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Cicero RX (Onondaga County NY)

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The National Weather Service office in Binghamton, New York is responsible for issuing Fire Weather Forecasts, Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches for parts of Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania as shown in the image below.  

County Warning Area or CWA map

 

A hourly weather graph forecast can be generated by going to the Hourly Graph website.


Guide to decoding the forecast below.


 
    

833
FNUS51 KBGM 022031
FWFBGM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
330 PM EST Mon Mar 2 2026

.SYNOPSIS...There are no fire weather concerns at this time.


NYZ210-030900-
Leatherstocking-
330 PM EST Mon Mar 2 2026

Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed

Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Snow/Fz Ra Frz Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 0 80 80 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 10 (+6) 35 (+8) 29 48
RH % (24h trend) 100 (0) 71 (+40) 100 56
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 4-8 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 S 4-8 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.13 0.00
Precip Duration 8 8
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2030 1750
Transport Wnd (mph) S 20 W 5
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 63020 18030
DSI 1 1 1 1
Sunshine Hours 4 4
ADI early 6 Very Poor 35 Fair 14 Gen Poor 10 Poor
ADI late 8 Poor 36 Fair 5 Very Poor 10 Poor
Max LVORI early 4 4 8 8
Max LVORI late 5 5 9 4

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a slight
chance of freezing rain. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain, freezing rain and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of
precipitation 90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Warmer. Lows
around 40. Highs around 60. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 70 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

PAZ038-039-043-030900-
Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,
and Tunkhannock
330 PM EST Mon Mar 2 2026

Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed

Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Snow/Fz Ra Frz Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 90 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 19 (+10) 37 (+4) 32 52
RH % (24h trend) 92 (-4) 75 (+47) 100 57
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 3-7 S 4-8 G18 S 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 G17 S 4-8 G19 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.13 0.00
Precip Duration 9 8
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2170 2310
Transport Wnd (mph) S 21 NW 2
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 54930 7750
DSI 1 1 1 1
Sunshine Hours 2 4
ADI early 10 Poor 36 Fair 13 Gen Poor 8 Poor
ADI late 10 Poor 37 Fair 5 Very Poor 7 Poor
Max LVORI early 3 4 8 9
Max LVORI late 4 5 9 4

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Chance of showers 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.

$$

PAZ044-047-030900-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-
Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre
330 PM EST Mon Mar 2 2026

Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed

Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Frz Rain Snow/Fz Ra Frz Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 20 90 90 10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 20 (+8) 37 (+3) 32 53
RH % (24h trend) 92 (-4) 75 (+45) 100 56
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.14 0.20 0.01
Precip Duration 0 10 8 1
Precip Begin 5 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1780 2290
Transport Wnd (mph) S 18 E 2
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 33870 8650
DSI 1 1 1 1
Sunshine Hours 2 3
ADI early 14 Gen Poor 29 Fair 10 Poor 11 Poor
ADI late 9 Poor 29 Fair 4 Very Poor 10 Poor
Max LVORI early 3 4 8 9
Max LVORI late 4 5 9 3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.

$$

PAZ040-048-072-030900-
Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,
and Honesdale
330 PM EST Mon Mar 2 2026

Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed

Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Snow/Fz Ra Frz Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 90 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 15 (+6) 34 (+3) 31 52
RH % (24h trend) 96 (-4) 77 (+47) 100 57
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SE 3-7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.14 0.19 0.00
Precip Duration 9 8
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1550 2240
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 17 W 3
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 36790 8000
DSI 1 1 1 1
Sunshine Hours 2 4
ADI early 10 Poor 27 Fair 9 Poor 18 Gen Poor
ADI late 5 Very Poor 28 Fair 7 Poor 15 Gen Poor
Max LVORI early 4 5 8 8
Max LVORI late 5 5 8 3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s.
Chance of rain 90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.

$$



 

 

