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Guide to decoding the forecast below.

050
FNUS81 KBGM 182032
FWMBGM

FCST,301011,250119,13,3,20,66,,,N,08,,36,17,100,62,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250120,13,2,15,52,,,W,10,,22,7,87,50,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250121,13,2,11,46,,,WSW,09,,17,-1,68,43,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250122,13,1,10,49,,,W,06,,15,-7,82,40,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250123,13,2,19,47,,,SSW,09,,21,-3,75,43,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250124,13,2,26,56,,,WSW,08,,28,8,91,45,0,0,N
FCST,301011,250125,13,2,29,57,,,WSW,09,,31,13,84,51,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250119,13,3,17,67,,,N,08,,33,15,100,64,4,0,N
FCST,300171,250120,13,2,13,63,,,W,10,,19,2,83,61,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250121,13,2,8,58,,,WSW,09,,15,-2,71,57,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250122,13,1,8,56,,,W,06,,11,-8,78,52,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250123,13,2,15,59,,,SSW,09,,17,-6,75,52,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250124,13,2,23,67,,,WSW,08,,24,6,91,56,0,0,N
FCST,300171,250125,13,2,25,66,,,WSW,09,,27,11,96,62,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250119,13,7,31,71,,,N,05,,37,25,100,66,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250120,13,2,21,51,,,W,06,,32,8,85,49,7,0,N
FCST,361802,250121,13,2,14,49,,,W,05,,22,1,75,46,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250122,13,1,15,48,,,NW,05,,17,-1,83,46,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250123,13,2,20,50,,,SSW,04,,21,-3,82,44,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250124,13,1,29,55,,,W,04,,30,7,96,47,0,0,N
FCST,361802,250125,13,1,31,56,,,WSW,05,,33,13,87,51,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250119,13,7,23,78,,,N,08,,33,20,100,77,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250120,13,2,14,62,,,W,13,,24,5,88,61,6,0,N
FCST,360791,250121,13,2,8,60,,,W,10,,15,-3,79,55,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250122,13,1,7,60,,,NW,09,,10,-4,83,55,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250123,13,2,15,58,,,SSW,09,,15,-5,82,54,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250124,13,1,22,64,,,W,09,,24,6,91,56,0,0,N
FCST,360791,250125,13,1,25,67,,,WSW,11,,26,10,91,62,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250119,13,7,25,78,,,N,08,,38,20,100,71,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250120,13,2,17,59,,,W,10,,28,6,88,54,5,0,N
FCST,360792,250121,13,2,11,56,,,WSW,06,,20,-2,79,51,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250122,13,1,11,55,,,NW,05,,15,-3,79,50,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250123,13,2,17,55,,,SSW,05,,20,-5,78,46,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250124,13,1,25,61,,,W,06,,28,6,91,51,0,0,N
FCST,360792,250125,13,1,28,62,,,WSW,08,,31,11,88,55,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250119,13,3,23,72,,,N,08,,37,20,100,59,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250120,13,2,17,51,,,W,09,,23,8,83,49,5,0,N
FCST,360151,250121,13,2,13,48,,,WSW,06,,18,-1,71,46,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250122,13,1,11,49,,,WNW,05,,15,-4,82,44,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250123,13,2,18,51,,,SSW,06,,18,-3,79,45,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250124,13,2,26,57,,,W,06,,27,7,91,49,0,0,N
FCST,360151,250125,13,1,29,59,,,WSW,06,,30,12,87,53,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250119,13,7,29,72,,,N,05,,34,23,100,68,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250120,13,2,20,53,,,W,10,,29,7,88,51,7,0,N
FCST,361031,250121,13,2,13,50,,,W,06,,20,-1,79,48,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250122,13,1,13,50,,,NW,06,,15,-2,79,48,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250123,13,2,18,51,,,SSW,06,,20,-4,82,46,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250124,13,1,27,57,,,W,06,,28,7,91,49,0,0,N
FCST,361031,250125,13,1,30,58,,,WSW,08,,31,11,91,51,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250119,13,3,16,80,,,N,11,,34,15,96,77,4,0,N
FCST,300971,250120,13,2,12,65,,,W,14,,17,6,91,63,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250121,13,2,8,58,,,WSW,12,,13,-1,79,57,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250122,13,1,7,60,,,W,10,,10,-6,82,54,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250123,13,2,16,59,,,S,12,,17,-3,78,57,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250124,13,2,23,70,,,WSW,11,,24,9,87,58,0,0,N
FCST,300971,250125,13,2,26,68,,,WSW,12,,26,13,91,65,0,0,N

 
    
                        

222

FNUS51 KBGM 182031

FWFBGM



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA

National Weather Service Binghamton NY

330 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2025



.SYNOPSIS...

