The National Weather Service office in Binghamton, New York is responsible for issuing Fire Weather Forecasts, Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches for parts of Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania as shown in the image below.  

A hourly weather graph forecast can be generated by going to the Hourly Graph website.

Guide to decoding the forecast below.

 
    

                        

253

FNUS51 KBGM 151005

FWFBGM



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA

National Weather Service Binghamton NY

505 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2026



.SYNOPSIS...There are no fire weather concerns at this time.





NYZ210-152100-

Leatherstocking-

505 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2026



                      Today        Tonight      Mon



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           Showers      Frz Rain     Frz Rain

Chance Precip (%)     20           10           10

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      41 (+5)      29 (-2)      45

RH % (24h trend)      59 (-7)      100 (0)      57

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 4-8       NW 3-7       NW 3-7

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 6-10      Lgt/Var      NW 3-7

Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration       2            1            0

Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing

Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   8 AM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3170                      3050

Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 16                     NW 15

Vent Rate (kt-ft)     75190                     49240

DSI                   2            1            1

Sunshine Hours        2                         2

ADI early             35 Fair      13 Gen Poor  39 Fair

ADI late              37 Fair      7 Poor       50 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       7            6            6

Max LVORI late        4            7            4



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs around 50.

Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the

lower 50s. South winds around 5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the

mid 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid

50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the

upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ038-039-043-152100-

Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-

Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,

and Tunkhannock

505 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2026



                      Today        Tonight      Mon



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           Frz Rain     Frz Rain     None

Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      44 (+6)      30 (-2)      49

RH % (24h trend)      65 (+8)      100 (0)      58

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 5-9 G18   NW 3-7       NW 4-8

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N 6-10 G17   NW 3-7       NW 3-7

Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration       1

Precip Begin          6 AM

Precip End            4 PM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3850                      3300

Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 18                     NW 15

Vent Rate (kt-ft)     73300                     45210

DSI                   2            2            1

Sunshine Hours        2                         3

ADI early             47 Gen Good  15 Gen Poor  45 Gen Good

ADI late              48 Gen Good  9 Poor       56 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       6            6            6

Max LVORI late        4            7            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the

lower 50s. West winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the

upper 50s. Light winds.

.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 50s.

Light winds.

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper

50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the

upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ044-047-152100-

Lackawanna-Luzerne-

Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre

505 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2026



                      Today        Tonight      Mon



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           None         None         None

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      45 (+6)      31 (-2)      50

RH % (24h trend)      55 (-4)      100 (0)      51

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 6-10 G19  NW 3-7       NW 4-8 G17

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 7-11 G20  NW 3-7       NW 3-7

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration

Precip Begin

Precip End

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4490                      3290

Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 20                     NW 16

Vent Rate (kt-ft)     83380                     47670

DSI                   2            2            1

Sunshine Hours        2                         3

ADI early             53 Gen Good  15 Gen Poor  47 Gen Good

ADI late              56 Gen Good  8 Poor       55 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       6            5            6

Max LVORI late        3            6            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the

lower 50s. Light winds.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the

upper 50s. Light winds.

.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the

upper 50s. Light winds.

.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper

50s. Light winds.

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs around 60.

Light winds.



$$



PAZ040-048-072-152100-

Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-

Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,

and Honesdale

505 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2026



                      Today        Tonight      Mon



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type           None         None         None

Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      43 (+5)      30 (-1)      48

RH % (24h trend)      51 (-17)     100 (0)      52

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 6-10 G19  NW 4-8       NW 5-9 G17

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 8-12 G19  NW 3-7       NW 5-9

Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00

Precip Duration

Precip Begin

Precip End

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3960                      3120

Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 20                     NW 17

Vent Rate (kt-ft)     92100                     51840

DSI                   2            1            1

Sunshine Hours        3                         3

ADI early             49 Gen Good  17 Gen Poor  47 Gen Good

ADI late              50 Gen Good  9 Poor       57 Gen Good

Max LVORI early       6            6            6

Max LVORI late        3            7            3



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the

lower 50s. West winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the

upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the

upper 50s. Light winds.

.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper

50s. West winds around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the

upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph.



$$








                

 

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed	Forecast

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals	Three Day Precipitation Totals	Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition	48-Hr Observed Precipition	72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

NY State Fire Danger Ratings

Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Additional Resources:

Fire Weather Watch:

• Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
• A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

• Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.