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Subject: GFS EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_GFS_20261026_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 10/26 18Z 0.54 2818 76 92 6 0.00
Mon 10/26 21Z 0.77 2920 86 96 4 0.00
Tue 10/27 00Z 0.48 3222 86 68 1 0.00
Tue 10/27 03Z 0.28 3322 76 19 -1 0.00
Tue 10/27 06Z 0.15 3419 71 7 -3 0.00
Tue 10/27 09Z 0.05 3515 63 7 -2 0.00
Tue 10/27 12Z 0.04 3513 52 9 -1 0.00
Tue 10/27 15Z 0.07 3409 49 12 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 18Z 0.12 3208 42 13 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 21Z 0.15 3108 37 8 0 0.00
Wed 10/28 00Z 0.16 3108 39 4 0 0.00
Wed 10/28 03Z 0.10 3105 36 3 0 0.00
Wed 10/28 06Z 0.10 2804 31 16 1 0.00
Wed 10/28 09Z 0.12 2505 27 51 1 0.00
Wed 10/28 12Z 0.16 2607 25 69 2 0.00
Wed 10/28 15Z 0.18 2608 29 86 3 0.00
Wed 10/28 18Z 0.19 2608 40 80 4 0.00
Wed 10/28 21Z 0.23 2510 51 88 6 0.00
Thu 10/29 00Z 0.30 2512 58 80 6 0.00
Thu 10/29 03Z 0.40 2416 66 46 6 0.00
Thu 10/29 06Z 0.43 2516 77 30 6 0.00
Thu 10/29 09Z 0.45 2516 83 30 6 0.00
Thu 10/29 12Z 0.48 2517 86 34 6 0.00
Thu 10/29 15Z 0.47 2518 84 40 6 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1