.AVIATION /01Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... A frontal system approaching from the Upper Great Lakes will gradually introduce lengthy restrictions to the area. Initial winds have been relatively light and somewhat variable in nature. While showers have moved in earlier than expected at KCHO, other terminals should see such activity move in just after dark. Winds turn more southeasterly as this occurs with any sub-VFR conditions holding off until the mid/late evening. As rainfall decreases in intensity, ceilings should further lower to IFR during the second half of the night. The light onshore flow coupled with saturated grounds will foster the development of some patchy fog. While the shield of rainfall exits before daybreak, IFR to MVFR ceilings are expected to dominate much of Wednesday. This is in response to a wedge setup with high pressure to the north and persistent northerly winds funneling into the area. The best chance for any breaks in the overcast would be at KCHO. Heading into Wednesday night, skies remain mostly cloudy which aviation guidance favors more sub-VFR ceilings. Thick cloud cover continues into Thursday with winds shifting to southeasterly. A number of models favor MVFR ceilings through the day before rain arrives overnight. Temporary restrictions are possible at times Friday and Saturday with rain showers around. Expect periods of MVFR with perhaps pockets of IFR depending upon the intensity of rainfall across the region. Overall light to moderate rain is expected as low pressure and its associated fronts pass through the area. South to southwest winds are expected to gusts 15 to 25 kts with winds switching back to the north and northwest Saturday into Sunday. Gusts this weekend will remain between 5 to 15 kts. AVIATION...BRO/EST Update as of: 856 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025