Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Northern_Greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20241123_0000 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes Northern_Greens are orthogonal to 290 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Northern_Greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Sat 11/23 00Z 0.67 1015 92 66 -1 0.00 Sat 11/23 01Z 0.72 1117 93 58 -1 0.00 Sat 11/23 02Z 0.78 1018 93 52 -1 0.00 Sat 11/23 03Z 0.72 1017 88 53 -1 0.00 Sat 11/23 04Z 0.57 0916 86 59 -1 0.00 Sat 11/23 05Z 0.33 0811 84 70 0 0.00 Sat 11/23 06Z 0.23 0511 91 89 0 0.00 Sat 11/23 07Z 0.16 0411 92 92 0 0.00 Sat 11/23 08Z 0.06 0110 92 96 -1 0.01 Sat 11/23 09Z 0.16 3514 96 95 -1 0.02 Sat 11/23 10Z 0.27 3520 97 91 -1 0.04 Sat 11/23 11Z 0.33 3425 97 90 -1 0.04 Sat 11/23 12Z 0.36 3530 97 93 -1 0.04 Sat 11/23 13Z 0.24 0030 97 97 -1 0.03 Sat 11/23 14Z 0.21 0028 97 96 -1 0.02 Sat 11/23 15Z 0.27 3528 97 94 -1 0.03 Sat 11/23 16Z 0.35 3429 97 86 -1 0.03 Sat 11/23 17Z 0.42 3429 97 79 -1 0.03 Sat 11/23 18Z 0.53 3328 98 82 -2 0.03 Sat 11/23 19Z 0.56 3327 97 82 -2 0.03 Sat 11/23 20Z 0.73 3327 98 77 -2 0.03 Sat 11/23 21Z 0.85 3227 98 74 -3 0.02 Sat 11/23 22Z 1.04 3128 98 78 -3 0.03 Sat 11/23 23Z 1.09 3129 99 57 -3 0.04 Sun 11/24 00Z 1.12 3130 99 51 -3 0.05 Sun 11/24 01Z 1.04 3129 99 50 -3 0.05 Sun 11/24 02Z 1.05 3029 99 46 -3 0.04 Sun 11/24 03Z 1.12 3029 99 57 -3 0.05 Sun 11/24 04Z 1.07 3030 99 63 -3 0.05 Sun 11/24 05Z 1.08 3031 99 68 -3 0.05 Sun 11/24 06Z 1.08 3032 99 74 -3 0.05 Sun 11/24 07Z 1.06 3032 99 85 -3 0.05 Sun 11/24 08Z 1.05 2932 98 86 -3 0.06 Sun 11/24 09Z 1.00 2933 98 89 -3 0.07 Sun 11/24 10Z 1.07 2934 98 87 -4 0.06 Sun 11/24 11Z 1.12 2935 98 86 -4 0.06 Sun 11/24 12Z 1.22 3036 98 88 -5 0.06 Sun 11/24 13Z 1.27 3036 98 89 -6 0.06 Sun 11/24 14Z 1.26 3035 98 88 -6 0.05 Sun 11/24 15Z 1.36 2935 98 86 -7 0.04 Sun 11/24 16Z 1.51 2934 98 84 -7 0.04 Sun 11/24 17Z 1.66 2934 98 84 -8 0.04 Sun 11/24 18Z 1.43 2933 98 78 -8 0.03 Sun 11/24 19Z 1.38 2932 98 78 -8 0.02 Sun 11/24 20Z 1.29 2932 97 71 -8 0.02 Sun 11/24 21Z 1.18 2931 97 54 -8 0.02 Sun 11/24 22Z 1.22 3032 98 52 -8 0.02 Sun 11/24 23Z 1.14 3032 98 49 -8 0.02 Mon 11/25 00Z 1.05 3032 97 51 -8 0.02 Mon 11/25 01Z 0.92 3032 95 47 -7 0.02 Mon 11/25 02Z 0.81 3031 93 42 -7 0.01 Mon 11/25 03Z 0.73 3030 92 39 -7 0.01 Mon 11/25 04Z 0.70 3029 93 38 -7 0.01 Mon 11/25 05Z 0.64 3028 93 39 -7 0.01 Mon 11/25 06Z 0.61 3027 92 43 -7 0.01 Mon 11/25 07Z 0.58 3027 90 41 -6 0.01 Mon 11/25 08Z 0.53 3027 88 39 -5 0.01 Mon 11/25 09Z 0.51 3026 88 37 -5 0.01 Mon 11/25 10Z 0.48 3125 87 32 -5 0.01 Mon 11/25 11Z 0.44 3124 85 29 -5 0.01 Run total areal avg QPF for the Northern_Greens is: 1.67 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1