Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20260929_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 09/29 06Z 0.02 0008 98 94 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 09Z 0.05 3513 97 82 9 0.02
Tue 09/29 12Z 0.04 3515 97 66 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 15Z 0.03 3515 97 67 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 18Z 0.04 3512 95 69 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 21Z 0.03 3513 93 63 9 0.00
Wed 09/30 00Z 0.03 0012 93 52 9 0.00
Wed 09/30 03Z 0.04 0108 93 36 9 0.00
Wed 09/30 06Z 0.04 3504 92 29 9 0.00
Wed 09/30 09Z 0.04 3406 84 26 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 12Z 0.03 3405 76 19 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 15Z 0.08 3105 69 18 12 0.00
Wed 09/30 18Z 0.12 2705 63 17 12 0.00
Wed 09/30 21Z 0.22 2708 66 19 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 00Z 0.34 2711 74 25 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 03Z 0.49 2614 79 52 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 06Z 0.72 2619 84 61 10 0.00
Thu 10/01 09Z 0.75 2524 88 90 10 0.02
Thu 10/01 12Z 0.62 2721 86 80 11 0.02
Thu 10/01 15Z 0.57 2618 84 91 11 0.01
Thu 10/01 18Z 0.60 2318 71 88 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 21Z 0.73 2324 80 95 11 0.00
Fri 10/02 00Z 0.81 2529 99 97 11 0.04
Fri 10/02 03Z 0.72 2423 83 93 11 0.02
Fri 10/02 06Z 0.73 2823 96 33 11 0.02
Fri 10/02 09Z 0.58 2818 90 29 11 0.00
Fri 10/02 12Z 0.42 2715 83 52 12 0.00
Fri 10/02 15Z 0.36 2514 74 90 12 0.01
Fri 10/02 18Z 0.45 2413 91 81 11 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.16 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1