.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A weak front is settling across the area this morning which will
waver across the area through Friday. Wind direction will be
changeable but generally less than 10 kt over the next 24 hours,
shifting north behind the front, becoming southeast later today,
then back to the east or northeast tonight into Thursday. VFR
conditions will prevail through this evening. However, stratus
is forecast to move onshore late tonight, most likely affecting
the metro terminals. CHO and MRB may be closer to the edge. Have
the highest confidence in MVFR to IFR conditions, although some
guidance does indicate LIFR.
Stratus will likely be a recurring issue Thursday and Friday
nights as well, with higher IFR probabilities across all
terminals. The main uncertainty is whether the stratus mixes out
each afternoon or remains in place. Even if ceilings remain,
there should be improvement in flight category. Patchy drizzle
could also develop Thursday and Friday nights. Otherwise light
NE to E winds are expected during this time.
Sub-VFR ceilings and visibilities are likely Saturday and Sunday as
an approaching cold front brings widespread showers and
possible thunderstorms to the terminals. Southerly winds on
Saturday gust 15 to 20 knots across all the terminals with the
exception being KMRB where gusts near 25 knots are possible.
Winds increase overnight into Sunday with SW winds gusting 25 to
30 knots. Winds shift to northwesterly behind the frontal
passage, with gusts between 15 and 20 knots expected overnight.
AVIATION...ADS/AVS
Update as of: 354 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025