Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20241121_0600 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Thu 11/21 06Z 0.22 1417 88 67 3 0.00 Thu 11/21 09Z 0.37 1319 92 74 2 0.01 Thu 11/21 12Z 0.38 1220 96 78 1 0.01 Thu 11/21 15Z 0.47 1120 97 64 1 0.02 Thu 11/21 18Z 0.49 1020 97 82 0 0.03 Thu 11/21 21Z 0.48 0919 97 90 0 0.09 Fri 11/22 00Z 0.60 0924 97 93 0 0.13 Fri 11/22 03Z 0.64 0928 97 95 0 0.12 Fri 11/22 06Z 0.71 0931 96 96 0 0.09 Fri 11/22 09Z 0.83 0835 97 94 0 0.12 Fri 11/22 12Z 0.97 0940 97 86 0 0.09 Fri 11/22 15Z 0.92 1131 96 39 -1 0.06 Fri 11/22 18Z 1.13 1120 89 28 -2 0.01 Fri 11/22 21Z 0.63 1117 87 28 -2 0.00 Sat 11/23 00Z 0.50 0914 89 35 -2 0.00 Sat 11/23 03Z 0.35 0811 90 58 -2 0.00 Sat 11/23 06Z 0.07 0207 91 62 -1 0.00 Sat 11/23 09Z 0.11 3520 97 91 -2 0.02 Sat 11/23 12Z 0.14 3522 96 90 -2 0.07 Sat 11/23 15Z 0.12 3421 98 77 -3 0.06 Sat 11/23 18Z 0.38 3329 97 65 -4 0.02 Sat 11/23 21Z 0.44 3233 97 70 -2 0.03 Sun 11/24 00Z 0.52 3232 96 64 -2 0.02 Sun 11/24 03Z 0.45 3231 97 67 -3 0.00 Sun 11/24 06Z 0.91 3035 97 11 -3 0.02 Sun 11/24 09Z 1.24 3036 96 8 -6 0.01 Sun 11/24 12Z 1.53 3036 97 28 -7 0.00 Sun 11/24 15Z 1.78 3033 90 28 -8 0.00 Sun 11/24 18Z 10.21 2928 85 8 -8 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.03 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1