Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20251119_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 11/19 00Z 0.69 2818 88 32 -7 0.00
Wed 11/19 03Z 0.41 2916 75 19 -6 0.00
Wed 11/19 06Z 0.40 2915 70 9 -6 0.00
Wed 11/19 09Z 0.40 2915 69 4 -7 0.00
Wed 11/19 12Z 0.33 3015 66 4 -7 0.00
Wed 11/19 15Z 0.23 3112 63 6 -6 0.00
Wed 11/19 18Z 0.20 3009 61 10 -5 0.00
Wed 11/19 21Z 0.20 3111 57 13 -5 0.00
Thu 11/20 00Z 0.13 3210 58 20 -4 0.00
Thu 11/20 03Z 0.07 3206 56 23 -2 0.00
Thu 11/20 06Z 0.05 3103 55 18 -2 0.00
Thu 11/20 09Z 0.08 2904 51 32 -3 0.00
Thu 11/20 12Z 0.07 2703 41 53 -1 0.00
Thu 11/20 15Z 0.07 2503 37 66 -1 0.00
Thu 11/20 18Z 0.07 2303 39 70 -1 0.00
Thu 11/20 21Z 0.03 2003 35 57 0 0.00
Fri 11/21 00Z 0.02 1807 34 70 1 0.00
Fri 11/21 03Z 0.06 1912 36 64 2 0.00
Fri 11/21 06Z 0.16 2117 36 49 2 0.00
Fri 11/21 09Z 0.23 2119 41 37 1 0.00
Fri 11/21 12Z 0.32 2221 57 69 0 0.00
Fri 11/21 15Z 0.42 2421 85 65 -1 0.00
Fri 11/21 18Z 0.60 2422 97 54 -2 0.01
Fri 11/21 21Z 0.43 2321 80 63 0 0.01
Sat 11/22 00Z 0.86 2623 95 8 -2 0.01
Sat 11/22 03Z 0.91 2719 96 6 -4 0.01
Sat 11/22 06Z 0.73 2717 94 9 -5 0.00
Sat 11/22 09Z 0.58 2917 91 14 -6 0.00
Sat 11/22 12Z 0.30 3216 87 12 -7 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.04 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1