Drought Information Statement for the Missouri Ozarks Valid September 5, 2024 Issued By: WFO Springfield, MO Contact Information: contact.sgf@noaa.gov This product will be updated October 3, 2024 or sooner if drought conditions change significantly. Please see all currently available products at https://drought.gov/drought-information-statements. Please visit https://www.weather.gov/sgf/SGFDroughtMonitor for additional information. Required Slide 1 U.S. Drought Monitor Link to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor for Lower Midwest Drought Potential Across the Ozarks Region Drought conditions across the Ozarks improved early this year though lingering long term dryness has remained. The forecast for the month of September looks rather dry which may allow drought conditions to worsen through the month. Drought Intensity and Extent D1 (Moderate Drought): Areas including portions of Barry, McDonald, Newton, Jasper, Polk, Hickory, Benton, St. Clair, and Vernon Counties in Missouri and Crawford and Cherokee Counties in Kansas. D0: (Abnormally Dry): Additional areas of southwestern Missouri and southeastern Kansas generally along and west of Highway 65 and some of the Mark Twain National Forest. Required Slide State Drought Monitor Link to Recent Change Maps Main Takeaways Drought conditions may slowly return this fall as underlying long term dry conditions and limited chances for rainfall over the next few weeks are expected. Recent Change in Drought Intensity Link to Recent Change Maps Precipitation Main Takeaways Portions of south central Missouri saw above average rainfall. Elsewhere, precipitation was generally near to below average. Required Slide Link to HPRCC Temperature Main Takeaways Summary of Impacts Links: See/submit Condition Monitoring Observer Reports (CMOR) and view the Drought Impacts Reporter Hydrologic Impacts Streamflow percentiles over the past 7 days were slightly below average for the Spring River basin in SE Kansas and SW Missouri along with the Osage River Basin in central Missouri. Conversely, streamflow percentiles over the past 7 days were slightly above average for portions of central and south central Missouri. Agricultural Impacts Condition Monitoring Observer Reports (CMORs) were beginning to report dry grass, minor crop impacts, localized wildfires in D0 and D1 areas. Fire Hazard Impacts There are no known impacts at this time. However, longer range forecasts indicate the potential for developing wildfire concern for October. Other Impacts There are no known impacts at this time. Mitigation actions Farmers and ranchers were beginning to consider supplementing water and feed for livestock. The Missouri Department of Agriculture has an AgriStress Helpline at 833-897-2474. The University of Missouri Extension Office has a Psychological Service Clinic to aid farmers and ranchers. More information is available at muext.us/PSCFarmRanch. Required Slide Hydrologic Conditions and Impacts Main Takeaways Streamflow percentiles over the past 7 days were near average across most of the area, with a few locations seeing below or even locally above average streamflow. Image Caption: : USGS 7 day average streamflow HUC map - Kansas. Image Caption: : USGS 7 day average streamflow HUC map - Missouri. https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/index.php?m=pa07d_nwc&r=ks&w=map https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/index.php?id=pa07d&sid=w__map%7Cm__pa07d_nwc&r=mo Agricultural Impacts Main Takeaways November 1st soil moisture was near average across much of the area, with portions of central Missouri seeing below average. November 1st Crop Moisture Index was near average. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Soilmst_Monitoring/Figures/daily/curr.w.rank.daily.gif https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/regional_monitoring/cmi.gif Fire Hazard Impacts Link to Wildfire Potential Outlooks from the National Interagency Coordination Center Main Takeaways Current conditions in September were near average for the time of year; however, a potential dry period for much of September may lead to enhanced fire potential for October. Seven Day Precipitation Forecast Main Takeaway Summarize conditions here Rapid Onset Drought Outlook Links to the latest Climate Prediction Center 8 to 14 day Temperature Outlook and Precipitation Outlook. Main Takeaways Summarize conditions and impacts here 8 to 14 Day Outlooks The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage Main Takeaways Above average temperatures and below average precipitation are favored. Monthly Outlooks The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage Main Takeaways Above average temperatures and equal chances to below average precipitation are favored this month. Seasonal Outlooks The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks can be found on the CPC homepage Main Takeaways Leaning above average temperatures and below average precipitation. Drought Outlook Climate Prediction Center Monthly Drought Outlook | Climate Prediction Center Seasonal Drought Outlook Main Takeaways Localized areas of Drought persists through September. Drought remains with potential development of deterioration through November. Required Slide Additional Drought Resources For Additional Information NWS Springfield Webpage | IDSS Point Forecasts NWS Springfield Drought Monitor Resources Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook Missouri Drought Monitor | Kansas Drought Monitor Drought Monitor Archive CPC Drought Information National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) National Drought Mitigation Center (NDMC) Missouri USGS Streamflows | Kansas USGS Streamflows Drought Safety