Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20260509_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 05/09 00Z 0.82 2510 71 79 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 03Z 0.99 2515 56 64 0 0.00
Sat 05/09 06Z 1.15 2716 42 48 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 09Z 0.57 2711 43 35 0 0.00
Sat 05/09 12Z 0.21 2009 45 42 0 0.00
Sat 05/09 15Z 0.61 1612 52 50 0 0.00
Sat 05/09 18Z 1.66 1616 73 74 1 0.03
Sat 05/09 21Z 0.19 1618 90 75 1 0.12
Sun 05/10 00Z 0.06 1818 96 49 3 0.02
Sun 05/10 03Z 0.15 1920 95 34 4 0.00
Sun 05/10 06Z 0.46 2127 95 29 4 0.00
Sun 05/10 09Z 0.60 2229 92 89 5 0.00
Sun 05/10 12Z 0.77 2328 91 47 4 0.00
Sun 05/10 15Z 1.75 2322 89 75 3 0.00
Sun 05/10 18Z 11.56 2418 78 68 3 0.00
Sun 05/10 21Z 13.49 2519 59 70 4 0.00
Mon 05/11 00Z 2.46 2719 57 35 2 0.00
Mon 05/11 03Z 0.86 2916 57 44 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 06Z 0.41 3011 67 63 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 09Z 0.31 2908 71 41 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 12Z 0.17 3005 77 38 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 15Z 0.94 3102 80 43 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 18Z 1.92 3305 68 50 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 21Z 0.23 3204 75 44 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 00Z 0.36 3411 66 82 0 0.00
Tue 05/12 03Z 0.10 3514 64 83 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 06Z 0.14 3515 62 83 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 09Z 0.10 3515 66 81 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 12Z 0.19 3311 70 70 -2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.17 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1