National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms in the East This Evening; Excessive Heat Lingers in the Southern U.S.

Scattered to numerous damaging wind gusts and isolated flash flooding is likely from severe thunderstorms across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic States into this evening. Large hail and damaging winds should also occur from southern Montana into western North Dakota. Excessive heat will continue over the southern U.S. today before another round of heat arrives over the central U.S. Monday. Read More >


 25kt Likelihood            34kt Likelihood           43kt Likelihood           48kt Likelihood  

 Forecast Wind Gust                              High End Wind Gust  

Page Description Document

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LikelihoodSewells Pilot Area Ocean City Buoy 44009 Wallops Island Richmond Baltimore Canyon Salisbury Cambridge Gooses Reef Bishops Head Buoy 44042 Tangier Colonial Beach Wachapreague Washington Canyon Norfolk Canyon Rap Light Rappahannock River York Spit Jamestown Norfolk CBBT Ches Light Sandbridge Windmill Pt Smith Pt Elizabeth City Edenton Duck Offshore Duck Cape Charles Offshore VAB
 
Directions

Hover over the buttons above to get the map of your choice. Then click on your point of interest to get complete wind and wind gust probabilities for that location, as well as the point forecast.
   
Wind Gust Likelihood Levels
 
Low Likelihood (10-40%)

A low likelihood of a certain wind gust implies that there is small chance for a certain wind gust (generally a 1 in 10 to 4 in 10 chance). Persons who may experience impacts at certain wind thresholds may want to prepare for these type of wind speeds in case they do occur.  

Medium Likelihood (40-70%)

A medium likelihood of a certain wind gust implies that there is a better chance for a certain wind gust (generally a 4 in 10 to 7 in 10 chance). Persons should prepare for impacts from these type of  gusts as someone in the area may experience wind speeds at or above this threshold. 

High Likelihood (70-100%)
A high likelihood of a certain wind gust implies that there is at least a 7 in 10 chance for wind gusts of above the certain value. Persons should prepare for impacts from these type of gusts as someone in the area will likely see wind speeds at or above this threshold.