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Guide to decoding the forecast below.

051
FNUS81 KBGM 191602
FWMBGM

FCST,301011,241220,13,7,33,75,1,1,SE,04,,34,24,88,56,0,6,N
FCST,301011,241221,13,2,23,60,1,1,NW,10,,35,20,88,57,11,0,N
FCST,301011,241222,13,2,18,53,1,1,NNW,06,,25,9,76,51,0,0,N
FCST,301011,241223,13,1,25,42,1,1,S,04,,27,0,100,40,0,0,N
FCST,301011,241224,13,2,30,65,1,1,S,05,,32,16,74,38,0,0,N
FCST,301011,241225,13,2,35,73,1,1,S,04,,37,24,96,60,0,0,N
FCST,301011,241226,13,2,38,76,1,1,S,04,,40,27,100,67,0,0,N
FCST,300171,241220,13,7,30,77,1,1,ESE,04,,32,22,84,66,0,0,N
FCST,300171,241221,13,2,19,70,1,1,NW,10,,32,16,92,67,15,0,N
FCST,300171,241222,13,1,12,58,1,1,NNW,08,,21,4,83,55,0,0,N
FCST,300171,241223,13,1,20,47,1,1,S,03,,22,-1,95,45,0,0,N
FCST,300171,241224,13,2,27,66,1,1,S,05,,29,12,73,43,0,0,N
FCST,300171,241225,13,2,32,78,1,1,SSE,04,,34,21,96,63,0,0,N
FCST,300171,241226,13,2,35,78,1,1,S,04,,36,23,100,72,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241220,13,3,34,78,1,1,ENE,03,,39,25,92,54,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241221,13,2,29,53,1,1,NW,09,,36,24,96,51,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241222,13,0,22,39,1,1,NNW,06,,31,12,66,37,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241223,13,0,27,30,1,1,S,02,,28,2,95,29,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241224,13,2,31,59,1,1,SSW,02,,32,14,70,28,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241225,13,2,35,69,1,1,NE,02,,36,23,92,56,0,0,N
FCST,361802,241226,13,2,39,75,1,1,NNE,02,,40,25,100,67,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241220,13,3,31,81,1,1,E,05,,33,24,88,66,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241221,13,2,22,66,1,1,NW,14,,33,20,96,65,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241222,13,1,17,51,1,1,NNW,11,,23,9,73,51,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241223,13,0,23,36,1,1,S,03,,24,1,91,34,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241224,13,2,27,65,1,1,SSW,05,,28,14,68,33,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241225,13,2,32,76,1,1,E,03,,33,23,88,63,0,0,N
FCST,360791,241226,13,2,36,80,1,1,SE,04,,37,24,100,72,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241220,13,3,35,77,1,1,E,02,,38,25,85,59,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241221,13,2,26,59,1,1,NW,11,,38,22,92,55,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241222,13,1,21,48,1,1,NNW,09,,29,10,70,45,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241223,13,1,26,34,1,1,SSW,02,,29,3,87,32,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241224,13,2,30,61,1,1,SSW,03,,33,16,68,31,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241225,13,2,36,72,1,1,SE,03,,39,24,85,56,0,0,N
FCST,360792,241226,13,2,40,74,1,1,SSE,03,,42,26,100,64,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241220,13,7,33,82,1,1,ESE,02,,35,24,88,58,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241221,13,2,25,63,1,1,NW,10,,35,21,96,60,11,0,N
FCST,360151,241222,13,1,20,52,1,1,NNW,06,,26,10,76,49,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241223,13,1,26,38,1,1,S,02,,27,3,100,36,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241224,13,2,29,64,1,1,S,04,,30,15,73,35,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241225,13,2,35,76,1,1,SSE,03,,36,23,96,60,0,0,N
FCST,360151,241226,13,2,39,76,1,1,S,03,,40,26,96,70,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241220,13,3,33,80,1,1,ENE,04,,37,24,92,56,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241221,13,2,27,57,1,1,NW,12,,35,23,96,55,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241222,13,0,21,42,1,1,NNW,09,,28,10,73,39,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241223,13,0,26,31,1,1,S,03,,27,1,95,29,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241224,13,2,30,62,1,1,SSW,04,,30,13,65,28,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241225,13,2,35,71,1,1,ENE,03,,35,22,92,60,0,0,N
FCST,361031,241226,13,2,39,74,1,1,NE,04,,39,24,100,67,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241220,13,7,29,86,1,1,SE,05,,30,24,92,71,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241221,13,2,19,80,1,1,NW,16,,30,18,96,77,15,0,N
FCST,300971,241222,13,2,14,72,1,1,NNW,10,,20,10,84,70,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241223,13,1,20,59,1,1,SSE,06,,21,2,100,56,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241224,13,2,27,78,1,1,S,10,,28,17,81,54,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241225,13,2,32,88,1,1,S,06,,32,24,100,75,0,0,N
FCST,300971,241226,13,2,35,87,1,1,S,09,,36,27,100,82,0,0,N

 
    
                        

302

FNUS51 KBGM 191601

FWFBGM



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA

National Weather Service Binghamton NY

1100 AM EST Thu Dec 19 2024



.SYNOPSIS...

Another round of snow is likely Friday into Saturday with light

accumulations expected. Very cold air moves in for the weekend

into early next week. Temperatures begin to warm up towards the

middle of next week.





