Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20251001_1200 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Wed 10/01 12Z 0.17 0313 68 9 3 0.00 Wed 10/01 15Z 0.09 0115 69 16 2 0.00 Wed 10/01 18Z 0.06 0015 72 13 2 0.00 Wed 10/01 21Z 0.46 0115 75 5 1 0.00 Thu 10/02 00Z 0.51 0218 71 2 1 0.00 Thu 10/02 03Z 0.37 0516 54 2 2 0.00 Thu 10/02 06Z 0.30 0711 44 3 3 0.00 Thu 10/02 09Z 0.17 0806 45 9 2 0.00 Thu 10/02 12Z 0.05 0202 43 25 3 0.00 Thu 10/02 15Z 0.06 0303 42 44 3 0.00 Thu 10/02 18Z 0.02 1601 48 53 4 0.00 Thu 10/02 21Z 0.08 2104 45 55 5 0.00 Fri 10/03 00Z 0.18 2308 33 52 7 0.00 Fri 10/03 03Z 0.23 2311 27 52 8 0.00 Fri 10/03 06Z 0.29 2513 33 51 8 0.00 Fri 10/03 09Z 0.37 2616 45 35 8 0.00 Fri 10/03 12Z 0.33 2614 48 41 9 0.00 Fri 10/03 15Z 0.34 2614 48 42 9 0.00 Fri 10/03 18Z 0.34 2612 45 37 10 0.00 Fri 10/03 21Z 0.36 2613 50 31 11 0.00 Sat 10/04 00Z 0.48 2718 52 29 12 0.00 Sat 10/04 03Z 0.45 2918 49 33 12 0.00 Sat 10/04 06Z 0.39 3117 63 38 11 0.00 Sat 10/04 09Z 0.44 2917 54 33 11 0.00 Sat 10/04 12Z 0.34 3113 70 46 10 0.00 Sat 10/04 15Z 0.35 3113 79 40 9 0.00 Sat 10/04 18Z 0.34 3110 82 33 10 0.00 Sat 10/04 21Z 0.24 3107 82 40 10 0.00 Sun 10/05 00Z 0.17 2905 80 39 11 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1