Subject: GFS EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_GFS_20260508_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 05/08 18Z 7.93 2816 55 98 -1 0.00
Fri 05/08 21Z 4.54 2814 53 95 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 00Z 0.68 2810 53 63 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 03Z 0.60 2709 57 53 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 06Z 0.44 2310 48 55 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 09Z 0.36 2310 46 32 0 0.00
Sat 05/09 12Z 0.13 1910 55 39 0 0.00
Sat 05/09 15Z 0.08 1810 70 57 0 0.00
Sat 05/09 18Z 0.11 1713 85 75 1 0.04
Sat 05/09 21Z 0.06 1815 97 68 1 0.01
Sun 05/10 00Z 0.15 1917 97 54 3 0.00
Sun 05/10 03Z 0.22 2020 96 52 3 0.00
Sun 05/10 06Z 0.34 2026 95 73 4 0.00
Sun 05/10 09Z 0.48 2127 93 51 4 0.00
Sun 05/10 12Z 0.73 2325 94 62 3 0.01
Sun 05/10 15Z 1.56 2424 86 51 2 0.04
Sun 05/10 18Z 5.98 2521 52 42 3 0.01
Sun 05/10 21Z 4.65 2616 52 50 3 0.00
Mon 05/11 00Z 0.75 2915 64 33 1 0.00
Mon 05/11 03Z 0.40 3010 73 24 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 06Z 0.29 2806 82 29 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 09Z 0.41 2709 78 28 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 12Z 0.40 2810 67 47 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 15Z 2.54 2814 64 52 -1 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.11 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1