Subject: GFS EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_GFS_20260706_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 07/06 00Z 0.09 0002 52 31 14 0.00
Mon 07/06 03Z 0.22 0704 54 21 14 0.00
Mon 07/06 06Z 0.21 1205 59 16 13 0.00
Mon 07/06 09Z 0.16 1408 66 18 13 0.00
Mon 07/06 12Z 0.15 1509 72 16 13 0.00
Mon 07/06 15Z 0.28 1509 78 15 12 0.00
Mon 07/06 18Z 0.71 1409 68 30 12 0.00
Mon 07/06 21Z 0.80 1311 67 30 13 0.01
Tue 07/07 00Z 0.38 1313 67 43 12 0.00
Tue 07/07 03Z 0.30 1315 65 51 12 0.00
Tue 07/07 06Z 0.27 1314 68 63 12 0.00
Tue 07/07 09Z 0.31 1213 69 64 12 0.00
Tue 07/07 12Z 0.30 1214 78 74 12 0.04
Tue 07/07 15Z 0.28 1212 81 76 12 0.04
Tue 07/07 18Z 0.41 1210 81 74 11 0.03
Tue 07/07 21Z 0.47 1107 79 63 11 0.00
Wed 07/08 00Z 0.22 1107 78 53 12 0.00
Wed 07/08 03Z 0.15 1004 74 26 12 0.00
Wed 07/08 06Z 0.06 0101 70 16 12 0.00
Wed 07/08 09Z 0.08 3406 69 16 12 0.00
Wed 07/08 12Z 0.07 3504 75 9 12 0.00
Wed 07/08 15Z 0.22 3004 77 10 12 0.00
Wed 07/08 18Z 1.06 2905 59 13 14 0.00
Wed 07/08 21Z 1.10 2806 61 22 15 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.12 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1