Winter Weather Advisory issued for 8PM Wednesday through 11AM Thursday for snow and sleet accumulations up to 2 inches, with freezing rain accumulations up to two-tenths of an inch. Winds could gust up to 35 mph at times. Isolated power outages are possible, and the Thursday morning commute could become hazardous. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Northern_Greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20250401_1800 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes Northern_Greens are orthogonal to 290 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Northern_Greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Tue 04/01 18Z 13.90 3022 83 3 -11 0.00 Tue 04/01 19Z 16.95 3026 79 4 -11 0.00 Tue 04/01 20Z 15.69 3027 76 5 -11 0.00 Tue 04/01 21Z 15.08 3028 75 5 -11 0.00 Tue 04/01 22Z 13.93 3028 75 6 -12 0.00 Tue 04/01 23Z 8.97 3030 74 7 -12 0.00 Wed 04/02 00Z 5.15 3132 73 7 -13 0.00 Wed 04/02 01Z 3.44 3131 68 8 -13 0.00 Wed 04/02 02Z 1.79 3229 61 10 -13 0.00 Wed 04/02 03Z 1.23 3227 61 10 -14 0.00 Wed 04/02 04Z 0.79 3225 59 11 -14 0.00 Wed 04/02 05Z 0.55 3322 55 10 -13 0.00 Wed 04/02 06Z 0.44 3320 50 9 -13 0.00 Wed 04/02 07Z 0.36 3319 42 9 -12 0.00 Wed 04/02 08Z 0.28 3418 34 11 -12 0.00 Wed 04/02 09Z 0.22 3417 28 11 -12 0.00 Wed 04/02 10Z 0.17 3516 24 14 -11 0.00 Wed 04/02 11Z 0.13 3514 23 17 -11 0.00 Wed 04/02 12Z 0.09 3511 24 18 -11 0.00 Wed 04/02 13Z 0.05 0009 25 22 -10 0.00 Wed 04/02 14Z 0.04 0006 27 24 -10 0.00 Wed 04/02 15Z 0.02 0202 28 25 -9 0.00 Wed 04/02 16Z 0.03 0900 28 26 -9 0.00 Wed 04/02 17Z 0.05 1402 27 24 -8 0.00 Wed 04/02 18Z 0.06 1603 23 22 -6 0.00 Wed 04/02 19Z 0.09 1606 19 24 -5 0.00 Wed 04/02 20Z 0.10 1708 18 36 -4 0.00 Wed 04/02 21Z 0.13 1610 18 53 -3 0.00 Wed 04/02 22Z 0.14 1715 19 82 -3 0.00 Wed 04/02 23Z 0.14 1818 19 93 -2 0.00 Thu 04/03 00Z 0.16 1822 39 95 -3 0.00 Thu 04/03 01Z 0.26 1725 47 97 -2 0.00 Thu 04/03 02Z 0.41 1628 67 98 -4 0.00 Thu 04/03 03Z 0.42 1634 91 99 -4 0.06 Thu 04/03 04Z 0.42 1638 94 99 -3 0.09 Thu 04/03 05Z 0.41 1741 94 98 -3 0.19 Thu 04/03 06Z 0.37 1742 96 97 -3 0.22 Thu 04/03 07Z 0.30 1845 97 98 -2 0.20 Thu 04/03 08Z 0.14 1948 97 97 0 0.10 Thu 04/03 09Z 0.04 1950 97 95 3 0.09 Thu 04/03 10Z 0.08 2051 96 83 7 0.08 Thu 04/03 11Z 0.18 2153 96 65 9 0.06 Thu 04/03 12Z 0.28 2247 97 83 9 0.04 Thu 04/03 13Z 0.23 2145 96 94 10 0.04 Thu 04/03 14Z 0.28 2247 96 84 10 0.13 Thu 04/03 15Z 0.34 2249 95 71 10 0.02 Thu 04/03 16Z 0.51 2350 97 86 10 0.01 Thu 04/03 17Z 0.62 2445 93 93 10 0.03 Thu 04/03 18Z 0.57 2441 71 90 11 0.01 Thu 04/03 19Z 0.71 2437 77 20 8 0.00 Thu 04/03 20Z 0.75 2434 86 10 7 0.00 Thu 04/03 21Z 0.98 2534 93 3 6 0.00 Thu 04/03 22Z 1.15 2635 96 4 6 0.01 Thu 04/03 23Z 1.50 2538 92 3 5 0.01 Fri 04/04 00Z 2.14 2640 88 1 4 0.00 Fri 04/04 01Z 2.36 2643 89 1 3 0.00 Fri 04/04 02Z 1.90 2741 91 5 2 0.00 Fri 04/04 03Z 1.98 2737 94 9 0 0.01 Fri 04/04 04Z 1.72 2737 89 11 -1 0.01 Fri 04/04 05Z 1.26 2836 79 11 -1 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the Northern_Greens is: 1.41 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1