Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20250205_0600 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Wed 02/05 06Z 0.43 3124 83 10 -17 0.00 Wed 02/05 07Z 0.41 3127 82 6 -17 0.00 Wed 02/05 08Z 0.38 3126 83 6 -17 0.00 Wed 02/05 09Z 0.39 3026 80 8 -17 0.00 Wed 02/05 10Z 0.40 3028 77 10 -17 0.00 Wed 02/05 11Z 0.38 3028 77 12 -16 0.00 Wed 02/05 12Z 0.34 3026 75 13 -16 0.00 Wed 02/05 13Z 0.32 3025 73 16 -16 0.00 Wed 02/05 14Z 0.31 3024 72 18 -17 0.00 Wed 02/05 15Z 0.30 3022 70 20 -16 0.00 Wed 02/05 16Z 0.30 3021 68 20 -16 0.00 Wed 02/05 17Z 0.29 3020 66 14 -16 0.00 Wed 02/05 18Z 0.28 3019 64 10 -15 0.00 Wed 02/05 19Z 0.28 3018 61 8 -15 0.00 Wed 02/05 20Z 0.31 3018 57 8 -14 0.00 Wed 02/05 21Z 0.33 2917 54 7 -14 0.00 Wed 02/05 22Z 0.32 2918 48 7 -13 0.00 Wed 02/05 23Z 0.32 2917 44 9 -12 0.00 Thu 02/06 00Z 0.32 2917 44 10 -12 0.00 Thu 02/06 01Z 0.29 2815 44 12 -12 0.00 Thu 02/06 02Z 0.26 2813 42 14 -11 0.00 Thu 02/06 03Z 0.25 2713 37 16 -10 0.00 Thu 02/06 04Z 0.23 2612 30 16 -10 0.00 Thu 02/06 05Z 0.23 2511 23 16 -9 0.00 Thu 02/06 06Z 0.23 2412 19 15 -9 0.00 Thu 02/06 07Z 0.19 2310 15 14 -8 0.00 Thu 02/06 08Z 0.18 2211 15 13 -8 0.00 Thu 02/06 09Z 0.16 2013 14 14 -8 0.00 Thu 02/06 10Z 0.10 1815 14 21 -7 0.00 Thu 02/06 11Z 0.15 1919 21 35 -8 0.00 Thu 02/06 12Z 0.16 1922 32 58 -8 0.00 Thu 02/06 13Z 0.18 1925 43 87 -7 0.00 Thu 02/06 14Z 0.23 1929 62 96 -8 0.00 Thu 02/06 15Z 0.19 1830 74 91 -8 0.00 Thu 02/06 16Z 0.15 1831 92 94 -6 0.04 Thu 02/06 17Z 0.19 1835 94 96 -5 0.07 Thu 02/06 18Z 0.22 1836 96 97 -5 0.05 Thu 02/06 19Z 0.24 1836 97 97 -5 0.07 Thu 02/06 20Z 0.22 1834 97 83 -4 0.05 Thu 02/06 21Z 0.25 1932 97 61 -3 0.03 Thu 02/06 22Z 0.31 1929 98 52 -3 0.03 Thu 02/06 23Z 0.34 2026 98 23 -2 0.02 Fri 02/07 00Z 0.45 2126 98 13 -3 0.02 Fri 02/07 01Z 0.62 2327 98 13 -3 0.02 Fri 02/07 02Z 0.93 2329 98 1 -4 0.02 Fri 02/07 03Z 1.30 2433 97 2 -5 0.02 Fri 02/07 04Z 1.40 2535 95 3 -6 0.02 Fri 02/07 05Z 1.61 2536 93 4 -7 0.02 Fri 02/07 06Z 1.58 2535 91 6 -7 0.02 Fri 02/07 07Z 1.67 2534 92 13 -8 0.01 Fri 02/07 08Z 1.87 2533 95 17 -9 0.01 Fri 02/07 09Z 1.95 2535 96 31 -10 0.01 Fri 02/07 10Z 2.03 2537 95 36 -11 0.01 Fri 02/07 11Z 1.91 2638 93 56 -11 0.01 Fri 02/07 12Z 2.11 2738 90 43 -12 0.01 Fri 02/07 13Z 7.21 2834 84 38 -13 0.00 Fri 02/07 14Z 14.00 2831 77 35 -14 0.00 Fri 02/07 15Z 17.49 2829 74 34 -15 0.00 Fri 02/07 16Z 19.77 2830 74 39 -15 0.00 Fri 02/07 17Z 19.93 2831 76 48 -15 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.56 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1