NYZ210-192100-

Leatherstocking-

1100 AM EST Thu Dec 19 2024



                      Today        Tonight      Fri



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy

Precip Type           Snow Showers None         Snow

Chance Precip (%)     10           0            80

Temp (24h trend)      32 (-8)      21 (-9)      32

RH % (24h trend)      56 (0)       88 (-12)     66

20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  NW 7-11 G17               Lgt/Var

20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  NW 5-9       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.05

Precip Duration       1                         10

Precip Begin          6 AM                      6 AM

Precip End            4 PM                      Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3680                      2090

Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 20                     SE 10

Vent Rate (kt-ft)     86370                     30970

DSI                   2            1            1

Sunshine Hours        2                         1

LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms

Haines Index          3            4            3

ADI early             52 Gen Good  7 Poor       22 Fair

ADI late              48 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  19 Gen Poor

Max LVORI early       4            4            4

Max LVORI late        3            4            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SATURDAY...Snow showers. Lows around 19. Highs in the lower 20s.

Chance of snow 90 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of snow showers.

Lows around 5. Highs around 14. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 1 below. Highs in the lower

20s. Light winds.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow

showers. Lows around 11. Highs in the upper 20s. Southeast winds

around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of snow and rain

showers. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the lower 30s. East

winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ038-039-043-192100-

Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-

Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,

and Tunkhannock

1100 AM EST Thu Dec 19 2024



                      Today        Tonight      Fri



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy

Precip Type           None         None         Snow

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            80

Temp (24h trend)      33 (-7)      23 (-8)      34

RH % (24h trend)      54 (-13)     92 (-8)      72

20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  NW 6-10 G18               Lgt/Var

20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  NW 3-7       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.05

Precip Duration                                 10

Precip Begin                                    7 AM

Precip End                                      Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3770                      2020

Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 15                     SE 10

Vent Rate (kt-ft)     59750                     24100

DSI                   1            1            1

Sunshine Hours        2

LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms

Haines Index          4            4            3

ADI early             43 Gen Good  9 Poor       22 Fair

ADI late              42 Gen Good  7 Poor       18 Gen Poor

Max LVORI early       5            5            4

Max LVORI late        3            5            5



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely. Lows in the

lower 20s. Highs in the mid 20s. Chance of snow 70 percent.

Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 9. Highs around 17.

Northwest winds around 10 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 2. Highs in the mid 20s.

North winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow

showers. Lows around 14. Highs around 30. South winds around

5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow and

rain showers. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the mid 30s.

Southeast winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ044-047-192100-

Lackawanna-Luzerne-

Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre

1100 AM EST Thu Dec 19 2024



                      Today        Tonight      Fri



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy

Precip Type           None         None         Snow

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            70

Temp (24h trend)      36 (-8)      24 (-8)      37

RH % (24h trend)      51 (-5)      92 (-8)      66

20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  NW 6-10 G19               Lgt/Var

20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  N 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.04

Precip Duration                                 5

Precip Begin                                    7 AM

Precip End                                      Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3910                      2040

Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 15                     E  9

Vent Rate (kt-ft)     59000                     24640

DSI                   1            1            1

Sunshine Hours        3

LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms

Haines Index          4            4            3

ADI early             41 Gen Good  11 Poor      21 Fair

ADI late              38 Fair      7 Poor       19 Gen Poor

Max LVORI early       5            4            4

Max LVORI late        3            4            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely. Lows in the

lower 20s. Highs in the upper 20s. Chance of snow 70 percent.

Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 10. Highs around 20.

Northwest winds around 10 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 4. Highs in the mid 20s.

North winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow

showers. Lows around 15. Highs in the lower 30s. South winds

around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain and snow

showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Light

winds.



$$



PAZ040-048-072-192100-

Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-

Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,

and Honesdale

1100 AM EST Thu Dec 19 2024



                      Today        Tonight      Fri



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy

Precip Type           None         None         Snow

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            70

Temp (24h trend)      35 (-9)      23 (-9)      33

RH % (24h trend)      52 (-8)      92 (-8)      72

20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)  NW 7-11 G19               Lgt/Var

20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  NW 4-8       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.05

Precip Duration                                 5

Precip Begin                                    7 AM

Precip End                                      Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3540                      1910

Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 18                     E 13

Vent Rate (kt-ft)     65730                     30800

DSI                   1            1            1

Sunshine Hours        2                         1

LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms

Haines Index          4            4            3

ADI early             48 Gen Good  14 Gen Poor  21 Fair

ADI late              46 Gen Good  8 Poor       22 Fair

Max LVORI early       4            5            4

Max LVORI late        3            5            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely. Lows in the

lower 20s. Highs in the mid 20s. Chance of snow 70 percent.

Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 9. Highs around 18.

Northwest winds around 10 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near zero. Highs in the mid 20s.

North winds around 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow

showers. Lows around 13. Highs in the upper 20s. Southeast winds

around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain and snow

showers. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. Light

winds.



$$

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed	Forecast

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals	Three Day Precipitation Totals	Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition	48-Hr Observed Precipition	72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
NWS Binghamton Winter Weather

Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

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Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two- to Three-Month Fire Potential Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

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NY State Fire Danger Ratings

Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.