Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20241121_0600 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Thu 11/21 06Z 0.15 1416 88 69 2 0.00 Thu 11/21 07Z 0.20 1417 90 74 2 0.00 Thu 11/21 08Z 0.26 1318 90 79 2 0.01 Thu 11/21 09Z 0.31 1219 90 84 2 0.01 Thu 11/21 10Z 0.31 1219 90 80 2 0.01 Thu 11/21 11Z 0.31 1219 91 74 2 0.01 Thu 11/21 12Z 0.31 1219 94 84 1 0.01 Thu 11/21 13Z 0.35 1220 95 82 1 0.01 Thu 11/21 14Z 0.38 1121 96 86 1 0.01 Thu 11/21 15Z 0.43 1121 96 86 1 0.01 Thu 11/21 16Z 0.45 1121 97 91 1 0.01 Thu 11/21 17Z 0.47 1021 98 89 1 0.02 Thu 11/21 18Z 0.48 0921 97 89 1 0.02 Thu 11/21 19Z 0.48 0920 97 84 1 0.02 Thu 11/21 20Z 0.50 0920 98 89 0 0.02 Thu 11/21 21Z 0.52 0820 97 88 0 0.03 Thu 11/21 22Z 0.56 0821 97 88 0 0.04 Thu 11/21 23Z 0.61 0823 97 88 0 0.04 Fri 11/22 00Z 0.62 0923 97 91 0 0.05 Fri 11/22 01Z 0.61 0924 97 94 0 0.09 Fri 11/22 02Z 0.61 0925 97 95 0 0.11 Fri 11/22 03Z 0.66 0827 97 94 0 0.11 Fri 11/22 04Z 0.72 0828 97 94 0 0.08 Fri 11/22 05Z 0.76 0829 97 89 0 0.07 Fri 11/22 06Z 0.74 0828 97 91 0 0.06 Fri 11/22 07Z 0.79 0829 97 92 0 0.05 Fri 11/22 08Z 0.85 0830 97 92 -1 0.04 Fri 11/22 09Z 0.89 0832 97 93 -1 0.07 Fri 11/22 10Z 0.93 0834 97 93 -1 0.08 Fri 11/22 11Z 0.93 0834 98 90 -1 0.08 Fri 11/22 12Z 0.90 0835 97 84 -1 0.06 Fri 11/22 13Z 0.85 0934 97 70 0 0.05 Fri 11/22 14Z 0.83 0833 97 66 0 0.05 Fri 11/22 15Z 0.83 0930 98 53 -1 0.06 Fri 11/22 16Z 0.76 1025 98 31 -1 0.04 Fri 11/22 17Z 0.70 1121 97 19 -1 0.03 Fri 11/22 18Z 0.79 1120 97 22 -2 0.02 Fri 11/22 19Z 0.77 1119 95 20 -2 0.01 Fri 11/22 20Z 0.76 1119 96 21 -2 0.01 Fri 11/22 21Z 0.61 1219 94 27 -2 0.01 Fri 11/22 22Z 0.62 1119 95 40 -2 0.01 Fri 11/22 23Z 0.57 1118 92 57 -2 0.01 Sat 11/23 00Z 0.59 1117 94 65 -2 0.01 Sat 11/23 01Z 0.57 1117 90 65 -2 0.01 Sat 11/23 02Z 0.57 1017 90 71 -2 0.01 Sat 11/23 03Z 0.64 1018 95 75 -2 0.01 Sat 11/23 04Z 0.52 0914 95 74 -2 0.01 Sat 11/23 05Z 0.38 0711 95 89 -2 0.01 Sat 11/23 06Z 0.30 0411 95 86 -2 0.01 Sat 11/23 07Z 0.26 0214 95 83 -2 0.02 Sat 11/23 08Z 0.22 0118 95 81 -2 0.01 Sat 11/23 09Z 0.13 0019 95 75 -2 0.00 Sat 11/23 10Z 0.04 3522 96 82 -2 0.00 Sat 11/23 11Z 0.09 3523 97 91 -3 0.01 Sat 11/23 12Z 0.04 3525 98 93 -3 0.04 Sat 11/23 13Z 0.06 3426 97 91 -2 0.04 Sat 11/23 14Z 0.10 3430 96 92 -2 0.02 Sat 11/23 15Z 0.14 3432 96 83 -2 0.02 Sat 11/23 16Z 0.13 3430 96 85 -2 0.02 Sat 11/23 17Z 0.22 3330 97 85 -3 0.02 Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.80 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1