National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Multi-day, Potentially Catastrophic Heavy Rainfall and Severe Weather Event

A multi-day, potentially historic heavy rainfall event may produce catastrophic and life-threatening flooding through Saturday from the Ozarks into the Ohio River Valley. Several clusters of strong to severe storms are expected from the Southern Plains, Mid Mississippi Valley to the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and the Mid Atlantic. Read More >

 

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SPC Short Term Fire Outlooks
SPC Long Term Fire Outlooks
SPC Thunderstorm Outlooks

 

SPC Short Term Fire Forecasts: Days 1 and 2
SPC Fire
Day 1
Day 2

 

Day 1 Fuel and Lightning Prob.
Day 2 Fuel and Lightning Frob.
Quick Jumps:
SPC Short Term Fire Outlooks
SPC Long Term Fire Outlooks
SPC Thunderstorm Outlooks

 

SPC Long Term Fire Forecasts: Days 3-8
SPC Fire
Day 3 Categorical
Day 4 Categorical
Day 5 Categorical
Day 6 Categorical
Day 7 Categorical
Day 8 Categorical

 

Day 3 Dry T Winds/RH
Day 4 Dry T Winds/RH
Day 5 Dry T Winds/RH
Day 6 Dry T Winds/RH
Day 7 Dry T Winds/RH
Day 8 Dry T Winds/RH
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
  • Critical Area - 40% (blue)
  • Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
    Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
  • Critical Area - 70% (red)
  • Marginal Area - 40% (orange)

 

Quick Jumps:
SPC Short Term Fire Outlooks
SPC Long Term Fire Outlooks
SPC Thunderstorm Outlooks

 

SPC Thunderstorm Forecasts
Current Watches
Current MCDs
Day 1 Categorical

 

 Day 1 Tornado
Day 1 Hail
Day 1 Wind

 

Day 2 Categorical
Day 3 Categorical
Day 3 Probabilistic
Days 4-8 Probabilistic
Quick Jumps:
SPC Short Term Fire Outlooks
SPC Long Term Fire Outlooks
SPC Thunderstorm Outlooks