The next cold front will bring a mix of rain and snow to the

area today. Colder air moves in tonight and the next chance of

snow arrives Sunday. Some areas of northeast PA and southern NY

will see accumulating snowfall. Very cold Arctic air will settle

into the region Monday through at least Wednesday.





NYZ210-190900-

Leatherstocking-

330 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2025



                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type           Snow Showers Snow         Snow         Snow Showers

Chance Precip (%)     40           60           50           20

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      16 (-10)     22 (-13)     1            16

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      59 (+7)      91           50

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 5-9        NW 5-9       NW 7-11      W 4-8

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 6-10      N 6-10       NW 6-10      W 8-12 G17

Precip Amount         0.02         0.08         0.07         0.02

Precip Duration       1            2            2            1

Precip Begin          6 PM         10 AM        Continuing   Continuing

Precip End            1 AM         Continuing   Continuing   6 PM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2190                      6020

Transport Wnd (mph)                N 13                      W 25

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  44430                     168690

DSI                   1            1            1            2

Sunshine Hours                     1                         4

ADI early             12 Poor      22 Fair      18 Gen Poor  58 Gen Good

ADI late              15 Gen Poor  26 Fair      14 Gen Poor  86 Good

Max LVORI early       6            4            4            5

Max LVORI late        5            3            4            1



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 1 below. Highs around 10.

Southwest winds around 10 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of snow showers. Lows

around 6 below. Highs around 9. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 4 below. Highs around 18.

Southeast winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of snow showers. Lows

around 6. Highs in the mid 20s. South winds around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of snow showers. Lows

around 11. Highs in the upper 20s. West winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ038-039-043-190900-

Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-

Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,

and Tunkhannock

330 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2025



                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type           Snow Showers Snow         Snow         Snow Showers

Chance Precip (%)     30           70           40           10

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      17 (-9)      23 (-11)     5            18

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      67 (+11)     96           44

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      N 6-10       NW 8-12 G21  W 5-9 G19

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 5-9       N 7-11 G18   NW 6-10 G19  W 8-12 G20

Precip Amount         0.00         0.15         0.05         0.01

Precip Duration       0            4            1            1

Precip Begin          6 PM         9 AM         Continuing   7 AM

Precip End            9 PM         Continuing   1 AM         6 PM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2570                      6630

Transport Wnd (mph)                N 16                      W 26

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  44800                     165360

DSI                   1            1            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     1                         4

ADI early             8 Poor       30 Fair      22 Fair      84 Good

ADI late              19 Gen Poor  34 Fair      15 Gen Poor  90 Good

Max LVORI early       8            3            4            5

Max LVORI late        5            3            4            1



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 2 below. Highs around 12.

Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 5 below. Highs around 10.

West winds around 5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 4 below. Highs around 18.

South winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 5. Highs in the mid 20s.

Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 10. Highs in the upper

20s. West winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ044-047-190900-

Lackawanna-Luzerne-

Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre

330 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2025



                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type           None         Snow         Snow         None

Chance Precip (%)     0            90           50           0

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      21 (-4)      25 (-10)     5            18

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      68 (+14)     91           46

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      N 6-10       N 9-13 G22   W 6-10 G20

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 4-8       N 6-10 G18   NW 7-11 G21  W 8-12 G21

Precip Amount         0.00         0.27         0.08         0.00

Precip Duration                    6            1

Precip Begin                       9 AM         Continuing

Precip End                         Continuing   12 AM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2400                      6480

Transport Wnd (mph)                N 16                      W 25

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  44760                     160890

DSI                   1            1            2            2

Sunshine Hours                     1                         5

ADI early             7 Poor       29 Fair      22 Fair      74 Good

ADI late              19 Gen Poor  31 Fair      17 Gen Poor  84 Good

Max LVORI early       8            4            3            4

Max LVORI late        7            3            4            1



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 1 below. Highs around 12.

West winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 2 below. Highs around 11.

Northwest winds around 5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 4 below. Highs around 18.

South winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 6. Highs in the mid 20s.

Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 10. Highs around 30. West

winds around 5 mph.



$$



PAZ040-048-072-190900-

Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-

Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,

and Honesdale

330 PM EST Sat Jan 18 2025



                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon



Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type           None         Snow         Snow         None

Chance Precip (%)     0            90           60           0

Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0

Temp (24h trend)      20 (-3)      27 (-7)      4            18

RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      66 (-1)      96           47

Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      N 5-9        NW 8-12 G21  NW 6-10 G18

Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 4-8       N 5-9        NW 8-12 G22  W 7-11 G19

Precip Amount         0.00         0.29         0.11         0.00

Precip Duration                    5            2

Precip Begin                       9 AM         Continuing

Precip End                         Continuing   1 AM

Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2000                      6540

Transport Wnd (mph)                N 13                      W 28

Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  30060                     166420

DSI                   1            1            1            2

Sunshine Hours                     1                         5

ADI early             7 Poor       25 Fair      20 Gen Poor  80 Good

ADI late              16 Gen Poor  27 Fair      19 Gen Poor  91 Good

Max LVORI early       9            4            4            4

Max LVORI late        8            4            4            1



Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.

