The National Weather Service office in Binghamton, New York is responsible for issuing Fire Weather Forecasts, Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches for parts of Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania as shown in the image below.  

A hourly weather graph forecast can be generated by going to the Hourly Graph website.

Guide to decoding the forecast below.

 
    

                        

183

FNUS51 KBGM 041931

FWFBGM



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA

National Weather Service Binghamton NY

330 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026



.SYNOPSIS...  Temperatures will reach well into the 70s Tuesday

afternoon over the area. Skies should remain partly to mostly

sunny over the Catskills region through much of the day. This

will allow RH values to fall between 30-40% in the afternoon and

early evening hours. Southwest winds will be sustained between

10-20 mph, with gusts of 25-35 mph (locally 40 mph on exposed

ridgetops). Considering all of these parameters decided to issue

a fire weather special weather statement for Delaware and

Sullivan Counties. Further to the west, across the rest of the

Leatherstocking region the min RH looks to hold between 40-50% in

the early afternoon, so decided to not hoist any Special Weather

Statements here at this time.





NYZ210-050800-

Leatherstocking-

330 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026



                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed



Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy

Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Rain

Chance Precip (%)     30           60           70           100

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            50           50           0

Temp (24h trend)      50 (+9)      73 (+4)      45           59

RH % (24h trend)      93 (-7)      30 (+6)      100          67

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 4-8 G19    SW 9-13 G25  W 4-8 G24    W 3-7

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 5-9 G18    SW 12-16 G28 Lgt/Var      W 4-8

Precip Amount         0.01         0.09         0.26         0.67

Precip Duration       1            3            10           12

Precip Begin          2 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             6100                      1550

Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 33                     SE  9

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  231760                    45370

DSI                   2            2            3            1

Sunshine Hours                     5                         1

ADI early             73 Good      88 Good      51 Gen Good  11 Poor

ADI late              13 Gen Poor  114 Very Good4 Very Poor  12 Poor

Max LVORI early       3            4            5            6

Max LVORI late        4            1            6            5



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.

Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds around

5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.

Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to

10 mph.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s.

Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of showers 70 percent. South winds

around 5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in

the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds around

5 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in

the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ038-039-043-050800-

Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-

Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,

and Tunkhannock

330 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026



                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed



Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy

Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms

Chance Precip (%)     20           30           60           100

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           50           20

Temp (24h trend)      51 (+12)     75 (+6)      50           63

RH % (24h trend)      96 (-4)      37 (+11)     96           75

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 4-8 G20    SW 7-11 G25  SW 4-8 G23   S 4-8 G18

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 4-8 G18    SW 11-15 G28 S 3-7        SW 5-9 G18

Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.13         0.64

Precip Duration       1            2            5            12

Precip Begin          12 AM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             6540                      1830

Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 33                     SW 14

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  208740                    39360

DSI                   2            2            2            1

Sunshine Hours                     7                         1

ADI early             76 Good      109 Very Good72 Good      18 Gen Poor

ADI late              11 Poor      146 Very Good5 Very Poor  28 Fair

Max LVORI early       3            4            3            5

Max LVORI late        4            1            5            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows

in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds around

5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain showers.

Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to

10 mph.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s.

Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of showers 60 percent. South winds

around 5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows

around 40. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows

in the mid 40s. Highs around 60. West winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ044-047-050800-

Lackawanna-Luzerne-

Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre

330 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026



                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed



Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Cloudy

Precip Type           None         Tstms        Showers      Tstms

Chance Precip (%)     0            20           50           100

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           0            20

Temp (24h trend)      51 (+13)     77 (+8)      53           65

RH % (24h trend)      93 (-3)      30 (+2)      86           70

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 4-8 G20    SW 6-10 G25  SW 5-9 G23   S 5-9 G20

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 4-8 G17   SW 11-15 G29 S 4-8 G17    S 6-10 G20

Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.61

Precip Duration                    1            2            10

Precip Begin                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing

Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             7900                      2220

Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 31                     S 20

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  231260                    50000

DSI                   2            2            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     8                         2

ADI early             93 Good      120 Very Good101 Very Good42 Gen Good

ADI late              7 Poor       157 Very Good10 Poor      42 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       3            4            2            4

Max LVORI late        4            1            4            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a slight chance of

thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.

Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers. Lows in

the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows

in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. South winds around

5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in

the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around

5 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in

the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds around

5 mph.



$$



PAZ040-048-072-050800-

Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-

Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,

and Honesdale

330 PM EDT Mon May 4 2026



                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed



Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Tstms

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            40           100

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20

Temp (24h trend)      49 (+9)      77 (+8)      53           65

RH % (24h trend)      89 (-11)     29 (-1)      86           70

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 4-8 G19    SW 7-11 G25  SW 5-9 G23   S 5-9 G19

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 4-8        SW 11-15 G28 S 4-8        S 5-9 G19

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.54

Precip Duration                                 2            10

Precip Begin                                    6 PM         Continuing

Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             8150                      2110

Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 33                     S 18

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  246090                    48560

DSI                   2            2            2            1

Sunshine Hours                     9                         2

ADI early             81 Good      109 Very Good102 Very Good42 Gen Good

ADI late              8 Poor       162 Very Good10 Poor      43 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       3            4            3            4

Max LVORI late        5            1            4            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a slight chance of

thunderstorms. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of

precipitation 70 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain showers.

Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to

10 mph.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows

in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. South winds around

5 mph.

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows

around 40. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in

the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds around 5 mph.



$$








                

 

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed	Forecast

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals	Three Day Precipitation Totals	Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition	48-Hr Observed Precipition	72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

NY State Fire Danger Ratings

Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Additional Resources:

Fire Weather Watch:

• Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
• A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

• Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.