Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20250410_1800 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Thu 04/10 18Z 0.90 2004 69 40 -4 0.00 Thu 04/10 19Z 0.81 1905 65 56 -4 0.00 Thu 04/10 20Z 0.48 1806 65 75 -3 0.00 Thu 04/10 21Z 0.54 1608 67 90 -3 0.00 Thu 04/10 22Z 0.22 1710 71 92 -3 0.00 Thu 04/10 23Z 0.07 1712 75 90 -3 0.00 Fri 04/11 00Z 0.10 1814 79 90 -3 0.00 Fri 04/11 01Z 0.15 1815 83 93 -3 0.00 Fri 04/11 02Z 0.15 1914 87 94 -3 0.00 Fri 04/11 03Z 0.16 1914 91 95 -3 0.01 Fri 04/11 04Z 0.16 1914 94 95 -3 0.01 Fri 04/11 05Z 0.16 1916 96 97 -3 0.01 Fri 04/11 06Z 0.18 1917 98 98 -3 0.01 Fri 04/11 07Z 0.14 1917 96 94 -4 0.01 Fri 04/11 08Z 0.18 1918 95 95 -4 0.01 Fri 04/11 09Z 0.18 1919 95 93 -4 0.01 Fri 04/11 10Z 0.16 1918 90 91 -4 0.01 Fri 04/11 11Z 0.15 1917 84 91 -4 0.00 Fri 04/11 12Z 0.08 1916 77 91 -3 0.00 Fri 04/11 13Z 0.04 1815 74 83 -3 0.00 Fri 04/11 14Z 0.02 1814 72 84 -3 0.00 Fri 04/11 15Z 0.03 1714 72 76 -3 0.00 Fri 04/11 16Z 0.07 1712 74 71 -3 0.00 Fri 04/11 17Z 0.14 1710 80 71 -3 0.00 Fri 04/11 18Z 0.21 1709 84 72 -3 0.00 Fri 04/11 19Z 0.14 1709 87 77 -3 0.00 Fri 04/11 20Z 0.08 1608 90 77 -2 0.00 Fri 04/11 21Z 0.08 1608 90 74 -2 0.00 Fri 04/11 22Z 0.09 1609 89 79 -2 0.00 Fri 04/11 23Z 0.10 1509 87 78 -1 0.00 Sat 04/12 00Z 0.08 1608 87 77 -1 0.00 Sat 04/12 01Z 0.07 1607 86 78 -1 0.00 Sat 04/12 02Z 0.07 1506 84 75 0 0.00 Sat 04/12 03Z 0.08 1406 83 74 0 0.00 Sat 04/12 04Z 0.09 1406 81 77 0 0.00 Sat 04/12 05Z 0.10 1306 78 81 -1 0.00 Sat 04/12 06Z 0.12 1306 75 82 -1 0.00 Sat 04/12 07Z 0.15 1207 73 84 -1 0.00 Sat 04/12 08Z 0.17 1208 71 87 -1 0.00 Sat 04/12 09Z 0.19 1109 72 89 -1 0.00 Sat 04/12 10Z 0.21 1109 77 90 -1 0.00 Sat 04/12 11Z 0.24 1010 77 91 -1 0.00 Sat 04/12 12Z 0.27 1011 77 90 -1 0.00 Sat 04/12 13Z 0.29 1012 79 92 -1 0.00 Sat 04/12 14Z 0.32 1013 84 94 -1 0.01 Sat 04/12 15Z 0.30 0913 86 91 -1 0.01 Sat 04/12 16Z 0.30 0913 89 90 -1 0.01 Sat 04/12 17Z 0.31 0812 92 92 -1 0.02 Sat 04/12 18Z 0.34 0813 93 93 -1 0.03 Sat 04/12 19Z 0.35 0814 95 95 -1 0.05 Sat 04/12 20Z 0.37 0715 97 96 -2 0.06 Sat 04/12 21Z 0.39 0716 97 96 -2 0.06 Sat 04/12 22Z 0.42 0717 97 96 -2 0.04 Sat 04/12 23Z 0.46 0819 97 97 -2 0.03 Sun 04/13 00Z 0.44 0918 96 97 -1 0.02 Sun 04/13 01Z 0.39 0917 95 95 -1 0.01 Sun 04/13 02Z 0.34 1016 94 93 0 0.01 Sun 04/13 03Z 0.31 1015 95 93 0 0.01 Sun 04/13 04Z 0.29 0914 95 94 0 0.01 Sun 04/13 05Z 0.25 0912 96 91 0 0.01 Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.47 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1