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Guide to decoding the forecast below.


794
FNUS81 KBGM 202032
FWMBGM

FCST,301011,250221,13,2,21,61,,,NW,13,,23,12,80,59,6,0,N
FCST,301011,250222,13,1,33,50,,,WSW,08,,35,11,84,47,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250223,13,2,33,59,,,W,05,,37,20,84,46,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250224,13,2,39,68,,,SSW,09,,40,25,88,54,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250225,13,2,42,75,,,SSW,09,,44,33,96,62,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250226,13,2,39,54,,,WNW,06,,44,30,85,52,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250227,13,2,38,63,,,S,08,,42,28,85,50,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250221,13,2,16,67,,,NW,14,,18,8,91,61,6,0,N
FCST,300171,250222,13,1,28,58,,,WSW,08,,29,11,91,55,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250223,13,2,29,67,,,W,08,,31,15,88,53,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250224,13,2,35,74,,,SSW,10,,37,20,96,63,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250225,13,2,37,81,,,SSW,09,,39,31,92,69,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250226,13,2,34,68,,,WNW,08,,40,28,92,66,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250227,13,2,34,66,,,S,08,,36,23,84,64,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250221,13,1,26,52,,,NW,12,,28,13,80,48,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250222,13,1,35,43,,,WSW,04,,36,13,84,41,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250223,13,2,38,48,,,W,04,,39,20,92,41,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250224,13,2,42,55,,,SSW,05,,44,23,96,46,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250225,13,2,45,69,,,SSW,05,,47,31,100,53,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250226,13,1,43,53,,,WNW,05,,47,32,89,51,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250227,13,2,43,57,,,S,05,,45,27,88,49,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250221,13,2,19,65,,,NW,17,,20,11,84,62,6,0,N
FCST,360791,250222,13,1,28,52,,,W,08,,29,10,87,50,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250223,13,2,32,59,,,W,09,,32,19,88,50,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250224,13,2,37,65,,,SSW,10,,39,24,88,56,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250225,13,2,39,83,,,SSW,09,,42,31,100,62,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250226,13,2,38,61,,,WNW,10,,42,29,96,59,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250227,13,2,37,66,,,S,11,,40,27,81,57,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250221,13,1,24,57,,,NW,13,,27,12,80,52,6,0,N
FCST,360792,250222,13,1,31,50,,,WSW,05,,33,11,91,47,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250223,13,2,35,55,,,W,06,,38,20,88,45,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250224,13,2,40,60,,,SSW,08,,44,25,85,48,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250225,13,2,42,80,,,SSW,06,,45,32,96,55,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250226,13,2,41,56,,,WNW,08,,47,30,92,53,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250227,13,2,40,64,,,S,08,,45,28,81,49,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250221,13,2,22,61,,,NW,12,,23,12,87,59,6,0,N
FCST,360151,250222,13,1,33,50,,,WSW,05,,34,12,87,49,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250223,13,2,35,55,,,W,05,,36,20,88,47,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250224,13,2,40,62,,,SSW,08,,41,26,88,52,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250225,13,2,43,78,,,SSW,06,,44,33,100,62,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250226,13,2,41,55,,,WNW,06,,44,32,89,53,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250227,13,2,40,63,,,S,06,,43,28,81,50,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250221,13,1,24,56,,,NW,14,,25,12,84,54,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250222,13,1,33,45,,,WSW,05,,33,13,84,45,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250223,13,2,37,51,,,W,05,,38,20,88,43,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250224,13,2,41,57,,,SSW,06,,42,22,96,48,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250225,13,2,44,72,,,SSW,06,,44,30,100,55,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250226,13,1,42,54,,,WNW,08,,44,30,92,53,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250227,13,2,41,59,,,S,06,,43,26,88,51,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250221,13,3,16,74,,,NW,17,,16,12,91,73,9,0,N
FCST,300971,250222,13,1,29,61,,,WSW,11,,29,10,96,60,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250223,13,2,29,70,,,WSW,09,,31,17,92,58,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250224,13,2,35,80,,,S,13,,36,24,96,69,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250225,13,2,38,85,,,SSW,12,,39,32,100,78,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250226,13,2,34,68,,,WNW,11,,39,29,96,66,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250227,13,2,34,72,,,S,12,,36,25,88,64,0,0,N



 
    

785
FNUS51 KBGM 202031
FWFBGM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
330 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A weak wave of low pressure will bring a period of light snow
into the evening hours. Lake effect snow showers will continue
across the central and eastern Finger Lakes through Friday. The
weekend will see a welcome period of quiet conditions with
gradually warming temperatures.


