Severe Thunderstorms and Possible Flooding Through This Weekend in the Central U.S.

Severe thunderstorms are forecast through this weekend along a slow moving cold front and secondary storm system that will impact areas from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes. Large hail and isolated damaging wind gusts are the main threats with these storms along with a risk for heavy to excessive rainfall which could bring flooding. Read More >

Publications

Technical Attachments

The use of collapsing specific differential phase columns to predict significant severe thunderstorm wind damage across the northeastern United States - Brian Frugis - 2020 (ER Technical Attachment).
A gridded snowfall verification method using ARCGIS - Joe Villani, Vasil Koleci and Ian Lee - 2015 (ER Technical Attachment)
A proposed radar strategy for the prediction and warning of severe hail using polarimetric radar data - Ian Lee - 2015 (ER Technical Attachment)
The American Meteorological Society's summer 2014 policy colloquium. Part 2: Science policy communication and applications - Neil Stuart - 2015 (ER Technical Attachment)
The American Meteorological Society's summer 2014 policy colloquium. Part 1: Policy fundamentals - Neil Stuart - 2015 (ER Technical Attachment)
Development of warning thresholds for one inch or greater hail in the Albany New York warning area - Brian Frugis and Tom Wasula - 2011 (ER Technical Attachment)
Using a mesoscale model to identify convective initiation in an air route traffic control center/center weather service unit (ARTCC/CWSU) environment - Warren Snyder, Mark McKinley and Allison Vegh - 2006 (ER Technical Attachment)
The eastern New York and western New England floods of 14-17 July 2000 - Kenneth LaPenta, Tom Wasula and Matt Novak - 2004 (ER Technical Attachment)
Improving temperature verification results within the IFPS/GFE framework - George Maglaras - 2004 (ER Technical Attachment)
Development of warning criteria for severe pulse thunderstorms in the northeastern United States using the WSR-88D - Carl Cerniglia and Warren Snyder - 2002 (ER Technical Attachment)
An updated look at some severe weather forecast parameters - Kenneth LaPenta, George Maglaras, John Center, Sarah Munafo and Charles Alonge - 2002 (ER Technical Attachment)
The Grafton, Vermont Flood 12-13 June 1996 - Jonathan Blaes and Kenneth LaPenta - 1998 (ER Technical Attachment)
VIL Density as an indicator of hail across eastern New York and western New England - Jonathan Blaes, Carl Cerniglia and Michael Carapolo - 1998 (ER Technical Attachment)

Journals

Conference Abstracts

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

Conference Preprints (under construction)

2022

The multi-hazard severe event of 21 August 2019 across eastern New York and western New England - Tom Wasula - AMS severe storms conference 2022

2014

A storm-scale analysis of the 29 May 2013 tornado event across east-central New York - Tom Wasula, Brian Frugis, Ian Lee and Luigi and Meccariello - AMS severe storms conference

2013

An updated version of the V-R shear techniques for issuing tornado warnings using 8 bit high resolution radar data - Brian Frugis and Tom Wasula - NWA meeting 2013

2012

2010

2008

2006

2004

Recorded Training

Applying forecast track and intensity diagnostics to high-impact northeast winter storms - Andrea Lang, Kristen Corbosiero, Ryan Torn, Neil Stuart, Joe Dellicarpini, Justin Arnot
Building and effective winter weather forecast process - Mike Evans and Justin Arnot (WDTD Winter WOC lesson)
Applying concepts from the tornado warning improvement project for quasi linear convective systems to the Albany, NY county warning area Christina Speciale and Mike Evans - 2020 - (WDTD Storm of the Month presentation).
Regional orographic considerations - Mike Evans - (WDTD Winter WOC lesson on eastern U.S. orographic impacts on winter storms).
An analysis of high-impact low predictive skill severe weather events in the northeast U.S. - Recorded Training - Michael Evans, Joe Villani and Matt Vaughn - 2016
Movement of mesoscale snowbands - Michael Evans and James Kenyon - 2014
Forecasting distribution and modes of precipitation associated with warm season 500-hPa cutoff cyclones - Tom Wasula and Neil Stuart - 2014

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Hour by Hour Forecast

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Winter Weather

Forecaster's Discussion

Forecaster's Discussion

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Text Bulletins

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Air Quality

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Fire Weather

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Climate

Drought

Drought

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