
9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall
 

What's this?

Low End Amount – 9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall

 

This map depicts a reasonable lower-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This lower amount is an unlikely scenario with a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that more snow will fall, and only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as a lower-end scenario for planning purposes.

Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast

 

This map is the official NWS snowfall forecast in inches during the time period shown on the graphic. This snowfall amount is determined by NWS forecasters to be the most likely outcome based on evaluation of data from computer models, satellite, radar, and other observations.

High End Amount – Only a 1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall

 

This map depicts a reasonable upper-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This higher amount is an unlikely scenario, with only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that more snow will fall, and a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as an upper-end scenario for planning purposes.

 
The purpose of these experimental probabilistic snowfall products is to provide customers and partners a range of snowfall possibilities, in complement to existing NWS deterministic snowfall graphics, to better communicate forecast uncertainties during winter weather events. For more information visit this project's Product/Service Description Document, and please provide us your feedback here.
Percent Chance That Snow Amounts Will Be Greater Than...
Experimental -
What's this?

Percent Chance That Snow Amounts Will Be Greater Than

 

This series of maps shows the probability (that is, the likelihood) that snowfall will equal or exceed specific amounts during the time period shown on the graphic. These forecasts are based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals.

Hover over thumbnails below to view larger image.
>=0.1"
 
>=1"
 
>=2"
 
>=4"
 
>=6"
 
>=8"
 
>=12"
 
>=18"
 
 

Snowfall Totals by Location
Experimental -
What's this?

Snowfall Totals by Location

 

These tables show the snowfall forecast for individual locations, and provide the same information as the graphics on this web page, just shown in a different way. All of these values are valid for the same time period as depicted on the graphics.

 

Selected City Charts
Expected Snowfall - Box and Whisker Plot
box and whisker
Expected Snowfall - Exceedance Bar Plot
exceedance bar
 
Ice Accumulation Potential

Expected Ice Accumulation - Official NWS Forecast

This is the elevated flat surface ice accumulation. It is  not  radial/line ice. Radial/line ice is typically 39% of the elevated flat surface ice. For more information on this, see this module.

Most Likely Ice Accumulation

What's this?

Most Likely Ice Accumulation

Represents our official ice forecast in inches within the next one to three days. The ice accumulation amounts are provided in ranges.


 

 
Precipitation Onset/End Timing
Onset of Wintry Precipitation End Timing of Wintry Precipitation
What's this? What's this?

Precipitation Onset

Most likely time of winter precipitation onset (snow, sleet, freezing rain). Rain is not included here. This information is provided when we issue a Warning or Advisory for expected snow or ice accumulation; typically six to 24 hours in advance. Times are only given for places that are under a Warning or Advisory. They will be blank in areas outside Warnings or Advisories.

Precipitation End Time

Most likely time of winter precipitation ending (snow, sleet, freezing rain). Rain is not included here. This information is provided when we issue a Warning or Advisory for expected snow or ice accumulation; typically six to 24 hours in advance. Times are only given for places that are under a Warning or Advisory. They will be blank in areas outside Warnings or Advisories.

Winter Storm Severity Index (WSSI) Winter Storm Outlook (WSO)
National Snow Reports National Snowfall Analysis
 
Local Snow Reports
Days 4-7 Winter Weather Outlook
 
Day 4 Winter Weather Outlook Day 5 Winter Weather Outlook
Day 4 Winter Weather Outlook Day 5 Winter Weather Outlook
 
Day 6 Winter Weather Outlook Day 7 Winter Weather Outlook
Day 6 Winter Weather Outlook Day 7 Winter Weather Outlook


Click here for an interactive map

 
CPC Week-2 Experimental Heavy Snow Risk
 
CPC Week-2 Experimental Heavy Snow Risk
 
CPC Temperature & Precipitation Maps
 

Days 6-10

Temperature  Precipitation
6-10 day temperature 6-10 day precipitation
 
 

Days 8-14

TEMPERATURE  PRECIPITATION
8-14 day temperature 8-14 day precipitation
 
 

Week 3-4

TEMPERATURE

PRECIPITATION

Week 3-4 Temperature Week 3-4 precipitation
Wind Chill Forecasts
 
Hover over thumbnails below to view larger image.
Day 1
>=0.1"
Day 2
>=0.1"
Day 3
>=0.1"
Day 4
>=0.1"
Day 5
>=0.1"
Day 6
>=0.1"
Day 7
>=0.1"
 
Snow Character Forecasts
 

 
 
Daily Snowfall Maps
 

From WFO Burlington, VT


Vermont & Northern New York
Daily Snowfall

Vermont & Northern New York
Daily Snow Depth
 

From the National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center


Vermont & Northern New York
Snow Depth

Vermont & Northern New York
Snow Water Equivalent
 
Local Snowfall Climatology
 
Vermont Average Annual Snowfall
New England Average Annual Snowfall
Northeast Average Annual Snowfall

  Snowfall Climatology for Northern New York & Vermont
  Historical Monthly Snowfall - Burlington, VT
  Top 10 Monthly Snow Totals
  Top 20 Greatest Snowstorms
  Monthly Max/Min/Average Snowfall
  Earliest/Latest Snowfall
  Post Mortem Snowfall Analysis Archive
  Past Weather Events