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The National Weather Service office in Binghamton, New York is responsible for issuing Fire Weather Forecasts, Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches for parts of Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania as shown in the image below.  

County Warning Area or CWA map

 

A hourly weather graph forecast can be generated by going to the Hourly Graph website.


Guide to decoding the forecast below.


 
    

165
FNUS51 KBGM 121005
FWFBGM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
505 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2026

.SYNOPSIS...There are no fire weather concerns at this time.


NYZ210-122100-
Leatherstocking-
505 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2026

Today Tonight Fri

Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Snow/Rain Snow
Chance Precip (%) 100 100 80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (-5) 28 (-11) 37
RH % (24h trend) 76 (+30) 100 (0) 59
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 3-7 NE 4-8 N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 4-8 N 4-8 NW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.82 0.35 0.06
Precip Duration 12 12 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1720 3090
Transport Wnd (mph) E 14 N 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 30370 54590
DSI 1 1 1
Sunshine Hours 1
ADI early 21 Fair 15 Gen Poor 34 Fair
ADI late 24 Fair 11 Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 7 7 5
Max LVORI late 5 7 4

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow and
rain showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers and a
slight chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the lower 40s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
40s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 50s. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

PAZ038-039-043-122100-
Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,
and Tunkhannock
505 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2026

Today Tonight Fri

Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Snow/Rain Snow/Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 90 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (-6) 31 (-11) 38
RH % (24h trend) 86 (+41) 100 (0) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var N 6-10 G21 N 6-10 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 4-8 G17 N 7-11 G22 N 6-10 G18
Precip Amount 1.18 0.33 0.08
Precip Duration 10 11 7
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1690 3170
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 15 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 26750 53540
DSI 1 2 1
Sunshine Hours 1
ADI early 18 Gen Poor 18 Gen Poor 42 Gen Good
ADI late 25 Fair 15 Gen Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 6 5 5
Max LVORI late 5 5 4

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers and a
slight chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the lower 40s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
50s. Light winds.

$$

PAZ044-047-122100-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-
Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre
505 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2026

Today Tonight Fri

Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Snow/Rain Snow/Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 80 80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (-6) 31 (-11) 39
RH % (24h trend) 80 (+41) 100 (0) 64
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 3-7 N 5-9 G21 N 6-10 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var N 7-11 G22 N 6-10 G18
Precip Amount 1.03 0.34 0.11
Precip Duration 12 12 7
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1650 2910
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 15 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 32760 47980
DSI 1 2 1
Sunshine Hours 1
ADI early 25 Fair 16 Gen Poor 38 Fair
ADI late 24 Fair 16 Gen Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 5 6 5
Max LVORI late 5 6 4

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of snow showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
50s. Light winds.

$$

PAZ040-048-072-122100-
Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,
and Honesdale
505 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2026

Today Tonight Fri

Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Snow/Rain Snow/Rain
Chance Precip (%) 100 90 100
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 50 (-6) 31 (-11) 39
RH % (24h trend) 86 (+42) 100 (0) 69
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 3-7 NE 4-8 N 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 3-7 N 5-9 NW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.81 0.46 0.15
Precip Duration 11 11 7
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1910 2580
Transport Wnd (mph) E 16 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 39540 39620
DSI 1 1 1
Sunshine Hours 1
ADI early 28 Fair 15 Gen Poor 31 Fair
ADI late 29 Fair 14 Gen Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 6 8 5
Max LVORI late 5 8 4

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of snow showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$



 

 

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed Forecast
WFAS 10-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed (click left or right to view the Forecast 10-Hour Fuel Moisture) WFAS 10-Hour Fuel Moisture Computed 10-Hour Fuel Moisture)
WFAS 100-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed WFAS 100-Hour Fuel Moisture - Forecast
WFAS 1000-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed WFAS 1000-Hour Fuel Moisture - Forecast
WFAS - Keetch-Byram Drought Index

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor
U.S. Drought Monitor
Seasonal Drought Outlook
Seasonal Drought Assessment
Palmer Drought Severity
Palmer Drought Severity
Rain Needed to End Drought
Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals
One Day Precipitation Totals
Three Day Precipitation Totals
Three Day Precipitation Totals
Five Day Precipitation Totals
Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition
24-Hr Observed Precipition
48-Hr Observed Precipition
48-Hr Observed Precipition
72 hour observed precipitation
72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Total Precipitation
7-Day Precip
14-Day Total Precipitation
14-Day Precip
30-Day Total Precipitation
30-Day Precip
60-Day Total Precipitation
60-Day Precip
90-Day Total Precipitation
90-Day Precip
Total Precipitation since April 1st
Since April 1 Precip
Total Precipitation since July 1st
Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Total Precipitation
6-Month Precip
12-Month Total Precipitation
12-Month Precip
24-Month Total Precipitation
24-Month Precip
36-Month Total Precipitation
36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Total Precipitation
Month-to-Date Precip
Year-to-Date Total Precipitation
Year-to-Date Precip
Water-Year Total Precipitation
Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Total Precipitation Departure
7-Day Precip Dept
14-Day Total Precipitation Departure
14-Day Precip Dept
30-Day Total Precipitation Departure
30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Total Precipitation Departure
60-Day Precip Dept
90-Day Total Precipitation Departure
90-Day Precip Dept
Total Precipitation Departure since April 1st
Since April 1 Precip Dept
Total Precipitation Departure since July 1st
Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Total Precipitation Departure
6-Month Precip Dept
12-Month Total Precipitation Departure
12-Month Precip Dept
24-Month Total Precipitation Departure
24-Month Precip Dept
36-Month Total Precipitation Departure
36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Total Precipitation Departure
Month-to-Date Precip Dept
Year-to-Date Total Precipitation Departure
Year-to-Date Precip Dept
Water-Year Total Precipitation Departure
Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
7-Day Precip % Norm
14-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
14-Day Precip % Norm
30-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
60-Day Precip % Norm
90-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
90-Day Precip % Norm
Total Precipitation Since April 1st - Percentage of Normal
Since April 1 Precip % Norm
Total Precipitation Since July 1st - Percentage of Normal
Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
6-Month Precip % Norm
12-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
12-Month Precip % Norm
24Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
24-Month Precip % Norm
36-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm
Year-to-Date Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Year-to-Date Precip % Norm
Water-Year Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Water-Year Precip % Norm

 

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
NWS Binghamton Winter Weather
Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

CPC 6-10 Day Temperature Outlook
6-10 Day Temp
CPC 6-10 Day Precipitation Outlook
6-10 Day Precip
CPC 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook
8-14 Day Temp
CPC 8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook
8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

CPC One-Month Temperature Outlook
One Month Temp
CPC One-Month Precipitation Outlook
One Month Precip
CPC Three-Month Temperature Outlook
Three Month Temp
CPC Three-Month Precipitation Outlook
Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential
Current Fire Potential
One-Month Fire Potential Outlook
One Month Outlook
Two- to Three-Month Fire Potential Outlook
Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

NY State Fire Danger Ratings
NY State Fire Danger Ratings
Eastern Area Observed Fire Danger Class
Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class
Eastern Area Forecast Fire Danger Class
Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

 

Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

  • Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
  • A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

  • Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.