         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.



.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...



.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 2 below. Highs around 12.

West winds around 5 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 3 below. Highs around 11.

Northwest winds around 5 mph.

.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 4 below. Highs around 18.

South winds around 5 mph.

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 5. Highs in the mid 20s.

Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 10. Highs in the upper

20s. West winds around 5 mph.



$$

Fuel Conditions

Click on the images below to view them in higher detail. When doing so, each set of fuel moisture images will contain both the observed / computed and forecast. To view either, click left or right on images.

Observed/Computed	Forecast

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U.S. Drought Monitor

Seasonal Drought Assessment

Palmer Drought Severity

Rain Needed to End Drought

Local Precipitation AnalysisExpandCollapse

One Day Precipitation Totals	Three Day Precipitation Totals	Five Day Precipitation Totals
24-Hr Observed Precipition	48-Hr Observed Precipition	72-Hr Observed Precipition

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7-Day Precip	14-Day Precip	30-Day Precip
60-Day Precip	90-Day Precip	Since April 1 Precip	Since July 1 Precip
6-Month Precip	12-Month Precip	24-Month Precip	36-Month Precip
Month-to-Date Precip	Year-to-Date Precip	Water-Year Precip

Precipitation (Departure from Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip Dept	14-Day Precip Dept	30-Day Precip Dept
60-Day Precip Dept	90-Day Precip Dept	Since April 1 Precip Dept	Since July 1 Precip Dept
6-Month Precip Dept	12-Month Precip Dept	24-Month Precip Dept	36-Month Precip Dept
Month-to-Date Precip Dept	Year-to-Date Precip Dept	Water-Year Precip Dept

Precipitation (Percentage of Normal)ExpandCollapse

7-Day Precip % Norm	14-Day Precip % Norm	30-Day Precip % Norm
60-Day Precip % Norm	90-Day Precip % Norm	Since April 1 Precip % Norm	Since July 1 Precip % Norm
6-Month Precip % Norm	12-Month Precip % Norm	24-Month Precip % Norm	36-Month Precip % Norm
Month-to-Date Precip % Norm	Year-to-Date Precip % Norm	Water-Year Precip % Norm

Additional Resources:

Precipitation Mapper
Interactive Snowfall Information
Regional Snow Analysis
CoCoRaHS Precipitation Reports
NWS Binghamton Winter Weather

Climate and Fire Weather Outlook

Temperature and Precipitation - 6-10 / 8-14 Day OutlooksExpandCollapse

6-10 Day Temp

6-10 Day Precip

8-14 Day Temp

8-14 Day Precip

Temperature and Precipitation - One / Three Month OutlooksExpandCollapse

One Month Temp

One Month Precip

Three Month Temp

Three Month Precip

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Current Fire Potential

One Month Outlook

Two- to Three-Month Fire Potential Outlook

Two-Three Month Outlook

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NY State Fire Danger Ratings

Observed Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Forecast Eastern Area Fire Danger Class

Additional Resources:

GACC Eastern Area Weekly Outlook
GACC Eastern Area Monthly Outlook
Predictive Services 7-Day Significant Fire Potential

Fire Weather Watch:

Used to advise of the possible development of a red flag event in the near future. Usually fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Fire Weather Watch will normally be issued 12 to 48 hours in advance of the expected onset of severe fire weather conditions. The watch will be issued via an RFW product (i.e. ALBRFWBGM). The product will contain a headline and the basis for the watch issuance. Fire Weather Watch information will be included in the affected areas of the daily routine Fire Weather Forecast. A Fire Weather Watch will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.
A Fire Weather Watch should not be issued, or continued, to indicate low confidence or borderline conditions. In these situations, the forecaster should describe the expected conditions and reasons for uncertainty in the discussion portion of the routine Fire Weather Planning Forecast.

Red Flag Warning:

Issued to warn of an impending or occurring Red Flag Event and denotes a high degree of confidence that weather and fuel conditions consistent with local Red Flag Event criteria will occur in 24 hours or less. Usually the fire danger is in the very high to extreme category. A Red Flag Warning may or may not be preceded by a Fire Weather Watch. The warning will be issued via an RFW product and contain a headline and basis for the warning issuance. A Red Flag Warning will be canceled via an RFW if subsequent information indicates that the conditions are no longer expected to develop.