NYZ210-210900-
Leatherstocking-
330 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2025

Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat

Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Snow Snow Showers Snow Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 20 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 8 (0) 19 (+2) 8 32
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+4) 56 (-1) 100 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 8-12 G20 NW 11-15 G23 NW 8-12 G21 W 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 10-14 G22 NW 12-16 G23 W 5-9 SW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3270 3370
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 26 W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 96600 68850
DSI 1 1 1 1
Sunshine Hours 2 4
ADI early 25 Fair 61 Good 29 Fair 37 Fair
ADI late 19 Gen Poor 63 Good 12 Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 4 4 4 5
Max LVORI late 4 3 5 2

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 17. Highs in the lower 30s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow and rain
showers. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow and
rain showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs around 40. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds
around 5 mph.

$$

PAZ038-039-043-210900-
Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,
and Tunkhannock
330 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2025

Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat

Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Snow None None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 10 (-3) 24 (+5) 9 34
RH % (24h trend) 96 (0) 52 (-4) 100 45
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 10-14 G25 NW 11-15 G25 NW 7-11 G21 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 10-14 G26 NW 11-15 G24 NW 4-8 SW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3640 3700
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 26 W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 94780 73800
DSI 1 1 1 1
Sunshine Hours 2 6
ADI early 29 Fair 68 Good 33 Fair 32 Fair
ADI late 18 Gen Poor 68 Good 12 Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI early 4 4 4 5
Max LVORI late 4 2 5 1

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 18. Highs in the mid 30s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow and rain
showers. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs around 40. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow and
rain showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a
slight chance of snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the lower 40s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow and
rain showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. West
winds around 5 mph.

$$

PAZ044-047-210900-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-
Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre
330 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2025

Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat

Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Snow None None None
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 11 (-3) 27 (+7) 10 34
RH % (24h trend) 91 (+4) 46 (-4) 100 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 10-14 G25 NW 12-16 G27 NW 8-12 G23 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 10-14 G26 NW 12-16 G25 NW 4-8 G18 W 4-8
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 11 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3870 3310
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 26 W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 99640 51420
DSI 1 2 1 1
Sunshine Hours 4 7
ADI early 35 Fair 70 Good 36 Fair 29 Fair
ADI late 20 Gen Poor 73 Good 15 Gen Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 3 3 3 5
Max LVORI late 3 1 5 1

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 20. Highs in the upper 30s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain and
snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a slight
chance of snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower
40s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain and
snow showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. West
winds around 5 mph.

$$

PAZ040-048-072-210900-
Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,
and Honesdale
330 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2025

Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat

Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Snow None None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 11 (+1) 24 (+5) 11 34
RH % (24h trend) 96 (0) 44 (-8) 96 41
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 10-14 G25 NW 13-17 G27 NW 9-13 G24 NW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 11-15 G27 NW 13-17 G27 NW 6-10 G19 W 3-7
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3230 3290
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 29 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 96010 53310
DSI 1 1 1 1
Sunshine Hours 4 6
ADI early 30 Fair 73 Good 35 Fair 36 Fair
ADI late 19 Gen Poor 71 Good 16 Gen Poor 53 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 4 4 3 4
Max LVORI late 4 2 5 1

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 19. Highs in the mid 30s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs around 40. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain and
snow showers. Lows around 30. Highs in the lower 40s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a slight
chance of snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower
40s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow and
rain showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$




 

 

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed Forecast
WFAS 10-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed (click left or right to view the Forecast 10-Hour Fuel Moisture) WFAS 10-Hour Fuel Moisture Computed 10-Hour Fuel Moisture)
WFAS 100-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed WFAS 100-Hour Fuel Moisture - Forecast
WFAS 1000-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed WFAS 1000-Hour Fuel Moisture - Forecast
WFAS - Keetch-Byram Drought Index

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U.S. Drought Monitor
U.S. Drought Monitor
Seasonal Drought Outlook
Seasonal Drought Assessment
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Rain Needed to End Drought

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One Day Precipitation Totals
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24-Hr Observed Precipition
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48-Hr Observed Precipition
72 hour observed precipitation
72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Total Precipitation
7-Day Precip
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Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Total Precipitation Departure
7-Day Precip Dept
14-Day Total Precipitation Departure
14-Day Precip Dept
30-Day Total Precipitation Departure
30-Day Precip Dept
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Total Precipitation Departure since April 1st
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Month-to-Date Precip Dept
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Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
7-Day Precip % Norm
14-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
14-Day Precip % Norm
30-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
60-Day Precip % Norm
90-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
90-Day Precip % Norm
Total Precipitation Since April 1st - Percentage of Normal
Since April 1 Precip % Norm
Total Precipitation Since July 1st - Percentage of Normal
Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
6-Month Precip % Norm
12-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
12-Month Precip % Norm
24Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
24-Month Precip % Norm
36-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
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Month-to-Date Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm
Year-to-Date Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Year-to-Date Precip % Norm
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Water-Year Precip % Norm

 

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
NWS Binghamton Winter Weather
Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

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CPC 6-10 Day Temperature Outlook
6-10 Day Temp
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6-10 Day Precip
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8-14 Day Temp
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8-14 Day Precip

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Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

  • Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
  • A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

  • Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.