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed Forecast
WFAS 10-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed (click left or right to view the Forecast 10-Hour Fuel Moisture) WFAS 10-Hour Fuel Moisture Computed 10-Hour Fuel Moisture)
WFAS 100-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed WFAS 100-Hour Fuel Moisture - Forecast
WFAS 1000-Hour Fuel Moisture - Observed / Computed WFAS 1000-Hour Fuel Moisture - Forecast
WFAS - Keetch-Byram Drought Index

Drought MonitorExpandCollapse

U.S. Drought Monitor
U.S. Drought Monitor
Seasonal Drought Outlook
Seasonal Drought Assessment
Palmer Drought Severity
Palmer Drought Severity
Rain Needed to End Drought
Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals
One Day Precipitation Totals
Three Day Precipitation Totals
Three Day Precipitation Totals
Five Day Precipitation Totals
Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition
24-Hr Observed Precipition
48-Hr Observed Precipition
48-Hr Observed Precipition
72 hour observed precipitation
72-Hr Observed Precipition

Precipitation (Over Time)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Total Precipitation
7-Day Precip
14-Day Total Precipitation
14-Day Precip
30-Day Total Precipitation
30-Day Precip
60-Day Total Precipitation
60-Day Precip
90-Day Total Precipitation
90-Day Precip
Total Precipitation since April 1st
Since April 1 Precip
Total Precipitation since July 1st
Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Total Precipitation
6-Month Precip
12-Month Total Precipitation
12-Month Precip
24-Month Total Precipitation
24-Month Precip
36-Month Total Precipitation
36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Total Precipitation
Month-to-Date Precip
Year-to-Date Total Precipitation
Year-to-Date Precip
Water-Year Total Precipitation
Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Total Precipitation Departure
7-Day Precip Dept
14-Day Total Precipitation Departure
14-Day Precip Dept
30-Day Total Precipitation Departure
30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Total Precipitation Departure
60-Day Precip Dept
90-Day Total Precipitation Departure
90-Day Precip Dept
Total Precipitation Departure since April 1st
Since April 1 Precip Dept
Total Precipitation Departure since July 1st
Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Total Precipitation Departure
6-Month Precip Dept
12-Month Total Precipitation Departure
12-Month Precip Dept
24-Month Total Precipitation Departure
24-Month Precip Dept
36-Month Total Precipitation Departure
36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Total Precipitation Departure
Month-to-Date Precip Dept
Year-to-Date Total Precipitation Departure
Year-to-Date Precip Dept
Water-Year Total Precipitation Departure
Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
7-Day Precip % Norm
14-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
14-Day Precip % Norm
30-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
60-Day Precip % Norm
90-Day Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
90-Day Precip % Norm
Total Precipitation Since April 1st - Percentage of Normal
Since April 1 Precip % Norm
Total Precipitation Since July 1st - Percentage of Normal
Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
6-Month Precip % Norm
12-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
12-Month Precip % Norm
24Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
24-Month Precip % Norm
36-Month Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm
Year-to-Date Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Year-to-Date Precip % Norm
Water-Year Precipitation - Percentage of Normal
Water-Year Precip % Norm

 

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
NWS Binghamton Winter Weather
Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

CPC 6-10 Day Temperature Outlook
6-10 Day Temp
CPC 6-10 Day Precipitation Outlook
6-10 Day Precip
CPC 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook
8-14 Day Temp
CPC 8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook
8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

CPC One-Month Temperature Outlook
One Month Temp
CPC One-Month Precipitation Outlook
One Month Precip
CPC Three-Month Temperature Outlook
Three Month Temp
CPC Three-Month Precipitation Outlook
Three Month Precip

Fire Potential OutlooksExpandCollapse

Current Fire Potential
Current Fire Potential
One-Month Fire Potential Outlook
One Month Outlook
Two- to Three-Month Fire Potential Outlook
Two-Three Month Outlook

Fire DangerExpandCollapse

NY State Fire Danger Ratings
NY State Fire Danger Ratings
Eastern Area Observed Fire Danger Class
Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class
Eastern Area Forecast Fire Danger Class
Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

 

Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

  • Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
  • A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

  • Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.