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Last Map Update: Thu, Feb 12, 2026 at 9:52:42 pm MST

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

National Weather Service NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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National Weather Service Albuquerque, NM

National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Chances of Showers Friday

Weather Outlook

Active Pattern Next Week

A weather disturbance will push eastward across the Desert Southwest on Friday bringing chances for showers across the region. Forecast rain totals are minimal with better probabilities for rainfall >0.10" focused east/southeast of the Phoenix Metro Area. A few rumbles of thunder cannot be ruled out, though chances are only 10%

An unsettled weather pattern will feature a series weather systems that will move across the Desert Southwest, resulting in cooler temperatures and increased rain chances, with the first system expected to move through on Friday and the next favored early next week. Today and in between systems temperatures will warm several degrees above normal.

The weather pattern will be active early next week with the potential for multiple weather systems moving through the region. The first system will arrive later Monday into Tuesday. This system will have the best moisture and highest precipitation chances (50-80%). There are plenty of uncertainties next week, most notably with respect to rainfall totals and potential lingering showers into midweek.