Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20240630_0600 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Sun 06/30 06Z 0.71 2329 98 89 16 0.00 Sun 06/30 07Z 0.85 2331 97 77 16 0.13 Sun 06/30 08Z 0.92 2431 98 73 16 0.07 Sun 06/30 09Z 0.91 2530 96 61 16 0.04 Sun 06/30 10Z 0.81 2528 89 58 16 0.05 Sun 06/30 11Z 0.83 2528 91 42 16 0.01 Sun 06/30 12Z 0.80 2526 91 40 16 0.02 Sun 06/30 13Z 0.77 2524 91 38 16 0.01 Sun 06/30 14Z 0.76 2522 90 44 16 0.01 Sun 06/30 15Z 0.81 2422 89 53 16 0.00 Sun 06/30 16Z 1.12 2525 93 60 15 0.12 Sun 06/30 17Z 1.36 2527 92 47 15 0.07 Sun 06/30 18Z 2.00 2623 86 41 15 0.06 Sun 06/30 19Z 2.46 2622 86 28 15 0.04 Sun 06/30 20Z 2.94 2721 88 38 14 0.02 Sun 06/30 21Z 4.10 2820 81 34 13 0.03 Sun 06/30 22Z 3.82 2920 81 35 13 0.01 Sun 06/30 23Z 1.71 2916 82 44 12 0.02 Mon 07/01 00Z 0.86 3116 86 52 11 0.01 Mon 07/01 01Z 0.46 3218 93 62 11 0.03 Mon 07/01 02Z 0.26 3320 95 66 10 0.02 Mon 07/01 03Z 0.21 3421 97 77 10 0.02 Mon 07/01 04Z 0.18 3422 97 69 9 0.02 Mon 07/01 05Z 0.18 3421 97 65 8 0.02 Mon 07/01 06Z 0.18 3421 97 63 8 0.01 Mon 07/01 07Z 0.16 3422 96 60 7 0.01 Mon 07/01 08Z 0.13 3524 96 48 7 0.01 Mon 07/01 09Z 0.09 3524 96 51 6 0.01 Mon 07/01 10Z 0.10 0023 94 60 6 0.01 Mon 07/01 11Z 0.13 0022 94 67 6 0.01 Mon 07/01 12Z 0.12 0121 92 71 7 0.00 Mon 07/01 13Z 0.11 0118 94 72 7 0.00 Mon 07/01 14Z 0.09 0016 94 76 7 0.00 Mon 07/01 15Z 0.04 3515 91 74 7 0.00 Mon 07/01 16Z 0.37 3415 90 71 7 0.00 Mon 07/01 17Z 1.06 3416 89 62 7 0.00 Mon 07/01 18Z 1.58 3416 85 52 7 0.00 Mon 07/01 19Z 1.50 3417 81 41 7 0.00 Mon 07/01 20Z 1.06 3418 79 29 8 0.00 Mon 07/01 21Z 0.50 3518 76 25 8 0.00 Mon 07/01 22Z 0.19 3517 74 23 8 0.00 Mon 07/01 23Z 0.09 3517 72 23 8 0.00 Tue 07/02 00Z 0.05 0018 68 21 9 0.00 Tue 07/02 01Z 0.11 0018 64 22 9 0.00 Tue 07/02 02Z 0.19 0118 62 23 9 0.00 Tue 07/02 03Z 0.26 0117 60 22 9 0.00 Tue 07/02 04Z 0.30 0216 59 20 9 0.00 Tue 07/02 05Z 0.32 0214 58 19 9 0.00 Tue 07/02 06Z 0.32 0313 57 20 9 0.00 Tue 07/02 07Z 0.33 0312 57 22 9 0.00 Tue 07/02 08Z 0.41 0313 56 22 9 0.00 Tue 07/02 09Z 0.44 0413 55 21 9 0.00 Tue 07/02 10Z 0.47 0412 55 20 9 0.00 Tue 07/02 11Z 0.46 0511 52 15 10 0.00 Tue 07/02 12Z 0.44 0610 51 14 10 0.00 Tue 07/02 13Z 0.47 0708 51 13 10 0.00 Tue 07/02 14Z 0.72 0805 55 14 10 0.00 Tue 07/02 15Z 1.21 1003 57 14 10 0.00 Tue 07/02 16Z 1.24 1103 57 13 10 0.00 Tue 07/02 17Z 0.92 1202 56 12 11 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.89 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1