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Heavy Snow in the West; Fire Weather Conditions in Southern New England and Hawaii

A system crossing the Intermountain West today will continue to bring areas of moderate snowfall from the central Sierra Nevada to the Northern Rockies. Gusty winds and low relative humidity will bring critical fire weather to parts of southern New England and Hawaii. Read More >

Overview 

From January 11th to the morning of Saturday, January 12th, an upper level trough amplified over the Plains, as a strong upper high remained in place over the Northern Rockies and weak upper ridging was in place over the southeast US. In response, a well-defined area of surface low pressure became centered over eastern Oklahoma on the morning of January 12th. At the same time, synoptic analysis showed a ~1040 mb area of high pressure over Ontario, with the associated surface ridge extending southeastward into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast. This allowed a cold-air damming regime to set up over the area on the 12th. As the low slowly moved to the ENE, broad scale WAA commenced as winds at the surface were out of the NE but veered to the SE then S from 925-700mb. This WAA produced large-scale ascent throughout the region, allowing areas of stratiform precipitation to form during the day on the 12th. As temperatures throughout the much of the lower atmosphere (except for very near the sfc) were at or below freezing over most of the area (except far SE VA/NE NC), precipitation was mainly in the form of snow. A quick inch or so of snow was observed from the central/southern Piedmont to the Richmond metro (and points just to the south) during the late afternoon through mid evening hours of the 12th. The first batch of significant precipitation moved into the region during the overnight hours on the 12th into the morning of the 13th as the upper low approached the area. While surface temperatures only warmed by a degree or two during the night, warm air aloft (most pronounced near the 850 mb level) moved northward through the night. This allowed precipitation to change over to rain east of I-95. However, temperatures stayed below 32° through the night from western Chesterfield county W to the Piedmont (leading to freezing rain throughout the night). Precipitation stayed in the form of snow from Louisa county to the Cambridge, MD area (where 3-5 inches of snow fell during the night of the 12th through the morning of the 13th).

Precipitation changed to rain throughout the area by late morning on the 13th before changing back to snow during the early evening hours as the upper low moved just to the north of the region and a secondary surface low started to deepen offshore (allowing winds to shift to the N/NNW). Precipitation increased in intensity from the northern Richmond metro Lower Eastern Shore as the upper low moved nearly overhead. Localized banding was observed for a short time during the evening of the 13th. In a few spots, snowfall rates exceeded 1"/hour for a couple of hours during the evening of the 13th through the early morning of the 14th. As a result, roads quickly became slick and hazardous Sunday evening in spots. The low moved well offshore by sunrise on the 14th, allowing precipitation to come to an end. Storm totals were 2" or less south of I-64, with 2"-6" (locally up to 8") were observed. While not as large of an impact as the winter storm of 12/9/17, this was quite a significant winter storm across northern parts of the CWA (in addition to much of the Lower Eastern Shore).    

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