Subject: NAM12 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM12_20250205_0600 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Wed 02/05 06Z 0.59 3127 81 11 -18 0.00 Wed 02/05 09Z 0.48 3026 78 12 -18 0.00 Wed 02/05 12Z 0.40 3025 76 17 -18 0.00 Wed 02/05 15Z 0.35 3021 75 19 -18 0.00 Wed 02/05 18Z 0.34 3018 70 13 -17 0.00 Wed 02/05 21Z 0.38 2918 58 8 -15 0.00 Thu 02/06 00Z 0.38 2919 48 13 -13 0.00 Thu 02/06 03Z 0.29 2714 38 15 -11 0.00 Thu 02/06 06Z 0.24 2512 23 15 -10 0.00 Thu 02/06 09Z 0.15 2113 19 14 -8 0.00 Thu 02/06 12Z 0.14 1923 35 33 -8 0.00 Thu 02/06 15Z 0.10 1832 70 85 -7 0.00 Thu 02/06 18Z 0.06 1837 92 96 -6 0.07 Thu 02/06 21Z 0.10 1838 94 69 -3 0.09 Fri 02/07 00Z 0.31 2128 97 15 -2 0.02 Fri 02/07 03Z 0.79 2433 97 26 -4 0.01 Fri 02/07 06Z 1.71 2535 96 3 -8 0.02 Fri 02/07 09Z 2.51 2633 90 18 -10 0.01 Fri 02/07 12Z 2.70 2737 89 85 -12 0.01 Fri 02/07 15Z 25.05 2836 79 46 -15 0.01 Fri 02/07 18Z 20.07 2832 79 40 -15 0.00 Fri 02/07 21Z 7.71 2831 83 51 -14 0.00 Sat 02/08 00Z 2.17 2835 89 30 -14 0.00 Sat 02/08 03Z 3.51 2833 84 40 -15 0.00 Sat 02/08 06Z 1.95 2930 94 26 -16 0.00 Sat 02/08 09Z 1.70 2929 92 32 -16 0.01 Sat 02/08 12Z 1.40 3028 90 30 -17 0.00 Sat 02/08 15Z 1.24 3021 79 12 -17 0.00 Sat 02/08 18Z 4.48 2914 82 17 -16 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.25 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1